• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Global Affairs Review

The Center for Global Affairs, New York University

  • Home
    • Archives
      • Global Affairs Review – Archives
        • 2021
        • 2020
        • 2019
        • 2018
        • 2017
      • Perspectives on Global Issues – Archives
  • About
    • About
    • Contact
    • Fall 2024 Editorial Board
  • Submissions
  • Articles
    • All Articles
    • Environment & Energy Policy
    • Global Economy
    • Global Gender Studies
    • International Development & Humanitarian Assistance
    • International Law and Human Rights
    • International Relations/Global Futures
    • Peacebuilding
    • Private Sector
    • Transnational Security
  • Commentary
    • Interviews
    • Book Reviews
    • Opinion

Uncategorized

Differing political ideals: Peruvian-Venezuelan diplomatic relations from 2016 to 2024

August 14, 2025 by emd9507 Leave a Comment

By: Matias Azcarate

Source: Unsplash

 

This piece explores the complex and often tense diplomatic relationship between Peru and Venezuela over the last decade. It delves into how differing political ideologies, the significant influx of Venezuelan immigrants, and allegations of electoral fraud have shaped Peru’s foreign policy, often driven by public sentiment and leading to confrontational rhetoric rather than concrete solutions.

 

Introduction

After the transition to democracy in 1958, Venezuela’s foreign policy was based on the doctrine of Puntofijismo, a political agreement between the three main political parties which facilitated Venezuela’s transition to democracy and established a policy based on democratic principles. When Hugo Chavez came to power in 1999, he continued this path. It was not until 2004 that social pressure, after a failed coup, forced him to change his domestic and foreign policy to what he called 21st century Socialism. The Venezuelan international policy was turned into an extension of domestic politics. In comparison with Puntofijismo, the basis of Chavez’s 21st century Socialism was to denounce American imperialism and strengthen their national sovereignty—meaning they would not allow any interference their national affairs and would condemn anything that went against their project or that was aligned with the United States (Salazar Elena 226). The fulfillment of these objectives caused confrontations with countries that did not share these same ideals, generating a climate of hostility. One of these countries was Peru. Their political ideals surrounding foreign policy, immigration, and political institutions differed from the Venezuelan ideals, generating a complex diplomatic relationship. However, in 2016, a new factor began to trigger tension and hostility between both countries: the immigration of more than 500,000 Venezuelans caused by a political crisis.

Venezuela’s crisis

In 1982, Hugo Chávez founded the Bolivarian Revolutionary Movement-200, a leftist civil-military revolutionary group aimed at confronting Venezuela’s political establishment through violent means. However, after two failed coups (in 1992), he shifted his approach and opted for the democratic route—seeking election through the ballot box. Chavez effectively led a campaign centered on implementing a new leftist economic system in Venezuela and tackling corruption, which culminated in his election as president in 1999 (Sylvia and Danopoulos 66–69).

Following a failed coup attempt against him in 2002, Chávez recognized that he needed to seize control of institutions by amending the constitution to retain power. Consequently, in 2004, he called for a referendum to solidify his legitimacy and showcase that the public supported the more radical measures he intended to implement. This year marked the beginning of the erosion of democracy in Venezuela, as he started to capture political institutions to break with the check and balance system and rule without interference.
Hugo Chávez’s initial strategy to seize control of institutions involved forming a majority coalition in Congress with his party Movimiento V República (Fifth Republic Movement) and its allies. He enacted a court-packing law that enabled his coalition to secure an overwhelming majority of seats on the Supreme Court, effectively undermining judicial independence. To further consolidate his power, he appointed a crucial figure in his administration, Alí Rodríguez, to lead the national oil company, Petroleum of Venezuela. This decision enabled the government to control the principal state income source and invest it in welfare policies to gain the public support (Roy).

Following Hugo Chávez’s death on March 5, 2013, Nicolás Maduro assumed the presidency after winning the April election with 50.61% of the vote (Roberts 33). Despite this electoral victory, the opposition held a qualified majority in Congress. In response to this situation, Maduro further entrenched Chavez’s influence over political institutions. He utilized the majority of Supreme Court justices—appointed under Chávez—to restrict the powers of Congress. When Congress did not comply with the court’s directives, it was forcibly dissolved. Ultimately, in 2017, Maduro convened a national constituent assembly to draft a new constitution, enabling him to govern without any checks on his authority (Roberts 32).

Amid the political crises, the Venezuelans bore the brunt of the suffering. In 2016, Venezuela’s extreme poverty levels reached 51.51% (Roy). Many Venezuelans could not meet their fundamental needs—such as access to healthcare, food, water, and electricity—leaving them completely vulnerable. This dire situation compelled many to migrate to other countries, particularly Peru, for a higher quality of life. The first Venezuelan migration wave to Peru consisted of men between 18 and 39, single persons with bachelor’s degrees, half of those men with kids.

Peruvian response to the immigration crisis and the diplomatic conflicts it generated

(2016-2017)

In 2016, Pedro Pablo Kuczynski became the president of Peru. His election represented the beginning of a ‘good neighbor’ policy to Venezuelan migrants and a hard foreign policy opposed to Maduro’s regime in Venezuela (Mazza and Forero Villarreal 659) Kuczynski denounced the human rights conditions and didn’t have problems expelling the Venezuelan ambassador from Peru (660). However, he enacted his bold policy through a Supreme Decree by providing a Temporary Permanence Permit (TPP), which allows immigrants to reside and access to education, employment, and health for one year while regularizing their migratory situation. Kuczynski’s government renewed the TPP four times during his administration (660). In Kuczynski’s administration, Peru implemented one of the most accommodating immigration policies for Venezuelans in the region since, compared to their situation in other countries, Venezuelans were granted access to essential services while their immigration status was being processed.

Since his inauguration as President of Peru, Pedro Pablo Kuczynski made it clear that he wanted Peru to become a regional leader—“I want Peru to be a beacon of civilization in the Pacific and South America that everyone looks at with admiration. A country that assumes leadership in regional cooperation and integration, that is linked to the needs and well-being of the population in border areas, of which we do not take enough care, and also takes care of the needs of entrepreneurs [among the] Peruvian migrant community.” (“Quiero que el Perú sea un faro de civilización en el Pacífico y Sudamérica al que todos miren con admiración. Un país que asuma el liderazgo en la cooperación e integración regional, que se vincule con las necesidades y el bienestar de la población de zonas fronterizas, de las cuales no nos ocupamos suficientemente, y que se ocupe, también, de las necesidades de la emprendedora comunidad peruana de migrantes.”; my trans.;Kuczynski). Kucyzynski’s strategy aims to extend the Peruvian soft power through migration diplomacy (Adamson and Tsourapas 113-128). The Peruvian government made a concerted effort to welcome Venezuelan immigrants to enhance its international standing while engaging in diplomatic initiatives—including participation in forums and meetings with other nations—to seek effective solutions to the political crisis in Venezuela.

The starting point for the complex relationship between Peru and Venezuela was when Kuczynski addressed the United Nations General Assembly, saying, “We, in solidarity, make a firm call for an internal political dialogue [in Venezuela] to begin as soon as possible without conditions or restrictions within a framework of full respect for the Constitution.” Venezuela’s envoy to the UN, Rafael Ramírez, described Kuczynski’s words as “a gratuitous attack.” He further asserted by saying “It was a regrettable speech by the president of Peru (Bronstein)” Peru’s foreign objective—to be a defender of democracy in the Pacific—collided with Venezuela’s authoritarian and isolationist regime.

Later, in March 2017, Kuczynski addressed the public after receiving the James Madison Medal from Princeton University, describing Latin America as a nice dog: “The United States focuses on areas with problems, such as the Middle East. It does not invest much time in Latin America because it is like a friendly dog ​​that is sleeping on the rug and does not cause any problems … but the case of Venezuela is a big problem. (Kuczynski Godard)” These comments elicited the Venezuelan government’s anger because Venezuela followed a very nationalist policy that wouldn’t permit Latin America to be compared with a dog. Dolcy Rodriguez, Venezuela’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, called the president of Peru a coward and nice dog at a press address. Two days later, Nicolás Maduro also criticized Kuczynski’s words, warning: “Be careful what you say (The Guardian).” The Peruvian government immediately rejected these declarations, calling them insolent, sent a démarche—a diplomatic document expressing rejection to Maduro’s declaration—and called their ambassador in Caracas for consultation (BBC News). In late March, after the Supreme Court of Justice of Venezuela assumed the functions of the National Assembly—-breaking completely with democracy—the Peruvian government withdrew its diplomat in Caracas and expelled the Venezuelan diplomat because they were not going to support a country that broke the democratic system.

In August 2017, the Peruvian government, under Kuczynski’s mandate, created an ad hoc group to tackle Venezuela’s crisis: the Lima Group, which had as its primary goal the peaceful restoration of democracy in Venezuela (Arévalo and Huerta). The ad hoc group is an alliance of 14 Latin American countries that positioned themselves against the Government of Venezuela. The group sought to pressure the Maduro regime through joint statements and meetings. However, the Lima Group did not know how to use the carrot-and-stick, which generated greater conflict with Venezuela: In a press conference, Maduro said he received a letter inviting him to attend a Lima Group meeting and assured them that he would assist (Phillips) The Minister of Foreign Affairs tweeted the letter they had received last year (2017). Later, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Peru said that “[Maduro’s] presence will not be welcome (Phillips) .” After removing the invitation, Maduro continued challenging the group by saying he would attend the conference.

Kuczynski’s administration approach resulted in 248,038 Venezuelans entering Peru and processing the TPP from February 2, 2017, to September 30, 2018. However, only about a fifth obtained it (National Institute of Statistics and Informatics). During this period, the Peruvian-Venezuelan diplomatic relationship was marked by public attacks, demarchés, and the breaking off of diplomatic relations because the countries’ political ideals were at odds. The acclaimed author of “International Conflict in Latin America,” Walter Little, refers to such events as “system-ideological” conflict—arising from the differences between regimes and their political goals and means (Little 591-605).The second strategic goal of the Peruvian foreign policy was “[the] promotion of respect for human rights, the values ​​of democracy and the rule of law, as well as promoting the fight against corruption, drug trafficking and terrorism at the level of international relations through concrete initiatives and dynamic participation in the corresponding regional and global mechanisms (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Peru).” In contrast, Venezuela perceived these values as threatening their domestic policy and used confrontational dialect to defend their national sovereignty. Peru was perceived as an enemy because it advocated for democratic values aligned with the U.S. that were against Venezuelan ideals and represented North American imperialism.

(2018-2019)

In March 2018, Martin Vizcarra succeeded Kuczynski. By the time Vizcarra took office, the presence of Venezuelans had already begun to cause discontentment among Peruvians. They feared that Venezuelans would take away their jobs—as well as an increase in crime and insecurity. In August 2018, President Vizcarra’s administration issued Decree 007, which moved up the deadline for applying for the Temporary Permanence Permit (TPP) from June 30, 2019, to December 31, 2018 (Mazza and Forero Villarreal 662). Moreover, Venezuelan applicants for the TPP must have entered Peru before October 31, 2018. Following this decree, in October 2018, the government introduced a new resolution mandating that Venezuelans must present a valid passport to qualify for the TPP. However, these new requirements did not significantly affect the situation as Venezuelans discovered alternative routes to avoid the border controls. In November 2018, more than 6,700 Venezuelans entered Peru per day (662).

In 2019, approximately 800,000 Venezuelans lived in Peru. Citizens’ discontent with Venezuelans grew—77% of Peruvian citizens consulted saw Venezuelan immigration as something negative (Center for Strategic Studies of the Peruvian Army). At the same time, Vizcarra’s approval rating decreased from 56% to 44% (Reuters). These factors triggered Vizcarra’s mano dura strategy to tackle Venezuelan immigration—a political behavior driven by a violent narrative against a common enemy and the use of violence to repel it. Under this approach, he started by portraying himself as a strong man against immigrants who threatened Peruvians through press conferences: “Here, we are not going to allow people who commit crimes to continue. (We will expel) those who are necessary: ​​500, 800, 1,000, or 2,000 (Taj)”. Then, he added more restrictions on immigration: immigrants will need not only a passport but also a humanitarian visa, which is requested at the consulate of Peru in Venezuela (Mazza and Villarreal 664). Another characteristic of this new stand was deportation—in the same month, 50 Venezuelans were deported.

In addition, the increased detention of Venezuelans—Peruvian police arrested 1,718 Venezuelans who were part of criminal bands—was used by citizens and politicians to justify xenophobic acts (García 143). For instance, Congresswoman Esther Saavedra said during a parliamentary discussion: “A million immigrants, both legal and illegal, between workers and criminal bandits, have to eat, have to sleep, come to take jobs from our Peruvians. (…) Good or bad, they have to leave Peru. Throw them away (Sequera).” On the side of the citizens, they began threatening, attacking, and harassing Venezuelans. The Peruvian government’s mismanagement of the migration crisis awakened friction between Peru and Venezuela. The Venezuelan government, through a statement from the Foreign Ministry, repudiated these types of acts of “xenophobia, aggression and persecution” against its citizens who have moved to Peru (Maza and Villareal 664). In addition, Maduro mentioned in a press conference that “If the UN gives [him] US$200 million, [he] will bring all the Venezuelans from Peru in one month” and called Vizcarra xenophobic (Sequera). The Government of Peru strongly rejected the accusations of acts of xenophobia and added that “the illegitimate and dictatorial regime of Nicolás Maduro was solely responsible for the humanitarian catastrophe in Venezuela …”(Sequera).  The tensions didn’t end there. Later in 2019, Maduro won the elections in Venezuela again, and Vizcarra tweeted, “An illegitimate and dictatorial regime has just been installed in Venezuela today. We raise our voice of protest to defend democracy in Latin America”. In addition, the Peruvian government called the Chargé d’Affaires of the Peruvian embassy in Venezuela, Rosa Álvarez, for consultations. Maduro’s regime answered through a demarché in which they urged the Peruvian State to rectify its position on the legitimacy of Maduro’s mandate within 48 hours.

(2020-2021)

In March 2020, the government declared an emergency lockdown to tackle the spread of the COVID-19 virus. At the beginning of the lockdown, not all Venezuelans could access the National Health system since it required a foreign identification card, which not everyone had. Then, in April 2020, the Peruvian government made it available to all foreigners, regardless of their regular or irregular entry into the country, if they presented symptoms of COVID-19 (Mazza and Villareal 664). Later, in October, the government of Martín Vizcarra approved a decree that accepted temporary procedures to regularize the immigration status of Venezuelans with irregular status.

The tension between Peru and Venezuela during Vizcarra’s administration can be traced back to the two nations’ contrasting foreign policies. The Venezuelan government demonstrated a lack of acceptance toward the Peruvian authorities’ critical remarks, resulting in a series of diplomatic clashes characterized by démarches and public confrontations. Additionally, immigration emerged as a significant factor contributing to the discord. Peru’s perception of the influx of Venezuelan immigrants as a potential threat to national security prompted the government to implement measures for their expulsion. This response was met with disapproval from the Venezuelan government, whose nationalistic principles dictate that their citizens should not be subjected to mistreatment abroad. The interplay of the political ideals regarding foreign policy and immigration prompted the complex relations between the two countries.

Congress vacated President Vizcarra at the end of 2020 due to a corruption scandal related to buying Covid vaccines. The Peruvian constitution mandates that when there is no vice-president, the successor should be the President of the congress, In this case, Franciso Sagasti, who had a short period of one year to solve the Covid crisis and call for new elections. In front of this, he opted to maintain the status quo by ensuring that everyone within Peru, including Venezuelans, could be vaccinated and made the application of the TPP systematic (Mazza and Villareal 663). The diplomatic relationship with Venezuela was not a priority to him.

(2021-2022)

In 2021, Pedro Castillo, a rural leftist professor, won the presidential elections only by 44,263 votes more than his opponent Keiko Fujimori (Mazza and Villareal 664). During the presidential campaign, Castillo was adamant regarding Venezuelan immigration, “We will give 72 hours to those who have come to disrespect us [referring to Venezuelans].” Castillo planned to expel all the Venezuelans. On December 23, Castillo’s government attempted to expel 41 Venezuelans who had been detained for being involved in various criminal acts in the country but did not obtain authorization from the Government of Venezuela for their plane land in their country (664). This incident was embarrassing and showed the inefficiency of the Peruvian administration.

Citizen hostility towards immigration incentivized Castillo to employ a mano dura immigration approach—violent speeches, arbitrary detentions of Venezuelans, and attempts to deport them. The Peruvian government no longer saw immigration as a means of projecting soft power—-as with Kuczynsk’s administration—but as a security issue (Adamson and Tsourapas 115). This approach was met with discontent from the Venezuelan government. In 2022, after a failed coup d’état, Congress ousted Pedro Castillo and replaced him with his Vice President, Dina Boluarte.

(2023-2024)

Boluarte continued with a mano dura strategy, as did her predecessors. For instance, in January 2023, in a press conference, Boluarte announced that the government would temporarily send the military to various points on the borders with Ecuador, Colombia, Brazil, Bolivia, and Chile to reinforce the border control carried out by the police. The president concluded the press conference by saying, “During the government of Pedro Pablo Kuczynski free entry was allowed to any citizen who wanted to enter. Unfortunately, they are the ones who are committing criminal acts (Aquino).”

