by Brent Carlson and Michael Huneke
![photos of the authors](https://bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/wp.nyu.edu/dist/4/3828/files/2024/07/Fresh-Look-Exports-Part-1-Headshots-300x148.jpg)
Left to right: Brent Carlson and Michael Huneke (Photos courtesy of the authors)
“The world has changed. And we must change with it.” So stated Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Export Enforcement Matt Axelrod at a recent summit in California.[1] This simple statement reflects the increasingly complex challenges companies now face in navigating export controls and sanctions in a world driven by new geopolitical realities.
These challenges call into questions past assumptions about compliance programs. The foundation of a robust compliance program starts with the reliability of the inputs relied upon to make informed, risk-based decisions. In the halcyon days of the post-Cold War era, export controls took on an administrative character. In that environment, certifications from counterparties—themselves the targets of the due diligence—were taken largely at face value. Yet today passive reliance, without more, carries profound risks because export controls and sanctions enforcement has already become more of a white-collar corporate enforcement environment driven by Russia’s continued ability to secure U.S.-brand microelectronics (both legacy and new production). Certifications alone accordingly may not be worth the paper they are written on—or the pixels of which they are made—especially when other data includes “red flags” that cast doubt on certifications’ veracity.