During Boluarte’s administration, two significant events occurred: citizen insecurity continued to increase, and Maduro was reelected. The response to the first event was the typical Peruvian remedy: hardening the immigration policy by militarizing the borders and increasing the requirements to enter Peru (Aquino). For the second event, Peru’s response was similar to Peru’s role with Kuzcynski. On July 28, 2024, Maduro was reelected in elections with signs of fraud where the opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzalez was the favorite (Rogero). Both the opposition party and international observers, such as the Carter Center, presented data about the alleged fraud that had been committed, such as the real amount of votes that Edmundo Gonzalez received. Faced with this event, the Peruvian government was the first country to recognize Edmundo Gonzalez as elected president. In addition, at an extraordinary session of the Organization of American States, the Minister of Peruvian Foreign Affairs, Javier González-Olaechea, showed an active role in condemning the Maduro regime and promoting a joint statement with all member states to condemn the fraudulent elections (U.S. Mission Lima) Subsequently, the Venezuelan Government broke diplomatic relations with Peru (Reuters). Maduro’s regime considered the declarations of Peru to have ignored the national will and characterized them as interventionist actions (Reuters).

Democratic institutions and fair elections are crucial for Peru. In contrast, in Venezuela, the electoral system is controlled by Chavez sympathizers. This difference in political institutions, combined with the indication of electoral fraud, led Peru to show its discontent with Venezuela and take protest measures against the Venezuelan government, generating diplomatic conflicts between both countries and resulting in severing diplomatic ties.

Conclusion

In the last decade, Peruvian-Venezuelan diplomatic tensions were rooted in differing political ideals regarding foreign policy, immigration, and political institutions. Kuczynski’s administration strictly complying with the Peruvian foreign policy aiming to position Peru as a regional leader collided with Venezuela’s efforts to enhance their 21st Century Socialism in the region. However, during Vizcarra’s mandate, the differences with Venezuela regarding foreign policies became secondary and replaced by the influx of Venezuelan immigrants as a potential threat to national security. This situation prompted the government to implement a mano dura immigration approach. At the end of Vizcarra’s administration, it was proved that this mano dura approach was more a discourse than a concrete strategy because the number of Venezuelans in Peru did not decrease. The administration that followed Vizcarra—Pedro Castillo’s—continued with the same approach. Finally, the current government, Dina Boluarte, has continued mimicking the same mano dura discourse—again without significant results, just a confrontative narrative. The only concret action taken was in front of the alleged electoral fraud in Venezuela. This disparity in political systems, coupled with allegations of electoral fraud, prompted Peru to express its discontent with Venezuela.

Despite the opposing ideals of each country, citizens, especially Peruvians, have had a significant role in shaping the Peruvian government’s policy decisions. Whenever an administration perceives that there is people discontent regarding Venzuelan’s immigrants, they deliver a more aggressive discourse and promise to take actions to decrease immigration. However, since diplomatic ties with Venezuela are broken, there are no solutions. If Peru wants to solve its problems with Venezuela—especially the immigration issue—channels of dialogue must be established and support must be sought from other Latin American countries. Otherwise, immigration will continue to increase, along with the diplomatic conflict.

 

*****

Matias Azcárate is a sophomore at NYU, double majoring in Public Policy and Politics and minoring in Management and Public Policy. His specialization lies in Latin American and Peruvian politics.

*****

Works Cited

Adamson, Fiona B., and Gerasimos Tsourapas. “Migration Diplomacy in World Politics.” International Studies Perspectives, vol. 20, no. 2, Dec. 2018, pp. 113–28. https://doi.org/10.1093/isp/eky015.

Arévalo, Oscar Vidarte, and Andrea Rivas Huerta. “Peru’s Leadership in the Lima Group: Emergence and Failure (2015–2021).” Frontiers in Political Science, vol. 6, Oct. 2024, https://doi.org/10.3389/fpos.2024.1494992.

Aquino, Marco. “Peru to Scrutinize Venezuelan Remittances Amid Crime Concerns.” Reuters, 22 Oct. 2024, www.reuters.com/world/americas/peru-monitor-venezuelan-migrants-remittances-amid-crime-fears-2024-10-22.

BBC News. “Peru Recalls Ambassador in Caracas Amid Diplomatic Spat.” BBC News, 7 Mar. 2017, www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-39188482

Bronstein, Hugh. “Peru Brings up Venezuela Crisis at U.N., Venezuela Swipes Back.” Reuters,
20 Sept. 2016, www.reuters.com/article/world/peru-brings-up-venezuela-crisis-at-un-venezuela-swipes-back-idUSKCN11Q2YN.

“Carter Center Statement on Venezuela Election.” The Carter Center, www.cartercenter.org/news/pr/2024/venezuela-073024.html?s_src=cartercenter&s_subsrc=search&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=20600763275&gbraid=0AAAAAD_jeJ6De1WYEnorFzKVqUYjoHzSZ&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIpdftroz-jAMVAmZHAR1OKS_dEAAYASAAEgKFfvD_BwE.

Center for Strategic Studies of the Peruvian Army. Venezuelan Migration in Peru: Perceptions and Realities. 23 Mar. 2023, https://ceeep.mil.pe/2023/03/23/venezuelan-migration-in-peru-perceptions-and-realities/?lang=en.

García, Luis Fernando. “The ‘Chamos’ in Prison: Venezuelans in Peruvian Jails.” Anthropológica, vol. 42, no. 52, 2024, pp. 143–197. https://doi.org/10.18800/anthropologica.202401.006

Kuczynski Godard, Pedro Pablo. “Mensaje a la Nación del Señor Presidente Constitucional de la República, Señor Pedro Pablo Kuczynski Godard.” Speech, Lima, Peru, July 28, 2016. Presidencia del Perú. https://www.presidencia.gob.pe/docs/mensaje28julio2016.pdf.

Little, Walter. “International Conflict in Latin America.” International Affairs, vol. 63, no. 4, Jan.
1987, pp. 589–601. https://doi.org/10.2307/2619639.

Phillips, Tom. “Venezuela’s Neighbours Turn up Heat as Nicolás Maduro Begins Second Term.” The Guardian, 9 Jan. 2019, www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/09/venezuela-nicolas-maduro-second-term-neighbours-latin-america.

Kuczynski Godard, Pedro Pablo. “Peru’s Kuczynski Talks Trump, Venezuela, Trade During Princeton Speech.” Reuters Archive Licensing, 20 Sept. 2017, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ. Speech. reuters.screenocean.com/record/308735.

Mazza, Jacqueline, and Nicolás Forero Villarreal. “Perú and Migration from Venezuela: From Early Adjustment to Policy Misalignment.” The Palgrave Handbook of South–South Migration and Inequality, edited by Jacqueline Mazza and Nicolás Forero Villarreal, Palgrave Macmillan, 2024, p. 653-678. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-39814-8_30

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Peru. Foreign Policy. Government of Peru, http://www.rree.gob.pe/politicaexterior/paginas/home.aspx.
National Institute of Statistics and Informatics (INEI). Sociodemographic Characteristics of Venezuelan Citizens Residing in Peru, According to the Results of the “Survey Directed at the Venezuelan Population Residing in the Country, ENPOVE 2018.” Government of Peru, 2019.

https://cdn.www.gob.pe/uploads/document/file/1260611/Caracteristicas-sociodemograficas-de-ciudadanos-venezolanos.pdf.

Roberts, Samuel Raphael. The Fall of Democracy and the Rise of Authoritarianism in Venezuela. 1 Apr. 2020, pp. 30–33. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5mj6j3t8

Rogero, Tiago. “Evidence Shows Venezuela’s Election Was Stolen – but Will Maduro Budge?” The Guardian, 6 Aug. 2024, www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/06/venezuela-election-maduro-analysis.

Roy, Diana. “Venezuela: The Rise and Fall of a Petrostate.” Council on Foreign Relations, 31 July 2024. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/venezuela-crisis
Reuters. “Peru President Vizcarra Swears in Actor as New PM.” Voice of America, 12 Mar. 2019, www.voanews.com/a/peru-president-vizcarra-swears-in-actor-as-new-prime-minister-/4825090.html.

Reuters. “Peru Orders Venezuelan Diplomats Out After Contested Vote.” Reuters, 30 July 2024, www.reuters.com/world/americas/peru-orders-venezuelan-diplomats-leave-country-within-72-hours-2024-07-30.

Salazar Elena Rodrigo. “La política exterior de Hugo Chávez.” Biblat, 2008, p. 226. https://revistadigital.sre.gob.mx/index.php/rmpe/article/view/682

Sequera, Vivian. “Venezuela Chides Peru for ‘xenophobia’ Against Migrants.” Reuters, 30 Sept. 2019, www.reuters.com/article/world/venezuela-chides-peru-for-xenophobia-against-migrants-idUSKBN1WF065.

Sylvia, Ronald D., and Constantine P. Danopoulos. “The Chávez Phenomenon: Political Change in Venezuela.” Third World Quarterly, vol. 24, no. 1, 2003, pp. 63–76. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/3993630

Taj, Mitra. “Peru President Vows to Keep Deporting Venezuelans with Criminal Records.” Reuters, 7 June 2019, https://www.reuters.com/article/world/peru-president-vows-to-keep-deporting-venezuelans-with-criminal-records-idUSKCN1T80DA/.

The Guardian Staff. “Venezuela Calls Peru’s President a ‘Coward’ and a ‘Dog’ Subservient to US.” The Guardian, 6 Mar. 2017, www.theguardian.com/world/2017/mar/06/venezuela-peru-pedro-pablo-kuczynski-united-states-trump.

Lima, U. S. Mission. “Joint Statement on the Situation in Venezuela – U.S. Embassy in Peru.” U.S. Embassy in Peru, 30 Sept. 2024, pe.usembassy.gov/joint-statement-on-the-situation-in-venezuela.

Filed Under: Peacebuilding, Uncategorized

Cyber Security and Global Power: Adapting to a New World of Digital Risks

April 25, 2025 by mg7601 Leave a Comment

By Jayda Bonnick

Source: Unsplash

As cyberspace reshapes global security, traditional notions of power and dominance are being redefined. This piece explores how digital vulnerabilities, private tech influence, and innovation challenge state authority in the cyber realm. Drawing on Fred Kaplan’s Dark Territory, it highlights the complex balance between connectivity and control in an increasingly digital world.

One of the defining features of cyberspace is its ever-evolving nature. Both consumers and governments alike find themselves grappling to adopt and adapt to the latest innovations while simultaneously learning what vulnerabilities lie in its wake. Fred Kaplan’s Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War examines the U.S government’s decades-long journey to understand and adopt cyber operations in the scope of its national security and military operations. Throughout the chapters, Kaplan discusses the underlying notion state officials found themselves going back to when adopting and implementing new cyber practices systemically: “whatever we can do to our enemies, our enemies could soon do to us” (Kaplan 125). This concept of reciprocity is key in highlighting the inherent insecurity that states experience in the cyber realm of global security. Cyber capabilities do not equate to power in the same way that tactical military capabilities once did in the 20th century. When both civilians and state officials rely on the Internet and digital connectivity both personally and professionally, a delicate dance has to be done by governments when asserting their position in global security.

During the Cold War’s nuclear arms race, power was determined by which nations possessed tangible nuclear capabilities, while those without such weapons gained relative power by aligning with nuclear states (Kaplan 43). This led to a bipolar dynamic between the United States and Russia, creating a generally straightforward system of deterrence. With cyber activities as the latest technology that actors are implementing into their security programs, the road to power and dominance in this space is not as linear as it is when discussing tangible capabilities. Information warfare and espionage operations are long-standing practices in security, but cyberspace brought those practices to a new level as technology became more accessible and more sensitive information became digitized. 

Cyber operations can be executed against specific personnel or entire state-owned agencies, making vulnerabilities in cyberspace broader and more complex than in traditional security contexts.. The Obama administration represented the shift in people’s relationship with the Internet as it pertained to security on a personal and public level. Former President Barack Obama had to have a new Blackberry with high-end encryption manufactured specifically for him after refusing to give up his phone upon the Secret Service’s request (Kaplan 145). While the president could not part with his personal smartphone, each device becomes a potential entry point for malicious actors seeking to compromise national security. President Obama was the first president to represent the give-and-take of cybersecurity. He, like most Americans, has a personal device integrated into everyday life, one that parting ways with is seemingly impossible, while each device serves as a host and a new pathway for violating privacy. The pervasiveness of the Internet in the lives of citizens and officials alike can undermine a country’s cyber capabilities if hackers target an individual or a private server outside of the state’s control, making it hard to establish cyberpower through quantitative means, like how tactical security capabilities could be measured in past decades through number of troops or amount of artillery.

In Dark Territory, Kaplan mentions how most of the world’s Internet bandwidth flowed through US-owned infrastructure: “pieces of every email and cell phone conversation in the world flowed, at some point, through a line of American-based fiber optics” (178).  Through innovation and globally relied-upon infrastructure, the United States is able to achieve a level of cyberpower that indicates its influence in the sphere, similar to Michael Mann’s definition of power in The Sources of Social Power: Volume 1, A History of Power from the Beginning to AD 1760. Mann describes power as the ability to attain goals through mastering one’s environment (Mann 6). While American-based fiber optics does not equal security for the United States, it shows how innovation in cyber can be just as important as knowing how to convert those innovations into cyber operations for a nation’s military plan. 

This notion of innovation to assert cyber dominance is seen in states’ strategies to either align with or discredit private technology companies.  Private tech firms and social media platforms have the funding and attention of millions of consumers, asserting their own power in cyberspace. States have to acknowledge the legitimacy of these private actors when their platforms have non-political figures with more followers than congressmen and presidents. Social media platforms like TikTok (owned by a private Chinese company, ByteDance) have faced scrutiny by American politicians in the last five years as the app has about 150 million active users in the United States alone (Kerr, Lee). With the amount of active users on these platforms, private companies have access to mass amounts of personal data that can be a tool for or a threat to state agencies and their operations. Whether it’s through allowing private firms to be in discussions around cybersecurity or, on the other end, considering legislation to bar certain actors from operating within a state’s territory, innovators in cyberspace carry weight when it comes to today’s conversations around global security and state interests. 

From coding knowledge being as accessible as a free video on YouTube to less financial barriers to connect to the Internet, billions of people are active participants in cyberspace, making it both a critical resource and source of vulnerability for all of its users. Fred Kaplan’s Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War outlines the struggles lawmakers, tech experts, and military officials faced when confronted with inherent insecurity at every stage of incorporating cyber operations into the government’s infrastructure and national security plans. From adding security software to military computers to the first major cyber attack carried out by the United States, Stuxnet, there was an inability to be “ahead of the curve” offensively or defensively, making cyberpower harder to establish in the same way states have historically demonstrated security and power. The value of cyberspace lies in a state’s ability to contribute to innovations in the digital era, whether through social media platforms or investing in global cyber infrastructure. Being able to keep up with the nuances of cyberspace has not and will not guarantee foolproof protection against cyber attacks, but rather it allows actors to be perceived as leaders in a space that boasts and encourages interconnectivity and convenience despite the list of vulnerabilities that come with it.

******

Jayda Bonnick is a graduate student at NYU studying Global Security, Conflict, and Cybercrime. With a background in international relations and cybersecurity strategy analysis, she explores the evolving intersections of technology, security, and power. Her work focuses on how digital infrastructure and innovation shape global governance and national security.

 

Works Cited

Kaplan, Fred. “Buckshot Yankee.” In Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War, 125-137. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2017.

 

Kaplan, Fred. “A Cyber Pearl Harbor.” In Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War, 33-45. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2017.

 

Kaplan, Fred. “The Whole Haystack.” In Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War, 138-145. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2017.

 

Kaplan, Fred. “The Five Guys Report.” In Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War, 170-189. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2017.

 

Kerr, Dara.. “Lawmakers grilled TikTok CEO Chew for 5 hours in a high-stakes hearing about the app.” NPR, March 23, 2023. https://www.npr.org/2023/03/23/1165579717/tiktok-congress-hearing-shou-zi-chew-project-texas#:~:text=Front%20and%20center%20were%20concerns,users%20with%20the%20Chinese%20government. 

 

Lee, Carol. “TikTok now has 150 million active users in the U.S., CEO to tell Congress.” NBC News, March 23, 2023. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/tiktok-now-150-million-active-users-us-ceo-tell-congress-rcna75607.   

Mann, Michael. “Societies as organized power networks.” In The Sources of Social Power, Volume: 1, A History of Power from the Beginning to AD 1760, 1-32. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012.

Filed Under: International Relations/Global Futures, Opinion, Perspectives on Global Issues - Archives, Private Sector, Transnational Security, Uncategorized

Tribalism in Germany– Us versus Them(?)

January 30, 2025 by mg7601 Leave a Comment

By Jennifer Hofmann

Photo By Rasmus Gundorff Sæderup

 

Tribalism in Germany – Us versus Them (?) explores the complex dynamics of tribalism and its impact on Germany’s national and global role. Highlighting the rise of the far-right AfD party, the piece examines how tribalism fuels anti-immigrant rhetoric, pressures liberal policies, and threatens Germany’s commitment to the international liberal order. Yet, it also considers the potential for positive tribalism to foster belonging and cultural exchange, offering hope for a more inclusive and cooperative future.
 

Tribalism – “the state of existing as a tribe, or a very strong feeling of loyalty to your tribe” (Cambridge Dictionary) – is an important part of human nature that can shape human interactions, leading groups to adopt certain ideological thinking and values that may distort the cognitive processing of information, affirming the views of the ingroup (Clark and Winegard 1). Thus, tribalism affects the tribe’s relations to the “outside world”, shaping its approach to international relations. As Chua states, tribalism has even started to pose a threat towards the postwar liberal international order (Chua 1-2). My home country Germany illustrates the truth behind that statement.

Ever since the end of World War II, democratic Germany has been an integral part of the liberal world order, being crucial in the establishment and the success of the European Union (EU), supporting NATO’s collective security framework, and actively engaging in the United Nations’ initiatives for peace, stability, and human rights. Despite this, tribalism can be found throughout Germany, from the sovereignty aspirations in Bavaria to the closed-off communities of Turkish migrants in German cities. Yet the most compelling example demonstrating the impact of tribalism on Germany’s role on the global stage is the rise of the right-wing party, “Alternative für Deutschland” (AfD). 

Since its foundation in 2013, the party has increasingly developed a far-right, populist profile (Decker). Nowadays, its leaders have established a clear “us-versus-them” narrative, where “us” encompasses the “German population” and “them” the growing population with a migrant background. Examples of this narrative can be found in statements of party officials as well as campaign slogans, like the 2017 poster, “New Germans? Let’s make them ourselves!” depicting a pregnant, blonde woman (Koenigs). Furthermore, Alice Weidel, co-chairwomen and chancellor-candidate, declared that “burqas, headscarf girls, publicly-supported knife men, and other good-for-nothings” would not serve German prosperity (Breitenback and Hallam). This anti-immigrant sentiment in Germany culminated in November 2023, when far-right extremists, politicians and supporters with connections to the AfD met in Potsdam to discuss a “master plan” for the mass deportation of foreigners and “non-assimilated” Germans (Shelton). The AfD has increasingly embraced this radicalized rhetoric, frequently employing terms like “remigration” in public discourse.. 

This anti-immigrant rhetoric has proven successful, resonating with voters and leading to strong results in the European and Eastern State elections in Germany. Francis Fukuyama, in “The New Tribalism and the Crisis of Democracy”, might provide an answer as to why the AfD has found such support amongst the German voters. Examining Trump’s U.S. popularity, he finds that many of his supporters, who identify as white working class, feel victimized and disregarded by the elites. Fukuyama accurately describes how the freedom and the degree of choice within modern liberal societies can leave people feeling unsatisfied and disconnected (Fukuyama 102-105). Thus, they might find themselves nostalgic for the ordered life and community they think they have lost and that their ancestors possessed.

This sentiment can be found amongst many Germans that feel their security, jobs, and culture are threatened by the influx of immigrants. For example, in my hometown many people vocalize their fear of German culture being undermined by the arrival of immigrants with different religions, cultures, and morals. They also view their safety as compromised by traumatized and “dangerous” refugees. In order to preserve the Germany their ancestors built, some view it as their only option to vote for the AfD and restrict the arrival of “those others”. 

This rise of the AfD, riding on tribalism that unites Germans feeling threatened by the negative perception of immigrants, has several implications for Germany’s role on the global stage. Firstly, the AfD’s success has pressured the German government to reintroduce border controls and abandon the “Willkommenskultur” Merkel introduced in 2015 (Shukla et al.). Thus, Germany also contradicted the principles of the Schengen Agreement, which guarantees free movement across member states without internal border controls, undermining the foundation of European unity and threatening the liberal international order. Secondly, the shift of German voters to the right has led to immense insecurity and instability in the former center-left coalition led by Chancellor Scholz. Given the populations’ evident discontent as well as internal coalition disputes, the German government has indeed collapsed, with Scholz losing a vote of confidence on December 16, 2024, and new elections scheduled for February 2025. From an outside perspective, Germany seems paralyzed by its failed government, causing concern among fellow European States who might have to take the lead in EU matters, such as the ongoing war in Ukraine (Marsh). Beyond that, the rise of the AfD gives reason for further doubts about Germany’s future in the liberal world order, as the party has previously toyed with propositions of Germany leaving NATO as well as the EU (Hockenos). Thirdly and more broadly, German tribalism, expressed by but not limited to the rise of the AfD, fosters mistrust and pressure to further isolate “the Germans” from outside influences. 

Summarily, the tribalism portrayed and supported by the AfD has caused Germany to slowly abandon its former liberal policies and to adopt a more realist stance, potentially restricting its future role in the world order. Germany – adamant defender of a liberal world order, promoter of change through trade, largest net contributor to the EU, and safe haven for millions of refugees – disengaging from the global stage would have dramatic consequences. Especially in times of multiple crises and increasing global tensions, a lack in Germany’s commitment could put the entire postwar liberal international system into jeopardy. 

 However, as stated by Clark and Winegard, tribalism is not inherently bad (Clark and Winegard 2). Tribalism can also enable a feeling of belonging and togetherness, as demonstrated by my hometown’s folklore group, for example. It brings together people of all ages, uniting them in the goal to uphold and celebrate the culture of the region through traditional clothing and dancing. This folklore group has strong global ties to other groups. For example, last year a group from Latvia paid a visit and shared their own traditions and culture with the locals. Thus, both groups fostered a mutual understanding for each other’s tribes and established enduring friendships. This simple connection makes me believe in the existence of positive tribalism, when it is not weaponized by “us-versus-them”-populism, such as the AfD’s. Tribalism in this perspective does not foster isolationism, but rather the motivation to share one’s own culture, the curiosity to learn more about others, and the desire to celebrate the diversity of the international world order.


*******

Jennifer Hofmann is a first-year graduate student pursuing a degree in Global Affairs, Global Economy. With extensive experience in political environments, she has worked at various levels, from being an elected member of the local district parliament, assisting Members of Parliament in the Hessian State Parliament to contributing to international organizations like the Konrad-Adenauer-Foundation at the United Nations. Her work spans research, advocacy, and policy development, giving her a unique perspective on both local and global political dynamics.
 

Works Cited

Breitenbach, D. & Hallam, M. (n.d.): AfD leaders and their most offensive remarks, in Deutsche Welle, in https://www.dw.com/en/afd-leaders-and-their-most-offensive-remarks/g-37651099. Accessed 25 October 2024

Cambridge Dictionary (n.d.): tribalism, in https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/tribalism. Accessed 25 October 2024

Chua, A. (2018): Tribal World. Group Identity Is All, in Foreign Affairs 

Clark, C.J. & Winegard, B.M. (2020): Tribalism in War and Peace: The Nature and Evolution of Ideological Epistemology and Its Significance for Modern Social Science, in Psychological Inquiry, Vol. 31, No. 1, 1-22 

Decker, F. (2022): Etappen der Parteigeschichte der AfD, in Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung, in https://www.bpb.de/themen/parteien/parteien-in-deutschland/afd/273130/etappen-der-parteigeschichte-der-afd/. Accessed 25 October 2024

Fukuyama, F. (2018): Against Identity Politics. The New Tribalism and the Crisis of Democracy. In Foreign Affairs, September/October 2018, pp. 90-114 

Hockenos, P. (2024): Germany’s Far-Right Party Is Worse Than the Rest of Europe’s, in Foreign Policy, in https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/01/26/afd-germany-far-right-populism-radical-europe-remigration-immigrants/. Accessed 25 October 2024

Koenigs, V. (2024): AfD: Kirche muss nicht – Kinder und Küche aber schon, in Norddeutscher Rundfunk, in https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/niedersachsen/Die-AfD-und-ihre-Positionen-zu-Frauen-und-Familie,afd3132.html. Accessed 25 October 2024 

Marsh, S. (2024): Far-right state win shakes Germany’s fragile coalition, in Reuters, in https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/far-right-state-win-shakes-germanys-fragile-coalition-2024-09-01/. Accessed 25 October 2024

Shelton, J. (2024): Germany: Report shows deeper AfD ties to Potsdam meeting, in Deutsche Welle, in https://www.dw.com/en/germany-report-shows-deeper-afd-ties-to-potsdam-meeting/a-68127057. Accessed 25 October 2024

Shukla, S., Schmidt, N., Otto, M. (2024): Goodbye, ‘welcome culture.’ Germany bows to far-right pressure and tightens its borders, in CNN World, in https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/21/europe/germany-borders-poland-scholz-intl/index.html. Accessed 25 October 2024

 

 

Filed Under: Global Economy, International Relations/Global Futures, Opinion, Perspectives on Global Issues - Archives, Transnational Security, Uncategorized

Wounds yet to heal: Analyzing trauma within the scope of the 1994 Rwandan Genocide

January 22, 2024 by krc8929 Leave a Comment

by Karina Casarez

Nearly three decades have passed since the tragic events of the 1994 genocide against the Tutsi, with a significant portion of the population suffering from mental health disorders and trauma symptoms. This research examines the specific factors of trauma endured by survivors, perpetrators, and their children, shedding light on prevailing gaps and needs within victim services. (Photo credit: helloitsrufio on Unsplash)

The 1994 genocide against the Tutsis in Rwanda left between 800,000 and one million people brutally killed after a horrific 100 days of civil war and slaughter (United Nations Outreach Program). Approximately 75% of the country’s Tutsi ethnic minority and numerous Hutu moderates were massacred by Rwandan Hutu government soldiers and Interahamwe militia forces (Rieder and Elbert). Primarily using traditional weapons such as machetes and clubs, neighbors attacked neighbors, resulting in three months of looting, sexual violence, and murder, constituting genocide (Rieder and Elbert). In the aftermath of the crimes, the newly established Rwandan government began genocide trials, and by 2000, over 100,000 genocide suspects were awaiting court proceedings (United Nations Outreach Programme). Due to the enormous number of cases, the government began implementing gacaca courts, which were community-based proceedings intended to be a traditional alternative to national and international judicial systems. Nearly 30 years later, many convicted perpetrators have been released, with around 70,000 genocide suspects released by 2007 and most remaining to be released within the next few years due to their 20 to 30-year sentences being completed (Assimwe; Interpeace). The immediate needs of survivors of the genocide after the events and the current reintegration of ex-perpetrators into Rwandan society have led to considerable efforts to implement rehabilitation and recovery programs focused on providing trauma support for victims of the genocide (Interpeace).

METHODOLOGY

Although the trauma suffered by Rwandans who experienced the 1994 genocide is extensive and endured by various groups within the population, this essay will evaluate three specific factors of trauma experienced by survivors, perpetrators, and their children to identify existing gaps and needs within victim services. The subsequent research will examine trauma (a) as a general result of experiencing the 1994 Rwandan genocide, including a particular analysis of women victims, (b) trauma transmitted to second generations, and (c) retraumatization resulting from justice and reconciliation processes. Section II will utilize primary and secondary sources to review current victim services and trauma-informed practices promoting trauma healing, reconciliation, and stigma reduction. This final section will also outline recommendations for further victim service implementation to close remaining gaps in providing trauma recovery avenues for victims of genocide and second-generation children. 

TRAUMA RESULTING FROM THE RWANDAN GENOCIDE

Trauma caused by experiencing the genocide

The 100 days of the 1994 Rwandan genocide witnessed crimes of humanity, genocide, and war crimes conducted on a horrific scale (United Nations International Residual Mechanism for Criminal Tribunals). Every minute, an average of six men, women, and children were murdered throughout the three-month period (Survivors Fund, “Statistics”). Many crimes were perpetrated by people known to the victim, such as neighbors and friends (Dyregrov et al. 4). In addition to the 800,000 to one million killed, it is estimated that between 250,000 and 500,000 women were raped and subjected to sexual violence (Haffajee 201). Nearly 70% of women raped during the genocide were infected with HIV by the perpetrators (African Rights). As a result of the violence, thousands of children died, and up to 400,000 children were left unaccompanied (Human Rights Watch, “Children without parents”). One-third of child survivors witnessed the deaths of their relatives, and 80% lost family members (Survivors Fund, “Statistics”). The Rwandan National Trauma Survey showed that 96% of children witnessed violence, 69% witnessed death, and 30% witnessed rape (The Government of Rwanda 9). In addition, in a survey of over 3,000 children after the genocide, 90% of the children believed they would die during the events of the genocide, one-third believed they would not live to become adults, and 15% hid under dead bodies to survive (Dyregrov et al. 9).

In a study focused on trauma symptoms as a consequence of the genocide against the Tutsis, results show that nearly 80% of survivors fulfill the criteria for trauma-related disorders (Schaal et al. 96). Other studies have found that the extent of the trauma experienced during the genocide is positively correlated with the number of persisting post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms that the victims still experience (Caspar et al.). These findings are similarly confirmed by reports of victims who witnessed family members being attacked, experiencing higher rates of PTSD and distress symptoms by 2008 than individuals who had not witnessed such events (Ng et al.). Rugema et al. also found that individuals who witnessed or experienced traumatic events during the genocide were impacted nearly 17 years later, such as not marrying, not having children, and living in impoverished circumstances (Rugema et al.). Studies have shown that after experiencing the genocide, survivors had a reduced ability to resonate with the pain of others (Caspar et al.). Additional literature has shown that survivors feel that members outside their groups are dangerous. This results in them feeling diminished and vulnerable (Staub, “Reconciliation after genocide” 871). This is particularly relevant in Rwanda since perpetrators and survivors are forced to live in close proximity to each other, which may facilitate daily interaction between the survivors and perpetrators (JHA Editors and Noamschimmel).

The Rwandan genocide affected men and women differently concerning the atrocities experienced and the severity of trauma symptoms post-genocide. Men were more likely to be imprisoned, kidnapped, or killed, while women were exposed to more physical and sexual violence (Rugema). In addition, over 250,000 women were left widowed (Sharlach 98). Loss of an individual’s social support further increases the likelihood and prevalence of PTSD symptoms. Women were more likely to witness sexual or physical violence perpetrated against relatives and close friends, which has also been shown to increase PTSD symptoms (Platt 800). Women specifically reported experiencing a loss of dignity and respect, loss of identity, social isolation, and loss of hope for the future (Petersen-Coleman and Swaroop 9). Horrifyingly, it is believed that in some areas of Rwanda, all women were rape victims, and in Kigali, it is estimated that most women between the ages of 13 and 50 were victims of rape (Sharlach 98). Victims of rape have to deal with long-term consequences of the genocide, sometimes referred to as “second rape,” which relates to the stigmatization placed on rape victims and the consequences felt by the individual and their family relating to the belief that their honor has been tarnished in the eyes of society (Sharlach 90). Symptoms of post-rape trauma may include sexual apathy or promiscuity, substance abuse, depression, anger, loss of sense of womanhood, confusion about one’s identity, and destruction of a woman’s morale (Sharlach 91). Stigmatization leads to women becoming social outcasts within their communities, often due to society perceiving women as willing participants or complicit in the rape. The consequences of rape during the genocide, in addition to social stigmatization and post-trauma symptoms, include HIV infection and unwanted pregnancies (Sharlach 99).

Intergenerational trauma

It is estimated that 20,000 children were conceived from rape during the 1994 genocide (Torkgovnik). Although some women were able to accept and love their children conceived by rape, others felt it impossible to care for the child, resulting in the neglect and torture of hundreds of newborn children (Petersen-Coleman and Swaroop 10). In a meeting with the Survivors Fund in Rwanda, experts in the field shared that women with children conceived by rape often faced marital issues or found it challenging to marry or remarry (Meeting with Survivors Fund). The Rwandan Ministry additionally recounted that women often faced rejection from their families for raising children born from rape (Meeting with Ministry). Many mothers and children experienced poor relationships, including instances where mothers would lie about the child’s identity to hide the fact that they were raped during the genocide (Meeting with Survivors Fund). The stigma of rape was also passed down to children who were thought to be “illegitimate” and biologically associated with the “enemy.” Children were often referred to as “children of bad memories” and “children of hate” and became living reminders of the trauma suffered during the genocide. These children frequently experienced indirect and direct forms of violence, such as abandonment, abuse, and discrimination. Due to the association with the rape perpetrator, children were often rejected by the mother’s family, which led to a loss of identity and social exclusion. Children born of rape faced decreased opportunities in education, economic opportunity, lack of affection, and harassment (Denov et al.). Compared to children not born from rape, children born from rape showed higher levels of PTSD, anxiety, depression, physical function, pain intensity, and sleep disturbance (Uwizeye et al. 4-5). They also experienced shame, confusion, and anguish due to stigmatization and exclusion and often feared for their safety from community members  (Denov et al.). Children born from rape are also largely excluded from victim services because government funds are only available to genocide survivors born before 1994 (Meeting with Survivors Fund).

Even children not born from genocidal rape have a substantial likelihood of experiencing intergenerational trauma transmitted through social and biological pathways such as family mental health, sociopolitical trauma, cultural narratives, silence and disclosure of genocide experiences, and regular contact with a traumatized parent (Der Sarkissian and Sharkey 1; Jensen et al. 996). Genocide survivors who experienced higher levels of trauma exposure during the genocide showed higher levels of trauma transmission to their children (Der Sarkissian and Sharkey 2-5). Parents with PTSD are more likely to use ineffective parenting behaviors that negatively impact their children. In addition, PTSD symptoms affect a parent’s communication styles, coping strategies, and ability to attach and bond with their child (Mutuyimana et al.). It has also been observed that children of survivors and children of perpetrators show intergroup empathy bias transferred from the previous generation, showing further evidence of trauma transmission between generations after the genocide (Caspar et al. 837).

Retraumatization through justice & reconciliation methods

By 1998, nearly 130,000 suspected genocide perpetrators were imprisoned in facilities meant to hold 12,000 (Haskell). Although international and national courts had begun trying genocide cases in 1996, at the rate the trials were going, it would have taken more than a century to complete every trial. In effort to speed up justice and accountability for survivors and perpetrators of the genocide, the Rwandan government introduced gacaca trials as an alternative judicial system. Gacaca placed high value on the involvement of the entire community during judicial proceedings. Proceedings were run by local community judges and encouraged community participation. Until 2010, gacaca trials tried approximately 1.2 million cases (Haskell). The gacaca system was initiated to promote healing through truth-telling and facilitate reconciliation between perpetrators and survivors. It was believed that families could learn the truth about acts of violence committed against their relatives, reconcile their trauma, establish collective memory, and forgive the perpetrators (De Ycaza 24).

However, research regarding the psychological health impact of truth-telling processes like the gacaca proceedings has shown that participants of gacaca courts suffered higher levels of depression and PTSD. The constant trauma exposure most likely caused this increased prevalence of trauma symptoms during proceedings (Brounèus, “Truth-Telling as Talking Cure” 425-246). More specifically, witnesses to the gacaca trials were put through a process of remembering, recounting, and hearing traumatizing information regarding the events of the genocide. The negative impacts of gacaca proceedings are further confirmed by instances of traumatic crises, suicide attempts, and uncontrollable threatening statements made during the trials (King 139). It was even reported that thirty-six witnesses during gacaca proceedings were killed because of their participation in the trials or as an attempt to prevent witnesses from testifying against perpetrators (Nikuze). The gacaca proceedings also facilitated the collective identification of a “chosen trauma,” where groups incorporate the memories and emotional meanings of the traumatic event into their identities. This reaffirms the “us” versus “them” dichotomy rather than true reconciliation and unification between survivors and perpetrators. The justice provided by gacaca also increased feelings of guilt in witnesses of the gacaca trials. This guilt stemmed from individuals who initially supported the government, those who were bystanders during the events, or even survivors who felt guilty for having survived. In many instances, these resulting feelings from gacaca trials did more harm when analyzing the actual healing ability of truth-telling processes (Buckley-Zistel 125-126).  

The retraumatization experienced during gacaca proceedings was further endured by female survivors who testified during the trials. For female witnesses, providing testimony led to severe psychological suffering and re-traumatization. The public setting of the gacaca sessions led to women feeling that their physical security could be threatened (Brounèus, “Truth-Telling as Talking Cure” 71). Gacaca trials led directly to increases in threats, harassment, and murders of participating witnesses since all information was publicly accessible. For those who had lost their relatives and support systems due to the violence, feelings of vulnerability were especially prominent. Women who were victims of sexual violence or rape expressed feeling guilt, shame, humiliation, and ostracization from their community (Brounèus, “Truth-Telling as Talking Cure” 72). Women were allowed to report rapes through public testimony, in writing, or privately in front of a video camera. Women who testified in person were required to publicly accuse their rapist in front of their community members. For those who chose to write their testimonies, privacy was still not maintained as these writings were read aloud during the gacaca proceedings. Many women were also unaware of their inability to testify privately by camera. However, even testifying privately required the victim to face the judge panel and the accused. This was done to provide the alleged rapist a chance to defend themself. If the woman could not testify in front of the suspected perpetrator, the only additional option she had was to end the proceedings, an option only provided in rape cases (Meeting with Alphonse Muleefu). Rape victims were also fearful of potential retaliation for their accusations against rape perpetrators and faced threats by community members if the suspect was imprisoned (Eftekhari).

ANALYSIS OF TRAUMA SERVICES IN RWANDA

Rwanda has been actively building victim services and programs for survivors, perpetrators, and second-generation children within the last 28 years since the 1994 genocide. Various psychosocial models have been trialed throughout the country, with many experts identifying community-based socio-therapy practices as the most efficient methods in trauma-informed and restorative justice processes (Dyregrov; Holaday and McPhearson; Ingabire et al.). Although some individuals may benefit from individualized clinical interventions for trauma symptoms, others feel that social support and education services improve their mental well-being (Ng et al. 95). Psychosocial support must extend outside clinical approaches based on traditional Western models, utilize local resources, and focus on healing collective trauma within communities (Petersen-Coleman 13-15). Collective approaches promote resilience, re-engagement, and restoration within communities and emphasize social and cultural contexts during recovery (Pearlman 112). It is also beneficial to build national capacity within trauma approaches by encouraging participation from community leaders and trainers (Dyregrov 4-5). Due to the substantial lack of mental health professionals in Rwanda, it is essential to maintain flexibility and adaptability when training mental health professionals. Instead of observing strict educational requirements placed on most mental health professionals worldwide, some organizations, such as Never Again Rwanda, have found strength in providing short-term training to community members to ensure communities across the country have individuals with basic training and trauma-healing tools (Meeting with Never Again Rwanda). 

Organizations and entities within Rwanda also utilize decentralized processes (“village to national”) to focus on building capacity and promoting sustainability of trauma approaches by identifying local community leaders as the first essential step in providing communities with trauma-informed practices. Understanding the dangers of retraumatization and clinical burnout within therapist populations, organizations such as Never Again Rwanda provide support to trained therapists to ensure these clinicians do not feel alone while providing services to their communities. Collective therapy approaches also allow citizens to participate in dialogue, allowing communities to identify issues and utilize community leaders to assist with their service needs (Meeting with Never Again Rwanda). Some programs, such as the Trauma Recovery Program, utilize cultural methods of expression such as storytelling, drama, drawing, writing, and dancing to promote child development, assist with trauma and grief, and improve children’s listening skills (Dyregrov 4).

Numerous organizations within and outside of Rwanda provide support for victims of the genocide. Programs and services extend multiple areas of need, such as psychosocial support, economic development, gender empowerment, and education assistance. Some organizations service specific vulnerable populations, such as the Association of Genocide Widows Agahozo (AVEGA), which provides support for genocide widows, assists with trauma processing, and has established programs focused on medical care, advocacy and justice, and socio-economic development. Several organizations also focus on gender equality, women’s empowerment, and gender-based violence prevention. One such organization is the Rwanda Men’s Resource Centre (RWAMREC), which addresses negative masculinity behaviors and gender inequalities to empower families and communities to change violent behaviors, promote positive family practices, and facilitate partnership and collaboration between men and women. Many women’s cooperatives nationwide, such as the Nyamirambo Women’s Center (NWC), aim to address gender inequality, gender-based violence, and discrimination. These centers provide vocational and educational training to empower women for better employment and financial stability (Nyamirambo Women’s Center). An additional organization that provides vital support to victims is the Survivors Fund (SURF), which assists in building the capacity of other survivor organizations and supports victim programs focused on areas of need such as healthcare, housing, education, and entrepreneurship (Survivors Fund, “Our Work”). One of the most critical sources of support for victims of genocide is the Genocide Survivors Support and Assistance Fund (FARG), a state-owned organization that provides education, health, shelter, social assistance, and income generation support. However, financial compensation and support are only eligible for genocide survivors born before 1994 (Nikwivuze).

Because government support is only available to individuals alive during the 1994 genocide and consequently labeled “survivors,” many community organizations recognize the need for services and programs for second-generation youth (Dyregrov 19). However, although some of these programs provide psychosocial support, many also focus on youth empowerment, the promotion of peace, and the facilitation of intergenerational reconciliation. SURF, in partnership with the National Student’s Association of Genocide Survivors (AERG) and the National Survivor’s Association of Graduate Students (GAERG), provides vulnerable youth, including second-generation youth, with mentorship on entrepreneurship, readiness, and vocational training, and access to financial and learning resources through the Youth Economic Empowerment Program (Survivors Fund, “Report”). Other organizations, such as Ajprodho-Jijukirwa, focus on engaging youth through human rights promotion, research, advocacy, and economic empowerment. Because of the increasing acknowledgment of trends and challenges caused by intergenerational trauma, with the support of USAID, they also promote peacebuilding by providing therapeutic healing, individual and group therapy, and trauma support (Meeting with Ajprodho-Jijukirwa). The Rwanda Peace Education Programme (RPEP), implemented by Aegis Trust and additional partners, promotes peace and reconciliation efforts by nurturing social cohesion, positive values, critical thinking, and empathy. Similar to the Trauma Recovery Program, RPEP utilizes storytelling and community education outreach activities. The RPEP program was recently implemented in the Rwandan school curriculum, now known as Peace and Values Education (PVE) (Basabose). In an effort to provide psychosocial support to families impacted by genocidal rape, raise awareness about the consequences of rape and sexual violence, and reduce stigmatization, Foundation Rwanda aims to support and empower victims of rape and second-generation youth born from rape (Foundation Rwanda). Lastly, although rare, some services are also provided to children of perpetrators, such as programs established by Prison Fellowship that assist with education support (Meeting with Prison Fellowship).

Psychosocial support was also offered during gacaca trials, although during a meeting with the National Public Prosecution Authority in 2023, the prosecutors acknowledged that the protection provided to witnesses who testified publicly was inadequate. Organizations such as Ibuka and Aegis Trust provided on-site counselors who could provide trauma assistance to individuals engaged in the gacaca process. In some instances where rape cases were reported, women with knowledge and understanding of the challenges of rape were placed on judge panels. However, as noted before, victims of rape were forced to testify in front of their accused, and confidentially measures were weak during the proceedings (Meeting with Alphonse Muleefu). Before gacaca courts were implemented, national leaders had expressed initial concerns about retraumatization and a potential rise of new violence. Researchers such as Staub  (“Justice, healing, and reconciliation” 27) were invited to develop programs aimed at reducing (1) the retraumatization of survivors, especially those who acted as witnesses, (2) the trauma of children exposed to vivid images and stories of violence, including testimonies of rape, and (3) renewed anger and hostility of Tutsis and Hutus who relived the horrible events through the testimonies given. It was concluded that the most efficient programs in reducing retraumatization included four components: education on the origins of the genocide, possibilities for prevention, acknowledgment of the psychosocial impact of victimization, trauma, and healing methods, and the facilitation of individual engagement with their traumatic experiences during the genocide (Staub, “Justice, healing, and reconciliation” 27-28). Programs like these provided sources of positive healing and reconciliation processes through truth-telling mechanisms such as gacaca.

Service gaps

Despite the vast number of services and programs provided by civil society and state government entities, significant gaps currently hinder the provision of adequate trauma-informed practices to victims of the 1994 genocide. Services must be extended outside the major urban areas, such as Kigali, as most of the resources provided are concentrated within these areas and largely absent from other parts of the country. Without the economic means to travel into these urban areas to receive services, many of the most affected victims of the genocide are left without trauma services (Nowotny 424).

Given that approximately 78% of Rwanda’s 13.5 million population is under the age of 35, it is also essential to ensure that support and assistance are provided for members of the society suffering from intergenerational trauma (Mbabazi and Gomera). Policy change within the Rwandan government is essential to recognize and support the experiences of second-generation survivors and children born of rape. Although not “survivors” in the sense of having experienced the genocide, these youth are still victims of the crimes perpetrated against their families and communities (Denov). By rethinking the label “survivor” and including trauma victims of subsequent generations, a greater number of individuals could be eligible to receive financial compensation through FARG (Hamel 31). It is essential that youth be included in the policy-making process so that they are able to contribute their experiences as second-generation survivors and express insight into the needs of others in similar situations (Denov). Moving away from the commonly used labels of “survivor” and “perpetrator” is also vital, as these significantly impact individual identity and national unity. For example, although no longer identified by ethnic groups such as Hutu and Tutsi, unity within the country is debatable when new labels have connotations of people being good (survivor) or bad (perpetrator). These labels are problematic because they make it easier for policies, initiatives, and grants to target specific populations that largely exclude other relevant actors. Discarding the labels of “survivor” or “perpetrator” also includes bringing awareness and acknowledgment to the trauma faced by perpetrators and their children. It is inequitable to deny the trauma and experiences faced by populations labeled as “perpetrators” and can lead to radicalization, anger, genocide denial, and potential acts of violence (Kuradusenge-McLeod). 

Regarding justice and reconciliation, it is also essential for Rwanda to commit to ensuring that all victims receive financial reparations for the crimes they have suffered. This is especially relevant for those victims of property crimes and women victims of rape and sexual violence. Although victims were promised reparations through national and gacaca courts, many have still not received what is owed to them (Nowotny 418). This has led to many Rwandans feeling disappointed in the judicial systems meant to protect and validate their experiences (Nowotny 402). Despite the government establishing funding through FARG to provide financial assistance to victims, critics argue that the financial compensation fails to go far enough (Mugiraneza). Instead, recommendations include establishing a separate reparations fund modeled after mechanisms such as the International Criminal Court’s Trust Fund for Victims and the African Union Trust Fund for Victims of Hissène Habré’s Crimes (Ngari). Sufficient financial compensation could help victims feel validated in their traumatic experiences, become more accepting and open to reconciliation processes, and assist victims and their families with financial burdens such as healthcare and psychosocial treatment costs (Eftekhari). 

Although gacaca proceedings have ended, Rwanda still utilizes a community-level mediation system called abunzi. These traditional dispute resolution systems are facilitated at cell and sector levels, which are more localized administrative entities in comparison to the centralized provinces of the country. These systems are led by community members elected as mediators and act as a prerequisite for parties to bring forth disputes and action before reaching the level of the national court system (Republic of Rwanda). It is required that criminal and civil cases (of value below three million Rwandan francs) be first presented for mediation by the abunzi system. Therefore, the lessons learned from gacaca courts must be applied and remedied in the existing abunzi proceedings. Victim protection, especially for individuals testifying as rape and sexual violence victims, should be highly prioritized during any community-based reconciliation process. This includes confidentiality measures such as ensuring that names are redacted from any documentation of the proceedings (Eftekhari). Although the government of Rwanda has implemented the Witness and Victims Assistance and Protection Program, which provides assistance to witnesses in judicial processes, these protections are only currently reserved for domestic courts and, therefore, are not guaranteed protections during abunzi proceedings (Nikuze). Participants of truth-telling processes, including community mediation systems, must be provided with the facts and challenges associated with their testimonies and be provided support before, during, and after the sessions. Psychosocial and victim support services are also crucial necessities during these processes (Brounèus, “The Trauma of Truth Telling” 430). Elected community members and leaders should be trained in psychosocial support and trauma-informed practices. These systems should also utilize collective approaches to healing, including traditional practices and rituals that consider the social and cultural context of those involved (King 146-147). Lastly, any truth-telling, justice, and reconciliation methods must implement processes with a gender lens to ensure that protections and needs for sexual violence and rape victims are addressed (Brounèus, “Truth-Telling as Talking Cure” 72).

CONCLUSION

The 1994 Rwandan genocide inflicted a substantial portion of the population with mental health disorders and trauma symptoms. With an estimated 26% of the population suffering from PTSD, it is imperative that Rwanda prioritize the recovery and rehabilitation of victims of the genocide, including second-generation survivors and children with perpetrator parents (Musanabaganwa). Women, in particular, suffered extensive trauma as victims of sexual violence and rape, witnessing relatives and other loved ones be killed or harmed, becoming widowed, being infected with sexually transmitted diseases, and mothering children conceived by rape. In addition to the trauma suffered by those who experienced the genocide either personally or through intergenerational transmission, justice, and reconciliation mechanisms have provoked retraumatization through truth-telling processes. Witnesses to gacaca proceedings often experienced trauma due to inefficient witness protection measures, and rape victims often suffered extreme stigmatization and ostracization by their communities. Although various organizations throughout Rwanda provide social support services such as psychosocial healing, education assistance, socio-economic empowerment, and vocational training, significant gaps remain and must be addressed to ensure all trauma victims within Rwanda feel supported as they heal from the genocide. 

Victim services need to extend to areas across the country to ensure that all victims of genocide are supported through their trauma recovery processes. Additionally, intergenerational trauma requires further support and acknowledgment through policy and funding capacities at both state and organizational levels. Reconciliation and justice methods must also ensure that victims receive full reparations to assist with the financial burdens of genocide. Furthermore, it is essential that existing mediation methods, such as abunzi, learn from the lessons of gacaca proceedings and provide victims and witnesses with safeguard measures to ensure their safety and privacy are maintained and prioritized. Overall, victim services in Rwanda should continue utilizing community-based collective approaches that acknowledge social and cultural contexts and utilize traditional rituals and practices. By prioritizing trauma services and post-genocide recovery, Rwanda will strengthen its reconciliation and community healing efforts by acknowledging the value of its most vulnerable population’s mental well-being.

*******

Karina Casarez is a second-year master’s student at NYU’s Center for Global Affairs pursuing a degree in Global Affairs with a concentration in International Law & Human Rights and a specialization in the United Nations. She is also a Coverdell Fellow and Social Sector Leadership Diversity (SSLD) Fellow. In addition to her studies, she serves as President of The International Human Rights & Law League (THRILL) and the Managing Editor of the Global Affairs Review (GAR).  Her research interests include exploring international justice for human rights atrocities, particularly genocide and crimes against humanity, particularly in Myanmar. She recently concluded an internship with Justice Rapid Response (JRR), serves as Treasurer for the New York City Peace Corps Association (NYCPCA), and is a United Nations Representative for the National Peace Corps Association (NPCA). Before attending NYU, Karina served as a Peace Corps Volunteer in Myanmar. 


Bibliography

African Rights. “Broken bodies, torn spirits living with genocide, rape and HIV/AIDS.” A Publication of African Rights, 15 Apr 2004, www.reliefweb.int/report/rwanda/rwanda-broken-bodies-torn-spirits-living-genocide-rape-and-hivaids 

Asiimwe, Arthur. “Rwanda releases 8,000 genocide prisoners.” Reuters, 9 Aug 2007, www.reuters.com/article/us-rwanda-prisoners/rwanda-releases-8000-genocide-prisoners-idUSL1929927620070219/?edition-redirect=ca

Association of Genocide Widows Agahozo. “About.” Association of Genocide Widows Agahozo (AVEGA), 2021, www.avega-agahozo.org/about/

Basabose, Jean de Dieu. “Educating Young People for Peace in Rwanda.” Peace Insight, 22 Dec 2015, www.peaceinsight.org/en/articles/peace-education-rwanda/?location=rwanda&theme=peace-education

Beelmann, Andreas & Heinemann, Kim Sarah. “Preventing prejudice and improving intergroup attitudes: A meta-analysis of child and adolescent training programs.” Journal of Applied Developmental Psychology, vol. 35, no. 1, 2014, pp. 10–24, doi.org/10.1016/j.appdev.2013.11.002

Berckmoes, Lidewyde H., et al. “How Legacies of Genocide Are Transmitted in the Family Environment: A Qualitative Study of Two Generations in Rwanda.” Societies, vol. 7, no. 3, Sept. 2017, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.3390/soc7030024.

Bezo, Brent, and Stefania Maggi. “Living in ‘Survival Mode:’ Intergenerational Transmission of Trauma from the Holodomor Genocide of 1932–1933 in Ukraine.” Social Science & Medicine, vol. 134, June 2015, pp. 87–94, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1016/j.socscimed.2015.04.009.

Brouneus, Karen. “The Trauma of Truth Telling: Effects of Witnessing in the Rwandan Gacaca Courts on Psychological Health.” Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 54, no. 3, June 2010, pp. 408–37.

Brounéus, Karen. “Truth-Telling as Talking Cure? Insecurity and Retraumatization in the Rwandan Gacaca Courts.” Security Dialogue, vol. 39, no. 1, Feb. 2008, pp. 55–76.

Buckley-Zistel, Susanne. “‘The Truth Heals’? Gacaca Jurisdictions and the Consolidation of Peace in Rwanda.” Die Friedens-Warte, vol. 80, no. 1/2, Jan. 2005, pp. 113–29. 

Cameron, Lindsey, et al. “When and Why Does Extended Contact Work? The Role of High Quality Direct Contact and Group Norms in the Development of Positive Ethnic Intergroup Attitudes amongst Children.” Group Processes and Intergroup Relations, vol. 14, no. 2, Jan. 2011, pp. 193–206.

Caspar, Emilie A., et al. “On the Impact of the Genocide on the Intergroup Empathy Bias between Former Perpetrators, Survivors, and Their Children in Rwanda.” American Psychologist, vol. 78, no. 7, Oct. 2023, pp. 825–41, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1037/amp0001066.supp.

De Ycaza, Carla. “Performative functions of genocide trials in Rwanda: Reconciliation through restorative justice?” African Journal on Conflict Resolution, vol. 10, 2010, www.ajol.info/index.php/ajcr/article/view/63317/51201

Denov, Myriam, et al. “The Intergenerational Legacy of Genocidal Rape: The Realities and Perspectives of Children Born of the Rwandan Genocide.” Journal of Interpersonal Violence, vol. 35, no. 17–18, Sept. 2020, pp. 3286-3307, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1177/0886260517708407.

Department of Public Information. “Sexual Violence: a Tool of War.” Outreach Programme on the Rwanda Genocide and the United Nations, 2014, www.un.org/en/preventgenocide/rwanda/assets/pdf/Backgrounder%20Sexual%20Violence%202014.pdf

Der Sarkissian, Alissa, and Jill D. Sharkey. “Transgenerational Trauma and Mental Health Needs among Armenian Genocide Descendants.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, vol. 18, no. 19, Oct. 2021, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.3390/ijerph181910554.

Dyregrov, Atle, et al. “Trauma Exposure and Psychological Reactions to Genocide Among Rwandan Children.” Journal of Traumatic Stress, vol. 13, no. 1, Jan. 2000, p. 3, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1023/A:1007759112499.

Eftekhari, S. “Struggling to Survive: Barriers to Justice for Rape Victims in Rwanda.” Human Rights Watch, 30 Sept. 2004, www.hrw.org/report/2004/09/30/struggling-survive/barriers-justice-rape-victims-rwanda

Foundation Rwanda. “Mission.” Foundation Rwanda, 2019, https://foundationrwanda.org/

Mangassarian, Selina L. “100 Years of Trauma: the Armenian Genocide and Intergenerational Cultural Trauma.” Journal of Aggression, Maltreatment & Trauma, 25:4, 371-381, 30 Mar. 2016, dx.doi.org/10.1080/10926771.2015.1121191

Gishoma, Darius, et al. “Remembering and Re-Experiencing Trauma during Genocide Commemorations: The Effect of Supportive-Expressive Group Therapy in a Selected District Hospital in Rwanda.” Journal of Social and Political Psychology, 2, 469-488, 2015, doi:10.5964/jspp.v2i1.292]

Gishoma, Darius, et al. “Supportive-Expressive Group Therapy for People Experiencing Collective Traumatic Crisis During the Genocide Commemoration Period in Rwanda: Impact and Implications.” Journal of Social and Political Psychology, vol. 2, no. 1, Aug. 2014, pp. 469–88, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.5964/jspp.v2i1.292.

Haffajee, Rebecca L. “Prosecuting Crimes of Rape and Sexual Violence at the ICTR: The Application of Joint Criminal Enterprise Theory.” Harvard Journal of Law & Gender, vol. 29, no. 1, Jan. 2006, pp. 201–22.

Hamel, Marie‐Eve. “Ethnic Belonging of the Children Born out of Rape in Postconflict Bosnia- Herzegovina and Rwanda.” Nations & Nationalism, vol. 22, no. 2, Apr. 2016, pp. 287–304, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1111/nana.12151.

Haskell, Leslie. “Justice Compromised: The Legacy of Rwanda’s Community-Based Gacaca Courts.” Human Rights Watch, 31 May 2011, www.hrw.org/report/2011/05/31/justice-compromised/legacy-rwandas-community-based-gacaca-courts

Holaday, Margot, and Ruth W. McPhearson. “Resilience and Severe Burns.” Journal of Counseling & Development, vol. 75, no. 5, May 1997, pp. 346–56, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1002/j.1556-6676.1997.tb02350.x.

Human Rights Watch. “Children without parents: Victims of abuse and exploitation.” Human Rights Watch, n.d, www.hrw.org/reports/2003/rwanda0403/rwanda0403-06.htm

Human Rights Watch. “Shattered Lives: Sexual Violence during the Rwandan Genocide and its Aftermath.” Human Rights Watch, 24 Sept. 1996, www.hrw.org/report/1996/09/24/shattered-lives/sexual-violence-during-rwandan-genocide-and-its-aftermath

Humanity & Inclusion. “Our Work.” Humanity & Inclusion, n.d, www.hi-us.org/en/index

Ingabire, Chantal Marie, et al. “Trauma Informed Restorative Justice through Community Based Sociotherapy in Rwanda.” Intervention, vol. 15, no. 3, Jan. 2017, pp. 241–53.

Interpeace. “Rehabilitation and reintegration of prisoners in Rwanda as part of trauma healing.” Interpeace, 13 Sept. 2022, www.interpeace.org/2022/09/rehabilitation-and-reintegration-of-prisoners-in-rwanda-as-part-of-trauma-healing/.

Jensen, Sarah K. G., et al. “Intergenerational Impacts of Trauma and Hardship through Parenting.” Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry, and Allied Disciplines, vol. 62, no. 8, Aug. 2021, pp. 989–99, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1111/jcpp.13359.

JHA Editors & Noamschimmel. “A Safe Place to Call Home: Securing the Right of Rwandan Genocide Survivors to Resettlement Outside Rwanda.” Relief Web, 4 April 2010, https://reliefweb.int/report/rwanda/safe-place-call-home-securing-right-rwandan-genocide-survivors-resettlement-outside

Kabakambira, Jean Damascene, et al. “Burden of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder Acute Exacerbations during the Commemorations of the Genocide against Tutsis in Rwanda: A Cross-Sectional Study.” Pan African Medical Journal, vol. 30, May 2018, pp. 1–8, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.11604/pamj.2018.30.216.15663.

Kagoyire, Marie Grace, et al. “‘A Calf Cannot Fail to Pick a Colour from Its Mother’: Intergenerational Transmission of Trauma and Its Effect on Reconciliation among Post-Genocide Rwandan Youth.” BMC Psychology, vol. 11, no. 1, Dec. 2023, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1186/s40359-023-01129-y.

Kagoyire, Marie Grace. “Promoting reconciliation among post-genocide second generation Rwandans.” African Peacebuilding Network Social Science Research Council, March 2020, www.s3.amazonaws.com/ssrc-cdn1/crmuploads/new_publication_3/promoting-reconciliation-among-post-genocide-second-generation-rwandans.pdf

Kanyangara, Patrick, et al. “Trust, individual guilt, collective guilt and dispositions toward reconciliation among Rwandan survivors and prisoners before and after their participation in post-genocide gacaca courts in Rwanda.” Journal of Social and Political Psychology, vol. 2, no. 1, 2014, pp. 401-416, doi.org/10.5964/jspp.v2i1.299

Karooma, Cleophas. “Research Fatigue among Rwandan Refugees in Uganda.” Revista Migraciones Forzadas, no. 61, June 2019, pp. 18–19.

King, Regine U. “Healing Psychosocial Trauma in the Midst of Truth Commissions: The Case of Gacaca in Post-Genocide Rwanda.” Genocide Studies & Prevention, vol. 6, no. 2, Aug. 2011, pp. 134–51. 

Kuradusenge-McLeod, C. A. Narratives of Victimhood and Perpetration: The Struggle of Bosnian and Rwandan Diaspora Communities in the United States. Peter Lang Publishing Group, 2021, https://doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.3726/b18624.

Mangassarian, Selina L. “100 Years of Trauma: The Armenian Genocide and Intergenerational Cultural Trauma.” Journal of Aggression, Maltreatment & Trauma, vol. 25, no. 4, Apr. 2016, pp. 371–81, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1080/10926771.2015.1121191.

Mbabazi, Rosemary and Gomera, Maxwell. “Rwanda’s youth can power economic recovery.” UNDP, 2023, www.undp.org/rwanda/rwanda%E2%80%99s-youth-can-power-economic-recovery.

Meeting with Ajprodho-Jijukirwa. January 18, 2023. Kigali, Rwanda.

Meeting with Alphonse Muleefu. January 18, 2023. Kigali, Rwanda.

Meeting with Ministry of National Unity and Civic Engagement. January 18, 2023. Kigali, Rwanda.

Meeting with Never Again Rwanda. January 16, 2023. Kigali, Rwanda.

Meeting with NPPA. January 17, 2023. Kigali, Rwanda.

Meeting with Prison Fellowship. January 15, 2023. Kigali, Rwanda.

Meeting with Survivors Fund. January 16, 2023. Kigali, Rwanda.

Miller, Donald. E., and Miller, Lorna Touryan. An Oral History Perspective on Responses to the Armenian Genocide. Taylor and Francis, 2017, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.4324/9781315131023.

Mugiraneza, Jean-Paul. “The Rwandan case: is it possible to truly compensate victims of genocide?” Peace Insight, 11 Oct. 2013, www.peaceinsight.org/en/articles/reparations-for-genocide-victims/?location=rwanda&theme=transitional-justice-reconciliation

Musanabaganwa, Clarisse, et al. “Burden of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder in Postgenocide Rwandan Population Following Exposure to 1994 Genocide against the Tutsi: A Meta-Analysis.” Journal of Affective Disorders, vol. 275, Oct. 2020, pp. 7–13, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1016/j.jad.2020.06.017.

Mutuyimana, C., et al. Determinants of Intergenerational Trauma Transmission: A Case of the Survivors of the 1994 Genocide against Tutsi in Rwanda. Springer International Publishing, 2021, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1007/978-3-030-83707-5_11.

Mwanamwambwa, Victor, et al. “Posttraumatic Stress Disorder and Psychological Distress in Rwandan Refugees Living in Zambia.” South African Journal of Psychology, vol. 52, no. 2, June 2022, pp. 175-188–188, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1177/00812463211031812.

Ng, Lauren C., et al. “Life after Genocide: Mental Health, Education, and Social Support of Orphaned Survivors.” International Perspectives in Psychology: Research, Practice, Consultation, vol. 4, no. 2, Apr. 2015, pp. 83–97, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1037/ipp0000031.

Ngari, A. “Reparations for Victims.” Survivors Fund, 1 July 2020, www.survivors-fund.org.uk/news/reparations-for-victims/

Nikuze, Donatien. “Witness Protection in Rwandan Judicial System.” International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology, vol. 2, no. 4, 30 April 2013, www.ijert.org/witness-protection-in-rwandan-judicial-system

Nikwivuze, I. “Supporting Children Born of Rape from the Tutsi Genocide.” Samuel Centre for Social Connectedness, 17 Aug. 2018, www.socialconnectedness.org/supporting-children-born-of-rape-from-the-tutsi-genocide/

Nowotny, Jordan. “The Limits of Post-Genocide Justice in Rwanda: Assessing Gacaca from the Perspective of Survivors.” Contemporary Justice Review, vol. 23, no. 4, Dec. 2020, pp. 401–29, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1080/10282580.2020.1719365.

Nyamirambo Women’s Center. “About.” Nyamirambo Women’s Center, n.d, www.nwc-umutima.org/about.html

Outreach Programme on the 1994 Genocide Against the Tutsi in Rwanda and the United Nations. “Rwanda: a Brief History of the Country.” United Nations, n.d, www.un.org/en/preventgenocide/rwanda/historical-background.shtml

Anne Pearlman, Laurie. “Restoring Self in Community: Collective Approaches to Psychological Trauma after Genocide.” Journal of Social Issues, vol. 69, no. 1, Mar. 2013, pp. 111–24, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1111/josi.12006.

Petersen-Coleman, Marissa N., and Sujata R. Swaroop. “Complex Trauma: A Critical Analysis of the Rwandan Fight for Liberation.” Journal of Pan African Studies, vol. 4, no. 3, Mar. 2011, pp. 1–19. 

Platt, Jonathan M., et al. “Gender Differences in Traumatic Experiences and Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms After the Rwandan Genocide Against the Tutsi.” Journal of Traumatic Stress, vol. 34, no. 4, Aug. 2021, pp. 799–807, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1002/jts.22693.

Republic of Rwanda. “Mediation Committees (Abunzi).” Republic of Rwanda, 2023, www.gov.rw/services/mediation-committees-abunzi

Rieder, Heide, and Thomas Elbert. “Rwanda – Lasting Imprints of a Genocide: Trauma, Mental Health and Psychosocial Conditions in Survivors, Former Prisoners and Their Children.” Conflict & Health, vol. 7, no. 1, May 2013, pp. 1–13, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1186/1752-1505-7-6.

Rugema, Lawrence, et al. “Traumatic Episodes Experienced during the Genocide Period in Rwanda Influence Life Circumstances in Young Men and Women 17 Years Later.” Bmc Public Health, vol. 13, no. 1235, Jan. 2013, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1186/1471-2458-13-1235.

Ruvugiro, Emmanuel Sehene. “Rwandan Reparations Fund Breaks Ground But is Still Not Enough, Say Victims.” JusticeInfo.Net, 17 Mar. 2019, www.justiceinfo.net/en/40610-rwandan-reparations-fund-breaks-ground-but-is-still-not-enough-say-victims.html

RWAMREC. “About Us.” RWAMREC, 2023, www.rwamrec.org/about-us

Schaal, Susanne, and Thomas Elbert. “Ten Years after the Genocide: Trauma Confrontation and Posttraumatic Stress in Rwandan Adolescents.” Journal of Traumatic Stress, vol. 19, no. 1, Feb. 2006, pp. 95–105, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1002/jts.20104.

Sharlach, Lisa. “Rape as Genocide: Bangladesh, the Former Yugoslavia, and Rwanda.” New Political Science, vol. 22, no. 1, Mar. 2000, pp. 89–102, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/https://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/carfax/07393148.html.

Staub, E. “Justice, Healing, and Reconciliation: How the People’s Courts in Rwanda Can Promote Them.” Peace and Conflict, vol. 10, no. 1, Jan. 2004, pp. 25–32. 

Staub, E. “Reconciliation after Genocide, Mass Killing, or Intractable Conflict: Understanding the Roots of Violence, Psychological Recovery, and Steps toward a General Theory.” Political Psychology, vol. 27, no. 6, 2006, pp. 867–894.

Palermo, George B. “The Roots of Evil: The Origins of Genocide and Other Group Violence.” International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology, vol. 44, no. 2, Apr. 2000, pp. 261–63.

Survivors Fund. “Our Work.” Survivors Fund (SURF), 2023, www.survivors-fund.org.uk/about/our-work/

Survivors Fund. “Report of the Trustees and Audited Financial Statements for the Year ended 31 December 2021 for Survivors Fund (SURF).” Prestons & Jackson Partnership LLP, 2021, www.survivors-fund.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/SURF-Final-Signed-Accounts-31st-Dec-2020.pdf

Survivors Fund. “Statistics of the Genocide.” Survivors Fund, 2023, www.survivors-fund.org.uk/learn/statistics/

The Government of Rwanda. “Action Programme for the Development in Rwanda 2001-2010 [Country presentation by the government of Rwanda].” Third United Nations conference on the least developed countries, A/CONF.191/CP/31, Brussels, 14-20 May 2001, www.unctad.org/system/files/official-document/aconf191cp31rwa.en.pdf 

Torgovnik, J. “Rwanda Genocide Revisited: What Happened to the Children of Rape Victims?” Pulitzer Center, 24 Apr. 2019, https://pulitzercenter.org/stories/rwanda-genocide-revisited-what-happened-children-rape-victims

United Nations International Residual Mechanism for Criminal Tribunals. “The Genocide.” The Genocide, n.d., www.unictr.irmct.org/en/genocide

Uwizeye, Glorieuse, et al. “Double Jeopardy: Young Adult Mental and Physical Health Outcomes Following Conception via Genocidal Rape during the 1994 Genocide against the Tutsi in Rwanda.” Social Science & Medicine, vol. 278, June 2021, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.113938.

Wessells, M. G. Culture, Power, and Community: Intercultural Approaches to Psychosocial Assistance and Healing. Taylor and Francis, 2013, doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.4324/9780203778005-20.

Filed Under: International Law and Human Rights, Perspectives on Global Issues - Archives, Uncategorized

Violent Extremists in the Metaverse

January 4, 2024 by krc8929 Leave a Comment

by Joseph Levin

(Photo credit: XR Expo on Unsplash)

Abstract

Since the dawn of the 21st century, numerous disruptive technologies have been brought to market that have transformed the fabric of how individuals interact with one another and their surrounding environments. However, the technological advances that stand out above the rest, specifically virtual and augmented reality, have been in developmental phases for the past decade and appear to be on the cusp of mainstream distribution. These technologies are a pivotal access point into what is now known as the metaverse. The metaverse resembles an immersive, creator-friendly online environment in which the lines between social media and online gaming are blurred like never before. Although this technology has yet to be delivered and accepted within mass consumer markets, addressing the potential consequences that may accompany it when that day comes is essential. The implications of this research indicates that the metaverse is far more complex than our current systems are built to regulate and the consequences could be devastating. Therefore, it is imperative to create proactive research efforts, legislation, and mitigation strategies to counter future threats posed by violent extremists in the metaverse.

Introduction

Over the past two decades, there has been an expeditious proliferation in technological evolution as personal computers, cell phones, and other handheld devices have become commonplace in everyday life. However, as technology companies continue to innovate and broaden the horizons of their capabilities, there is a pending fourth wave of computing innovation unfolding around spatial technologies called virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR). The companies developing this technology believe it will form the next ubiquitous computing paradigm that can transform personal entertainment, business, and educational opportunities. This new paradigm is called the metaverse, which will create a post-reality universe, a perpetual and persistent multiuser environment merging physical reality with digital virtuality (Mystakidis, 2022). The metaverse will be based on technologies that enable multisensory interactions with virtual environments, digital objects, and other users. The accuracy of the AR and VR systems are enabled by displays that create or enhance imagery to convey the perception of depth (El Beheiry, 2019). In addition to sensory inputs, these systems also allow active interaction with virtual elements through motion controllers. These are handheld input devices with a grip, buttons, triggers, and thumbsticks. By simply using the controllers, users can touch, grab, manipulate, and operate objects within an ever-changing virtual world (Mystakidis, 2022).

The current landscape of VR and AR remains primarily developmental as the technology still suffers from severe limitations in mass market delivery. For example, higher-end devices require prohibitively expensive hardware, while cheaper headsets do not deliver a realistic, stimulating enough virtual experience. Additionally, there are problems with software interoperability as a considerable number of companies are trying to be first to market with this technology. Currently, there is no wide-scale adoption of standardized technical specifications for the metaverse, given that each project relies on proprietary technology. The unwillingness to share proprietary technologies, based on privacy and transparency considerations, is a hindrance to broader development. It is likely that something more significant than corporate profit will have to drive the harmonization of standards (Chohan, 2022). With this information in mind, limited analysis has been provided on the potential consequences of this technology being widely distributed. This is particularly concerning given the rampant extremist exploitation of social media, online gaming, and other emerging technologies already. Therefore, this article will seek to answer the following question, “How can the metaverse be exploited by violent extremists and violent extremist organizations?” I contend that metaverse technology will eventually be utilized by violent extremists and violent extremist organizations for various activities that include, but are not limited to: online radicalization and heightened recruitment efforts, fundraising and cybercrime activities, pre-attack planning, and simulating attacks.

Violent Extremists in the Metaverse

Online Radicalization and Recruitment

As the world has become increasingly globalized through interconnected electronic networks, violent extremist groups have sought to captivate a broader range of audiences and promote their ideologies through various mediums, arguably none more so than online media platforms. A statement from Ayman al-Zawahiri, the former chief ideologue of al-Qaeda and deputy to Osama bin Laden, explained, “We [al-Qaeda] are in a battle, and more than half of this battle is taking place in the battlefield of the media. And that we are in a media battle in a race for the hearts and minds of our people.” Evidently, prominent violent extremist groups recognize the opportunities provided by emerging technologies, especially those that enable two-way interactivity through online forums, chat rooms, emails, and texts to promote online radicalization. Furthermore, violent extremists can utilize online media platforms to connect directly with various audiences, who in turn, can become active participants in subsequent unfolding conversations. Direct connection is crucial for online radicalization because it promotes a sense of virtual community, which is often not possible with traditional broadcast media like radio and television (Aly et al., 2016). This becomes problematic as metaverse technology will likely amplify many previously established consequences of social media and online gaming while dramatically accelerating the operational capabilities of message sharing and recruitment.

Although online radicalization comes in many forms and individuals respond differently, certain commonalities appear alongside most violent extremist supporters. Online radicalization to violence is the process of introducing an individual to an ideological message and belief system that encourages movement from mainstream beliefs toward extreme views. A result of radical interpretations of mainstream religious or political doctrines, these extreme views tend to justify, promote, incite, or support violence to achieve any number of social, religious, or political changes (US DOJ, 2014). Through the utilization of metaverse creative capabilities, users will be able to shape their interactive virtual realities in any manner they see fit. Although the current metaverse technology has historically lacked visual sophistication, companies developing their own versions of the space are exploring a plethora of virtual engineering possibilities to make the user experience more realistic. For example, precisely designed three-dimensional elements together with animated graphics are already revolutionizing user technology interactivity through top-quality audio-visual and tactile interaction (Fiorillo, 2022). Much like other online activities, for violent extremist groups, this will create the ideal incubating environment where they can broadcast their views, provoke negative sentiment toward enemies, incite people to violence, glorify martyrs, establish virtual communities with like-minded individuals, and groom recruits (US DOJ, 2014).

A supplemental concept to understand within the overarching idea of the incubating environment provided by metaverse technology is the daunting potential of user manipulation within this space. Over the last two decades, technology companies have made a science of tracking and characterizing users on their platforms, as it enables the sale of targeted advertising. Such targeting has been a boon for advertisers and media platform providers, resulting in some of the most valuable corporations in human history. Unfortunately, such targeting has exploited users, reduced personal privacy, and made social media a polarizing force by allowing third-parties to deploy customized messaging tactfully curated for specific demographic groups. In the metaverse, these problems will be exacerbated. The technological capabilities will enable server owners to track where each user clicks, where they go, what they do, what they look at, and even how long their gaze lingers (Rosenberg, 2022). That is, assessing when users slow down to browse objects, messages, imagery, services, or when they speed up to pass content they are not demonstrating interest in.

For reference, Meta has already been granted patents to track users’ eye movements and body poses for ads in their Horizon Worlds metaverse platform. Given the track record of many major technology companies, it can be expected that more invasive data collection could include tracking vital signs, facial expressions, and user communication patterns (Xiang, 2022). This means the server providers controlling the metaverse will not just know how their users physically act and interact, but how they emotionally react as they traverse real and virtual spaces, profiling their responses at far deeper levels than has been possible in traditional media platforms (Rosenberg, 2022). Under these conditions, violent extremist groups and individuals have the opportunity to monitor their servers, examine how users interact with their content and adjust accordingly to further indoctrinate and radicalize them. Their ability to manipulate individuals operating within their sphere of influence will likely be more efficient than ever before.

A second concern with the expanded freedoms allotted by the metaverse is the lack of plausible methods to regulate how much time users spend on metaverse servers. Unlike phones, computers, and other forms of handheld technology, the metaverse can be accessed from multiple entry points (Ochs, 2021). This will prevent screen time moderation efforts and likely adversely affect users subjected to extremist content with unregulated exposure. In most cases, online radicalization results from individuals being immersed in extremist content for extended periods, the amplified effects of graphic images and video, and the resulting emotional desensitization (Neumann et al., 2012). For example, constant exposure to discourses about martyrdom and death—combined with videos of suicide operations and beheadings—can produce mortality salience, an overpowering sense of one’s mortality, which increases support for suicide operations and other, often ruthless, violent tactics. Similarly, powerful and emotionally stimulating videos from conflict zones—for example, those depicting alleged incidents of torture, rape, and other atrocities by Western troops—can induce a sense of moral outrage (Neumann et al., 2012). Given that there are already first-person shooter and gruesome bespoke games within the metaverse, it is a matter of time before violent extremists capitalize on the developed software to create scenarios that spur online radicalization.

Concerning sustained user activity within the metaverse, lessons can be drawn from other multiplayer online video games and social media platforms regarding the incentives provided to those who are more active and create large swaths of content. Essentially, content that is created by users in online games such as Roblox and Sandbox is what makes them profitable. In all its forms, the metaverse will likely follow the same general business model. Since it is a multi-usage social platform seeking to draw in support and funds from advertisers, the companies running metaverse servers will benefit from creators that produce high-quality content and encourage prolonged user activity (Babich, 2022). Since many of these companies are currently in the battle for first-to-market, widespread distribution of metaverse access and supporting technology, they are less incentivized to regulate extremist content on their platforms while pursuing maximum user engagement. This trend has been evident across major platforms such as Facebook, Minecraft, Roblox, and Twitter (Patel & Hecht-Felella, 2021)(Miller & Silva, 2021).

Within the metaverse, it can be reasonably expected that companies and creators will employ three common tactics to increase persistent user engagement. First, there will likely be some fashion of play-to-earn mechanics, which make games more addictive by rewarding users who spend more time in the system with extensive benefits. Second, the reward for content contribution will also be prevalent. Companies will compensate content creators for drawing in more user engagement. Finally, companies and creators will implement rewards for completing objectives within metaverse games, allowing users to perform virtual tasks in exchange for digital coins or goods. This works exceptionally well when the tasks are tied to a gripping storyline that hooks an audience, giving creators significant benefits (Babich, 2022). If violent extremists are to capitalize on consumer psychology and companies lack of content surveillance in order to drive online radicalization, the consequences will be damning.

Another recruitment concern is the way violent extremists will use the metaverse to exploit financial and social vulnerabilities that drive individuals to join violent extremist movements in the first place. For example, individuals who have been radicalized and drawn into violent extremism through pull factors, including financial incentives, online propaganda, and in-person recruitment networks (Smith, 2018). As mentioned above, companies constructing the metaverse will seek to monetize and provide various currency transfer services within their platforms. This will enable violent extremist groups to send cryptocurrency and other decentralized financial goods to potential recruits with limited oversight (Sarang, 2022). Additionally, in order to lure in potential new members, metaverse server access links will likely be shared within alternative platforms, such as Discord, Telegram, 4chan, Parler, and WhatsApp, to drive new user engagement. During traditional online recruitment, violent extremist groups commonly follow this process: discovery of new potential members, isolate them and create micro-communities, shift them to private communication spaces, and ultimately radicalize and encourage them into violent action (Berger, 2015). With the advent of the metaverse, however, instead of violent extremists off-ramping recruits into private chat rooms or encrypted text messaging apps, they can now create idealized virtual utopias according to their ideologies and negative stereotypes. Although each private metaverse server has different levels of accessibility, the current environment commonly requires an entry link, user login, and passcode to participate, all of which can be provided by violent extremists to gatekeep which individuals gain access to their servers (Hickey, 2022). Thus, the metaverse will enable violent extremists to build more private virtual worlds they are ultimately seeking to create offline.

The final primary concern of metaverse technology pertaining to online radicalization and recruitment is the development of violent extremist echo chambers. Historically through social media and online gaming, deviant and extreme behaviors are learned, absorbed, and normalized by users’ constant interactions with people who hold similarly extreme views. As a result, through repeated stimuli and the removal of moderating influences, users can acquire a skewed sense of reality, so that violent extremist attitudes and behaviors are no longer taboos, but rather are seen as positive and desirable. Another crucial aspect of the echo chamber phenomenon relates to violent extremists abusing anonymity to hide their real identities and avoid responsibility for their actions due to the added layer of anonymity (Neumann et al., 2012). Once users no longer believe they will face real-world consequences for their polarizing views and promotion of violence online, it may increase the likelihood of aggressive behaviors occurring offline.

As mentioned previously, extremists exploit the anonymity of online platforms to create niche communities in which their ideologies can thrive with limited interruption. Under these circumstances, there is severe cause for concern about how metaverse technology will further assist them. First and foremost, one of the most frequent concepts championed by proponents of the metaverse is that it will allow users to create worlds and avatars in more idealized ways (VMG, 2022). Moreover, many metaverse servers will incorporate artificial intelligence into their platform’s interface. Although the intention is to help increase the inclusivity and accessibility of the metaverse, making it more functional and user-friendly, artificial intelligence within the metaverse will provide an unrivaled experience for bad actors such as violent extremists (Amos, 2022). Not only will violent extremists be able to use artificial intelligence to help develop idealized avatars, but it will also help them create their own virtual worlds. During one of Meta’s first promotional events for Horizon Worlds, one of their versions of the metaverse, Mark Zuckerberg released a video highlighting its potential capabilities where users will be granted “god-like powers” to create their own worlds. This will be done with the help of an artificial intelligence assistant, Builder Bot, which will help users construct their worlds to specific requirements or modify pre-made templates. In the clip, Zuckerberg gave Builder Bot a series of verbal commands, to which the artificial intelligence assistant created the world to his exact specifications in seconds. Zuckerberg also noted that should the user be unsatisfied with the results Builder Bot produces, they will be able to modify the structures and add further details (Zuckerberg, 2021). Even if the companies that are building out the metaverse blacklist certain images, individuals, and locations from being artificially created, users will still have the ability to circumvent these moderation parameters with their own creation capabilities. In sum, the emerging metaverse affords violent extremists and violent extremist groups a new ability to maintain virtual ideological and social communities with robust, difficult-to-disrupt ways of expanding their ranks and spheres of influence (Elson et al., 2022). By allowing violent extremist groups to create their servers within the metaverse, interested users that join their virtual worlds will quickly become potential recruits from which these violent extremists can identify and target.

Fundraising and Cybercrime

The nexus between fundraising, cybercrime, and violent extremists has proven to be a fruitful money-making opportunity for groups and individuals in the past. Within the last three decades, online-based fundraising and criminal activities have increased significantly (UNODC, 2019). In general, the Internet has provided violent extremists with a practical and low-risk means to generate the resources required to sustain or expand their activities. These efforts may supplement, rather than replace, traditional fundraising channels based in the physical world. Still, they are appealing because they provide global reach and afford a degree of anonymity and security to donors and recipients alike. For example, websites, social media platforms, email distribution lists, messaging apps, and other virtual tools enable groups to publicize their needs directly to potential donors, with the option of traditional and online payment options, as well as to advertise merchandise for sale, as they might have done historically using print advertisements and paper flyers. A relatively simple and standard method for a violent extremist organization to solicit funds is by posting requests for donations on their respective websites or on forums where supporters already congregate. Violent extremist groups have also harnessed crowdfunding websites and donation applications embedded in social media platforms, such as Facebook, to expand their reach and elevate their causes (Evans & Williams, 2022).

The metaverse will provide another platform for violent extremists to fundraise. Whether that occurs within their own public-facing or micro-community private servers, violent extremists and violent extremist groups will develop methods to receive donations both through mobile payment services such as Venmo, Zelle, Cash App and PayPal, or through less conventional methods such as cryptocurrencies, and in-platform digital assets, coins, vouchers, or merchandise. This will be challenging for potential tracing purposes as links to these donations can be posted on in-game content, spread within message boards, or through voice chat, all of which can occur instantaneously (Dino, 2019). Similarly to the obstacles faced with content moderation in online gaming, there will likely be data too large for these companies’ trust and safety divisions to protect users or trace all their in-game transactions.

Furthermore, the metaverse may provide new opportunities for violent extremist groups to sell insignia and physical merchandise affiliated with their group more discreetly compared to online forums and within Internet marketplaces. Previously, violent extremists have used online retail platforms and payment processing architecture to generate funds through merchandise sales conducted directly on their websites or through intermediaries like eBay, Amazon, and Etsy. Violent extremists have also profited from self-publishing services like Amazon’s CreateSpace and music-streaming services, such as Soundcloud, Spotify, or iTunes, which serve the dual purpose of fundraising and disseminating their radical ideas (Dino, 2019). However, the underlying problem with the metaverse is that bad actors will be able to make this content interactive, enabling them to bypass certain takedown practices used by technology companies to suppress their spread. For example, most mainstream websites now utilize various forms of optical-character recognition and other visual-based approaches to censor content deemed violations of community guidelines (Panich-Linsman, 2018). In addition, governments also have the ability to carry out actions such as DNS tampering, IP blocking, keyword and packet filtering, and traffic shaping to deter access to extremist websites and other illegal online-based content (Terman, 2021).

The unfortunate nature of the metaverse is that it will resemble an online gaming platform more comparable to Roblox and Minecraft, as opposed to traditional social media. The result is that technology companies and government agencies will need to develop new machine-learning detection devices that can rapidly scan interactive three-dimensional content at incredible volume. Moreover, should these moderating entities be able to create tools to detect three-dimensional extremist imagery or key terminology within their servers, another added obstacle will be preventing them from creating a new server should they have it taken down or their profile banned. The key takeaway is that choke points previously capitalized upon by moderators to prevent bad actors from sharing their content will no longer prove sufficient within the metaverse. Should the crusade continue down the current path of automated content removal, takedowns, filtering, or removing servers altogether, it can be expected that an ever-adapting challenger will emerge and a cat-and-mouse game will ensue (Liang & Cross, 2020). This also does not consider the potential pushback from mass-auto-blocking violent extremists, especially in certain democratic countries such as the United States, where arguments about free speech are debated frequently.

Another component of violent extremist fundraising and metaverse technology is the ample opportunities for these groups and individuals to create new revenue streams through cybercrime activities. From a historical perspective, transnational organized crime and cybercrime have posed a significant threat to national and international security. Not only are criminal networks expanding, but they also are diversifying their activities (US National Archives, 2011). In the past, online criminal groups engaged in services that facilitated crimes and cybercrimes for financial reward, acts such as stealing data and identity documents; ransom and malware attacks; distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks and botnet services; keyloggers; phishing and spear phishing tools; hacking tutorials; and distributing instructions about vulnerabilities and possible exploits on how to take utilize these tools (UNODC, 2019). This is an incredibly lucrative industry, and it is estimated that cybercrime will cost the world economy $10.5 trillion annually by 2025, up from $3 trillion in 2015 (Morgan, 2020). However, in a 2022 report issued by Interpol, officials stated that they believe the metaverse creates new kinds of cybercrime and will exacerbate existing crime to take place on a larger scale (Kartit & Howcroft, 2022).

Regarding the technical cybersecurity vulnerabilities of the metaverse, a particular concern should be potential breaches of common entry points for users such as computers, phones, tablets, and headsets. For example, the creator of the Butterfly Bot advertised malware on the Internet that was capable of taking control of Windows and Linux computers. The creator of the Butterfly Bot also sold plug-ins that modified the functions of the malware and offered to create customized versions of the malware for paying customers. Various online criminal networks deployed the Butterfly Bot; the most extensive application of this malware resulted in the Mariposa botnet, which stole personal data from millions of compromised computers. This personal data included account information, usernames, passwords, and banking details. Additional malware downloaded by Mariposa also resulted in numerous distributed denial of service attacks (UNODC, 2019). The threat posed by hackers seeking to exploit vulnerable users and breach the systems that are required entry points to the metaverse cannot be understated.

Furthermore, a phenomenon known as Camfecting, the attempt to hack into a person’s webcam and activate it without the webcam owner’s permission, is another point of concern. Through disguised malware known as Trojans, hackers will pose as some legitimate institution or individual and provide users with a link, documents, or a program to download to their computer. Once this malware has been installed, cameras can be activated and files can be monitored without user knowledge. Moreover, this practice has become increasingly more accessible, whereas at one period, hackers needed specialist computer programming knowledge in order to write the malware. Currently, Trojans and all the tools required to launch such attacks can be bought and sold on the Internet and Dark Web. These infections commonly lead to extortion attempts and the unsolicited sale of private user data (Duong, 2021). With the potential for unfettered access to individuals’ personal surroundings and private data made available by augmented reality and virtual reality technology, violent extremists could gain unparalleled levels of extortion and financial proceeds through infected gateways.

The final possibility within the metaverse that violent extremists will almost certainly exploit are the money laundering opportunities. Traditional money laundering involves three stages: placement of illicit proceeds in the financial system (placement), concealment of the origin of illicit funds (layering), and reintroduction of funds into the economy with concealed origin (integration). Through online mediums, this money can be laundered utilizing digital currency (unregulated currency only available virtually); prepaid credit and debit cards (even Bitcoin- based cards); gift cards; money mules’ bank accounts; fake name and shell company bank accounts; PayPal and Zelle accounts; online gaming sites (via virtual gaming currency); and illicit gambling sites. Cybercriminals also utilize semi-automated cryptocurrency exchanges (known as swappers) and decentralized (peer-to-peer) exchanges, which do not require the identification and verification of users to launder criminal assets (UNODC, 2019).

How will these traditional practices translate in the metaverse? The anonymity that the metaverse affords users, specifically violent extremists in this study, will allow individuals to create servers with gambling, trading, and other money transfering opportunities that would otherwise not be possible within social media or online gaming. For example, metaverse casinos generally do not accept traditional fiat currency. A metaverse casino requires a participant to convert their fiat into one of the cryptocurrencies accepted in the metaverse and deposit funds using a crypto wallet. However, users can then exchange the NFTs and cryptocurrency that they win in the metaverse for fiat currency in the real world (Baker & Hogan, 2022). With this in mind, there is a chance that violent extremists could create gambling institutions within the metaverse that do not contain any identifying information that unsuspecting users may get lured into and provide currency to fund illicit behaviors unbeknownst to them. Ultimately, this section’s key takeaway is that the metaverse will simplify fundraising and cybercrime for violent extremists and provide added layers of anonymity to prevent detection from law enforcement and financial institutions.

Pre-Attack Planning

The third aspect violent extremists may utilize the metaverse for is expanding their pre-attack planning capabilities. Under our traditional understanding of pre-attack activities, individuals planning to commit acts of violent extremism develop a variety of different behaviors to plan their attacks. In a report published by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence’s Joint Counterterrorism Assessment Team, their researchers identified a recurrent attack planning cycle. According to the report, violent extremists generally plan attacks in observable stages, although specific details, sequencing, and timing can vary greatly and change over time. In addition, they noted that certain activities are easier to spot than others. Pre-attack surveillance, training, and rehearsals are often observable and can offer opportunities to identify plots and prevent attacks (ODNI, 2020). However, one major concern with the metaverse is that it may remove the need for violent extremists to conduct the majority of their pre-attack intelligence gathering in person. For example, should violent extremists become able to combine metaverse technology with other modern technologies such as CCTV, personal cameras, social media posts, and other livestream capabilities, they may never have to go in public to collect the intelligence they need to carry out attacks on specific targets or locations.

Another area of concern regarding violent extremist groups’ pre-attack planning is their ability to use roleplay metaverse games and training tools already available for law enforcement and armed forces to counter potential issues during their attacks. The usage of virtual reality training tools within militaries is not a new phenomenon. After the Vietnam War, the American military apparatus developed various training environments to reduce what the military considered an unacceptable ratio of combat losses (Lange, 2020). In the decades since then, militaries and law enforcement have adapted to an ever-changing threat landscape by advancing and innovating these technologies for their own benefit.

An example of the tools that are already available and could be modified for illicit purposes is AUGGMED (Automated Serious Game Scenario Generator for Mixed Reality Training). The aim of AUGGMED was to develop a serious game platform to enable single- and team-based training of end-users with different levels of expertise from different organizations responding to terrorist and organized crime threats. The platform automatically generates non-linear scenarios tailored to suit the needs of individual trainees with learning outcomes that improve the acquisition of emotional management, analytical thinking, problem solving and decision making skills. The game scenarios include advanced simulations of operational environments, agents, telecommunications and threats, and can be delivered through VR and MR environments with multimodal interfaces. In addition, the AUGGMED platform will include tools for trainers enabling them to set learning objectives, define scenarios, monitor training sessions, modify scenarios and provide feedback in real-time, as well as evaluate trainee performance and set training curricula for individual personnel in the post-training session phase (European Commission, 2022). This technology was deployed in March 2018 when security officers with the Piraeus Port Authority in Greece used AUGGMED to train for potential terrorist-related threats and attacks. On-site trainees in Piraeus worked with other agents remotely who were experiencing and responding to the same scenario through the online platform (Saunders et al., 2018). This platform has gained popularity and has been operated by at least 14 organizations and agencies throughout Europe representing law enforcement, first responders, academia and the public sector (Saunders et al., 2019).

During the COVID-19 Pandemic, the usage of virtual and augmented reality became more attractive for law enforcement and armed forces due to the sweeping international public health precautions. For example, in March 2022, the International Security Alliance used the metaverse to stage a three-day security simulation with over 50 participants from nine countries including Israel, Senegal, France and the UAE. By operating in roleplay scenarios within the metaverse, the participants faced situations such as drone crashes, ransomware, and distributed denial of service attacks, all within the virtual city of Brinia. The organizers of the event noted that these exercises allow for online simulations of environments usually too populated for real-world training, such as airports. Organizers could also consistently monitor participants and build a stronger understanding of optimal joint-working processes. Plus, once these virtual scenarios were created and ran without any technical issues, the cost of replicating and sharing the software with other agencies is minimal. This enables reusability and iteration at low cost (Herath & Jarnecki, 2022).

Although these examples highlight how law enforcement can utilize the metaverse for increased collaboration, they also pose a rather serious problem. Similarly to current forms of cyberattacks, should violent extremists gain access to these servers during live simulations or access notes taken by observers, they will be able to monitor and plan around law enforcement emergency response. It is also worth noting that there are growing concerns over extremist network efforts to tailor recruitment toward military personnel and an increase in criminal cases involving extremism within the ranks (Doxsee & Macander, 2022). These extremists either join the service in order to gain combat and logistical training, or are recruited once their service ends by radical groups preying on the combination of trauma, loss of purpose and community that often affects veterans (Ware, 2023). In sum, access to former law enforcement, armed forces personnel, and their response protocol information would elevate the success of violent extremist pre-attack planning in the metaverse and their operational capabilities.

The final area of concern when it comes to violent extremists using the metaverse for pre-attack planning can already be demonstrated by online games such as Minecraft, Roblox, and Sandbox. Based on publicly available plans and layouts, online information and imagery, and other mapping technologies, users have been able to create a plethora of virtual recreations of real-life infrastructure within these platforms. As a result, violent extremists will likely have the ability to gather intelligence simply by creating, downloading, or interacting with these virtual recreations to record notes and identify any points of vulnerability in which they could exploit during an attack. This will be especially worrisome for government buildings, critical energy infrastructure, public venues, university campuses, sports stadiums, and any other locations that may become potential targets for violent extremism.

Attack Simulation

The final activity that is alarming and requires immediate attention is the enhanced ability for violent extremists to simulate attacks. As mentioned above, the military has harnessed the powers of virtual and augmented reality simulation for decades. Although the technological affordances of high-quality metaverse graphics are still in development, software companies are trying to create programs that are considered so realistic they will suspend one’s disbelief that it’s a simulation and trick their minds into thinking they are physically somewhere else. This will translate to software programs that will allow users to manipulate the complexities of life such as varying amounts of civilians, differing infrastructure and traffic patterns, altering terrain, and various weather conditions. An example of how this has already manifested within the American armed forces is the Synthetic Training Environment (STE), which was developed by the software company Bohemia Interactive Simulations, that creates high-fidelity simulations for soldiers to train anywhere in the world. This version of the metaverse is called One World Terrain and the software combines three-dimensional data collected from satellites, sensors or scanners and combines it with additional information to render high-fidelity terrain simulations. Furthermore, STE’s digital world can be manipulated by artificial intelligence and machine learning to achieve specific training exercises and results (Easley, 2022).

As the technology has been democratized over recent years, it has helped companies such as Improbable overcome barriers to slow processing speeds and other limitations to a more realistic experience. Moreover, they are trying to improve the computing and networking capabilities armed forces would need to connect multiple users into a single metaverse training environment to the scale of multi-domain operations, which require vast virtual elements to render and then react naturally. However, at the end of 2022, developers at Improbable successfully held a stress test of their technology that was able to produce 20,000 artificially created bots that users within a simulation could interact with (Easley, 2022). Although this technology is being primarily produced for armed forces and law enforcement agencies, it is likely that companies building out these technologies will expand production and distribution to private sector consumers as well (Mcardle & Dohrman, 2022). Should violent extremists be able to gain access to these software programs, there is an infinite amount of plausible scenarios in which they manipulate the algorithms to the exact specifications of an upcoming attack and simulate their activities under hefty layers of anonymity.

The second key component of attack simulation within the metaverse that poses a heightened threat to public safety is their ability to practice with virtual weaponry and explosives. In the past, a trend developed where violent extremists moved to the Dark Web and used it to procure weapons, explosives, and other illegal items (Weise, 2017). The Dark Web, otherwise known as the Tor Network, is a collection of hidden sites inaccessible via a regular Internet browser and not indexed by search engines such as Google. In 2019, over 65,000 unique URLs existed on the Tor Network. Further, in a 2018 study by computer security firm Hyperion Gray, they cataloged about 10 percent of these sites and found that the most prevalent functions facilitated communication via forums, chat rooms, and file and image hosts, as well as commerce via marketplaces. Some of the more prevalent illicit activities included arms trafficking, drug dealing, and the sharing of exploitative content—often involving children—such as pornography and images of violence and other types of abuse. The pairing of Dark Web services with cryptocurrencies has led to expectations of an outbreak in crime related activities (Kumar & Rosenbach, 2019). However, there is now an emerging alternative option where users would have access to similar levels of anonymity, only now it will be far more immersive than the Tor Network. Within metaverse servers, organized crime such as arms trafficking could take place with relative ease under the current lack of technological understanding, regulation, or oversight (INTERPOL, 2022). As it pertains to firearms testing and purchasing specifically, there are companies that have already built firearm-emulating controllers that pair with virtual reality headsets that are shockingly realistic. With this technology, metaverse users and violent extremists alike will be able to simulate the usage of any number of different firearms, test its efficiency in a number of simulated situations, and arrive at a decision in which one they prefer to use in real life.

On the other hand, violent extremists would have access to purchasing firearms and explosives, while also learning how to make and operate them with technology that is already available for consumer purchase. In a hypothetical scenario, violent extremists could enter a metaverse server where they could purchase the instructions for building an improvised explosive device (IED) or 3-D printed weapon, as well as learn how to deploy them in a simulated attack from the user they are purchasing from. The critical difference between the Internet, Dark Web, and the metaverse is that within both the Internet and Dark Web, individuals using these platforms are currently more susceptible to detection from various law enforcement agencies monitoring these spaces (Goodison et al., 2020)(Dilanian, 2021).

The final activity and a critically important area of concern is how the Metaverse will enable violent extremists to rehearse their attacks. Once they have completed their pre-attack planning, gathered all the materials needed, the next step in the attack planning cycle is rehearsal. Violent extremists often rehearse the attack scenario to confirm planning assumptions, enhance tactics, and practice escape routes. They may also trigger an incident at the target site to test the reaction of security personnel and first responders. While assessing the efficacy of their plans prior to the attack, violent extremists also seek to determine the conditions which favor the highest rate of success and lowest risk. Factors they commonly consider include the element of surprise, choice of time and place, use of diversionary tactics, and ways to impede response measures. Unless the violent extremist is planning a suicide attack, escape routes and contingency plans are also carefully planned (ODNI, 2020). Until recently these activities were most frequently carried out in person. However, with the addition of metaverse technology, violent extremists could have unparalleled rehearsal opportunities (Elson et al., 2022). For example, violent extremists can simulate a variety of potential disruptions or variable changes and establish methods of best practice to still achieve their key objectives. This will enable violent extremists to replicate law enforcement and civilian responses, learn viable and efficient paths, coordinate alternative routes if some become blocked, and establish multiple contingency plans should disruptions occur.

Conclusion

The democratization of technology has proven to be a cornerstone of human life and societal development. However, with it has come numerous challenges, but none so great as the impending metaverse. In this article, the author sought to answer the following question, “How can the metaverse be exploited by violent extremists and violent extremist organizations?”

After a thorough analysis, the author identified the following conclusions: First, the metaverse will provide extremists with a unique environment to recruit new members as they can create their own private servers, reach a wider audience, and simulate in-person recruitment networks. These servers will be onerous to moderate, and the current regulatory guidelines and technological mechanisms do not sufficiently prevent the production of nefarious content and behaviors. As a result, the metaverse will serve as an ideal incubator for extremist recruitment. Second, the metaverse will simplify fundraising and cybercrime for violent extremists. Through the usage of cryptocurrency, cybercrime, and money laundering, the metaverse will provide added layers of anonymity and prevent potential detection from law enforcement and financial institutions. Third, the metaverse affords extremists the ability to do the majority of their pre-attack planning and intelligence gathering virtually. By limiting the number of times they must visit a potential target and minimizing the time spent online conducting open-source intelligence, violent extremists will be able to operate discreetly while still maintaining a high level of efficiency. Additionally, should they gain access to the servers used by law enforcement to conduct their own virtual trainings, violent extremists will have the opportunity to develop more effective attack and contingency plans. Finally, as metaverse technology becomes more realistic, extremists can practice creating and handling explosives, weapons, and conducting attack simulations with a variety of potential disruptions or variable changes and establish methods of best practice to still achieve their key objectives.

The implications of this article indicate that the metaverse resembles Pandora’s box; the emerging technology is far more complex than our current systems can handle, and the consequences could be devastating. Therefore, academics, law enforcement agencies, government policymakers, technology companies, and other nongovernmental actors must collaborate to establish proactive research efforts, legislation, and mitigation strategies to assuage future threats posed by violent extremists in the metaverse.

*****

Joseph Levin is an NYU Alumni who graduated from the Center for Global Affairs with a concentration in Transnational Security. His academic research focused primarily on violent extremism and reconciliation efforts in post-conflict settings. During his time at NYU, Joseph served as an Associate Editor of the Global Affairs Review and was a Graduate Assistant for both Dr. Mary Beth Altier and Edward Goldberg.


Bibliography

Aly, Anne, et al. “Introduction to the special issue: Terrorist online propaganda and radicalization.” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, vol. 40, no. 1, 2016, pp. 1–9, 07 Apr 2016, https://doi.org/10.1080/1057610x.2016.1157402

Amos, Zac. “How AI Is Bringing the Metaverse to Life.” Unite.AI, 14 July 2022, www.unite.ai/how-ai-is-bringing-the-metaverse-to-life/

Babich, Nick. “Metaverse Design Guide: User Interactions.” Medium, UX Planet, 4 May 2022, https://uxplanet.org/metaverse-design-guide-part-2-7ab70a349919

Baker, Katherine & Hogan, Kelly. “Metaverse Casinos: A Regulatory Wild West.” National Law Review, 29 Sept. 2022, www.natlawreview.com/article/metaverse-casinos-regulatory-wild-west

Berger, J.M. “How Terrorists Recruit Online (and How to Stop It).” Brookings Institution, 29 July 2016, www.brookings.edu/articles/how-terrorists-recruit-online-and-how-to-stop-it/

Breia, Rachel. “What Are AI Avatars: A Guide to Intelligent Virtual Beings.” Sensorium, 29 June 2022, https://sensoriumarc.com/articles/what-are-ai-avatars

Chohan, Usman W. “Metaverse or Metacurse?” Social Science Research Network, 19 Feb. 2022, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4038770

Dilanian, Ken. “DHS Is Gathering Intelligence on Security Threats from Social Media.” NBCNews.Com, 10 May 2021, www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/dhs-launches-warning-system-find-domestic-terrorism-threats-public-social-n1266707

Dino, Danielle. “E-Recruits: How Gaming Is Helping Terrorist Groups Radicalize and Recruit a Generation of Online Gamers.” Concentric, 19 Oct. 2021, www.concentric.io/blog/e-recruits-how-gaming-is-helping-terrorist-groups-radicalize-and-recruit-a-generation-of-online-gamers

Doxsee, Catrina, and Macander, Michelle. “Assessing the Pentagon’s Progress on Countering Extremism in the Military.” CSIS, 08 Apr. 2022, www.csis.org/analysis/assessing-pentagons-progress-countering-extremism-military

Duong, Cecilia. “Camfecting: How Hackers Attack by Gaining Access to Your Webcam.” UNSW Newsroom, 06 Oct. 2021, https://newsroom.unsw.edu.au/news/science-tech/camfecting-how-hackers-attack-gaining-access-your-webcam

Easley, Mikayla. “How Interconnected, Simulated Worlds Could Transform Military Training.” NDIA Business & Technology Magazine, 23 Nov. 2022, www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/2022/11/23/how-interconnected-simulated-worlds-could-transform-military-training

El Beheiry, Mohamed, et al. “Virtual reality: Beyond visualization.” Journal of Molecular Biology, vol. 431, no. 7, 29 Mar. 2019, pp. 1315–1321, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmb.2019.01.033

Elson, Joel, et al. “The metaverse offers a future full of potential – for terrorists and extremists, too.” The Conversation, 07 Jan. 2022, https://theconversation.com/the-metaverse-offers-a-future-full-of-potential-for-terrorists-and-extremists-too-173622

European Commission. “Automated Serious Game Scenario Generator for Mixed Reality Training.” CORDIS, 09 Aug. 2022, https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/653590

Evans, Alexandra, and Williams, Heather. “How Extremism Operates Online.” RAND Corporation, Apr. 2022, https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA1458-2.html

Fiorillo, Federico. “Metaverse for Creative People.” Vagon, 10 Mar. 2022, https://vagon.io/metaverse-for-creatives/

Goodison, Sean, et al. “Taking on the Dark Web: Law Enforcement Experts ID Investigative Needs.” National Institute of Justice, 15 Jun. 2020, https://nij.ojp.gov/topics/articles/taking-dark-web-law-enforcement-experts-id-investigative-needs

Herath, Chamin, and Jarnecki, Joseph. “Securing Future Realities: What Can We Expect from the Metaverse?” RUSI, 22 Apr. 2022, https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/securing-future-realities-what-can-we-expect-metaverse

Hickey, Bethany. “How to Join the Metaverse.” Finder, 08 Mar. 2022, https://www.finder.com/how-to-join-metaverse

INTERPOL. “INTERPOL launches first global police Metaverse.” INTERPOL, 22 Oct. 2022, https://www.interpol.int/en/News-and-Events/News/2022/INTERPOL-launches-first-global-police-Metaverse

Kartit, Dina, and Howcroft, Elizabeth. “Interpol says metaverse opens up new world of cybercrime.” Reuters, 27 Oct. 2022, https://www.reuters.com/technology/interpol-says-metaverse-opens-up-new-world-cybercrime-2022-10-27/

Kumar, Aditi, and Rosenbach, Eric. “The Truth About the Dark Web.” IMF Finance and Development, Sep. 2019, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2019/09/the-truth-about-the-dark-web-kumar

Lange, Katie. “Virtual, Augmented Reality Are Moving Warfighting Forward.” US Department of Defense, 10 Feb. 2020, https://www.defense.gov/News/Inside-DOD/Blog/Article/2079205/virtual-augmented-reality-are-moving-warfighting-forward/

Liang, Christina, and Cross, Matthew. “White Crusade: How to Prevent Right-Wing Extremists from Exploiting the Internet.” Geneva Centre for Security Policy, Jul. 2020, https://dam.gcsp.ch/files/doc/white-crusade-how-to-prevent-right-wing-extremists-from-exploiting-the-Internet

Mcardle, Jennifer, and Dohrman, Caitlin. “The Full Potential of a Military Metaverse.” War on the Rocks, 18 Feb. 2022, https://warontherocks.com/2022/02/the-full-potential-of-a-military-metaverse/

Miller, Carl, and Silva, Shiroma. “Extremists using video-game chats to spread hate.” BBC News, 23 Sep. 2021, https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-58600181

Morgan, Steve. “Cyber Warfare in the C-Suite.” Cybercrime Magazine, 13 Nov. 2020, https://cybersecurityventures.com/hackerpocalypse-cybercrime-report-2016/

Mystakidis, Stylianos. “Metaverse.” MDPI, 10 Feb. 2022, https://www.mdpi.com/2673-8392/2/1/31

Neumann, Peter, et al. “Countering Online Radicalization in America.” Bipartisan Policy Center, Dec. 2021, https://bipartisanpolicy.org/download/?file=/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BPC-Online-Radicalization-Report.pdf

Ochs, Steven. “Four entry points to the metaverse that are accessible right now.” Pulse, 10 Nov. 2021, https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/four-brand-entry-points-metaverse-accessible-right-now-steven-ochs/

Patel, Faiza, and Hect-Felella, Laura. “Oversight Board’s First Rulings Show Facebook’s Rules Are a Mess.” Just Security, 19 Feb. 2021, https://www.justsecurity.org/74833/oversight-boards-first-rulings-show-facebooks-rules-are-a-mess/

Panich-Linsman, Ilana. “Gatekeepers or Censors? How Tech Manages Online Speech.” New York Times, 07 Aug. 2018, https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/07/technology/tech-companies-online-speech.html

Rosenberg, Louis. “Regulation of the Metaverse: A Roadmap.” International Conference on Virtual and Augmented Reality, Mar. 2022, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/358989449_Regulation_of_the_Metaverse_A_Roadmap

Sarang, Shriya. “How The Metaverse Can Affect Cryptocurrency.” OpenGrowth, 08 Apr. 2022, https://www.opengrowth.com/resources/how-the-metaverse-can-affect-cryptocurrency

Saunders, Jonathan, et al. “Counter-terrorism police are now training with virtual terrorists.” Sheffield Hallam University, 11 Jun. 2018, https://www.shu.ac.uk/research/in-action/projects/virtual-reality-training-for-counterterrorism

Saunders, Jonathan, et al. “The AUGGMED Serious Game Platform: A Case Study of a Serious Game Development for Law Enforcement.” Serious Games for Enhancing Law Enforcement Agencies, 24 Oct. 2019, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-29926-2_6

Smith, Allison. “Risk Factors and Indicators Associated With Radicalization to Terrorism in the United States: What Research Sponsored by the National Institute of Justice Tells Us.” National Institute of Justice, Jun. 2018, https://www.ojp.gov/pdffiles1/nij/251789.pdf

Terman, Rochelle. “Internet Censorship (Part 2): The Technology of Information Control.” UC-Berkeley Townsend Center for the Humanities, 2021, https://townsendcenter.berkeley.edu/blog/Internet-censorship-part-2-technology-information-control

United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). “Cyber organized crime activities.” E4J University Module Series: Cybercrime, Jun. 2019, https://www.unodc.org/e4j/en/cybercrime/module-13/key-issues/cyber-organized-crime-activities.html

US Department of Justice (DOJ). “Online Radicalization to Violent Extremism.” US Department of Justice Office of Justice Programs, Aug. 2014, https://www.ojp.gov/ncjrs/virtual-library/abstracts/online-radicalization-violent-extremism

US Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). “Counterterrorism Guide for Public Safety Personnel.” JCAT, 2020, https://www.dni.gov/nctc/jcat/index.html

US National Archives. “Transnational Organized Crime: A Growing Threat to National and International Security.” US National Security Council, 2011, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/administration/eop/nsc/transnational-crime/threat

Vice Media Group. “A View From Inside the Metaverse.” Vice Media Group, Apr. 2022, https://www.vicemediagroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/The-Metaverse_-A-View-From-Inside.pdf

Ware, Jacob. “The Violent Far-Right Terrorist Threat to the U.S. Military.” Council on Foreign Relations, 31 Jan. 2023, https://www.cfr.org/blog/violent-far-right-terrorist-threat-us-military

Weise, Elizabeth. “Terrorists use the Dark Web to Hide.” Army Cyber Institute at West Point, 27 Mar. 2017, https://cyber.army.mil/Library/Media-Coverage/Article/1338627/terrorists-use-the-dark-web-to-hide/

Xiang, Nina. “A Better Way to Regulate the Metaverse.” Nikkei Asia, 02 Feb. 2022, https://asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/A-better-way-to-regulate-the-metaverse

Zuckerberg, Mark. “The Metaverse and How We’ll Build It Together.” Meta, 28 Oct. 2021, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uvufun6xer8

Filed Under: International Relations/Global Futures, Perspectives on Global Issues - Archives, Private Sector, Transnational Security, Uncategorized

Op-Ed: North Korea and the Resuscitation of the Global Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime

May 14, 2023 by lc4998 Leave a Comment

by Yazan Ammus

International political events since the turn of the century have severely undermined the cause of nuclear disarmament. A deal between Washington and Pyongyang may now offer the best hope to resuscitate global non-proliferation. (Photo credit: Micha Brändli on Unsplash)

When it comes to crafting policy for the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Washington policymakers must internalize Pyongyang’s understanding of modern political history, particularly given all that has transpired since the turn of the century. The international community, particularly the United States, has undermined the cause of nuclear non-proliferation through a series of actions, all of which now fuel the intransigence of the Hermit Kingdom.

The most seminal of these events: the invasion of Iraq in March 2003. Given all available evidence, it now seems more plausible that Baghdad was invaded not because it possessed weapons of mass destruction (WMDs), but as a consequence of their absence (“CIA Final Report: No WMD Found”). Former Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi’s dismantlement of his country’s nuclear program in return for normalized political and economic relations with Europe and the U.S. was, for a time, heralded as a shining example of nuclear diplomacy (Cirincione). Like much of Libya, the positive disarmament case study would be destroyed following NATO’s military intervention in the North African State at the outset of the Arab Spring in 2011 (Bowen and Moran). The Iran nuclear deal? As a result of former U.S. president Donald Trump’s petty vindictiveness and desire to deprive his predecessor of a foreign policy legacy achievement, the agreement was scrapped, in contravention of international law, the wishes of all other parties to maintain the accord, and the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) verification of Tehran’s compliance with its obligations (Smith; O’Connor).

The Russian invasion of Ukraine offers additional disastrous precedent. Not only was the Russian attack made possible as a consequence of Kyiv’s lack of WMD’s, which it gave up to its larger neighbor following the dissolution of the Soviet Union, but in the face of an impressive Ukrainian counterattack, the Russians began leveraging their nuclear arsenal in a predatory way (Cameron). Through the threat of WMDs, the Russians hoped to secure on the battlefield what they could not with conventional armaments. Tragically, the war has demonstrated not only the utility of WMDs as a defensive deterrent, but as a complementary offensive tool as well.

When examined in the context of this history, North Korean distrust of the international community is understandable. Additional geopolitical realities augment their suspicion. The isolated regime is told its nuclear program is to blame for the sanctions suffocating its economy, but in U.S.-sanctioned Venezuela, no such WMD program threatens international peace and security (Weisbrot and Sachs). If Caracas, a human rights paradise when compared to Pyongyang, can be sanctioned for its democratic deficiencies, would not the totalitarian nature of the DPRK’s government alone justify their continued economic embargo, even after disarmament? Or rather, through such policy contradictions, is the United States incentivizing the Venezuelan government to acquire WMDs, which it could then relinquish in return for economic relief?

President Joe Biden has the opportunity to rectify past errors and create an international political system conducive to nuclear non-proliferation. Reentry into the Iran nuclear deal and reducing the severity of the sanctions imposed on non-nuclear states would be critical first steps, which should be complemented by a new diplomatic effort with North Korea. 

During his tenure in office, Trump behaved recklessly, both domestically and internationally. The 45th president got very little right, but his willingness to engage in diplomacy with North Korean leader Kim Jung Un was positive. One can mock the “love letters” exchanged between the two gentlemen, but is it not better for leaders of any two nuclear states to have personal affinity rather than animus? 

Moreover, the fixation on such marginal dynamics obscures the more significant: the reflexive hawkishness that defined the foreign policy dogma of the Republican Party was, to some degree, neutered by the real estate mogul. Notwithstanding his escalation of tensions with Iran, through his negotiations with the Taliban, attempts to establish better relations with Russia, and summit with Kim, Trump brought the possibility of diplomacy with adversaries into the GOP mainstream.

Thus, without the fear of being analogized to former British prime minister Neville Chamberlain or criticized as weak by his congressional opposition, Biden should seek to build on Trump’s experience and engage in his own face-to-face summit with Kim. At the technical level, extensive discussions will be necessary but the basic contours of any agreement are well known: North Korea’s return to the Non-Proliferation Treaty and the dismantling of all its nuclear weapons; removing sanctions and providing economic assistance, particularly fuel, to North Korea; normalizing political and economic relations; and formal security assurances by each side, with explicit guarantees against the threat or use of nuclear weapons. If the U.S. is serious about advancing such an effort, it would need to accept a sequential, reversible process in which some economic relief is granted prior to the complete denuclearization of the peninsula. North Korean leadership made the centrality of this demand clear at the failed Hanoi Summit (Panda and Narang).

As paranoid as the North Korean regime is, it has consistently showcased a desire to reach a comprehensive accord with the U.S. that it feels satisfies its security needs and delivers economic development. In 1994, North Korea struck the Agreed Framework agreement with the Clinton administration, in which it froze its nuclear program, agreed to stay in the NPT, and respect their commitments as an NPT signatory. American congressional opposition to the agreement impeded its implementation (Ryan). On Aug. 7, 2005, at the fourth round of the six-party talks, participants issued a joint statement in which North Korea agreed to dismantle its nuclear program, return to the NPT, and allow inspections of its sites by the IAEA in return for security guarantees, energy provisions, and normalizing relations. Disputes over the construction of a light water reactor and the imposition of fresh sanctions on North Korean banks in Macau ultimately scuttled the agreement (“North Korea: A Chronology of Events”).

If past is prologue, a deal that ends the potential for nuclear war on the divided peninsula can still be reached. The global non-proliferation regime is on life support. Only through bold action can President Biden resuscitate it.

*******

Yazan Ammus is a candidate for a Master of Science in Global Affairs at New York University, with a concentration in Transnational Security. He previously worked with the Middle East Zone Unit of the United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs to advance a nuclear weapons free zone treaty in the Middle East.


Bibliography

Bowen, Wyn and Matthew Moran. “What North Korea Learned From Libya’s Decision to Give Up Nuclear Weapons.” The Conversation,11 May 2018, https://theconversation.com/what-north-korea-learned-from-libyas-decision-to-give-up-nuclear-weapons-95674.

“CIA’s Final Report: No WMD Found in Iraq.” NBC News, 25 Apr. 2005, https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna7634313.

Cirincione, Joseph. “The World Just Got Safer. Give Diplomacy the Credit.” The Washington Post, 11 Jan. 2004, https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/2004/01/11/the-world-just-got-safer-give-diplomacy-the-credit/9dcd0fb2-0ab5-4419-b127-cf44229f559b/.

Cameron, James. “How to Decode Putin’s Nuclear Warnings.” The Washington Post, 22 Sept. 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/22/russia-putin-nuclear-threat-nato.

George, Steven. “No Sanctions Relief Without Steps to Denuclearize, Mattis Tells North Korea.” CNN, 3 June 2018, https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/03/asia/north-korea-mattis-sanctions-relief-intl/index.html.

“North Korea: A Chronology of Events in 2005.” Every CRS Report, 24 Apr. 2006, https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/RL33389.html.

O’Connor, Tom. “Did Trump Break the Law? U.S. Leaves Iran Deal, Violates World Order and Risks War, Experts Say.” Newsweek, 9 May 2018, https://www.newsweek.com/did-trump-break-law-us-leaves-iran-deal-violates-world-order-risks-war-916173.

Panda, Ankit and Vipin Narang. “The Hanoi Summit was Doomed From the Start.” Foreign Affairs, 5 Mar. 2019, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/north-korea/2019-03-05/hanoi-summit-was-doomed-start?check_logged_in=1.

Ryan, Maria. “Why the US’s 1994 Deal With North Korea Failed – and What Trump Can Learn From It.” The Conversation, 19 July 2017, https://theconversation.com/why-the-uss-1994-deal-with-north-korea-failed-and-what-trump-can-learn-from-it-80578.

Smith, David. “The Anti-Obama: Trump’s Drive to Destroy his Predecessor’s Legacy.” The Guardian, 11 May 2018, https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/may/11/donald-trump-barack-obama-legacy.

Weisbrot, Mark and Jeffrey Sachs. “Economic Sanctions as Collective Punishment: The Case of Venezuela.” Center for Economic and Policy Research, Apr. 2019, https://cepr.net/images/stories/reports/venezuela-sanctions-2019-04.pdf.

 

Filed Under: International Law and Human Rights, International Relations/Global Futures, Opinion, Peacebuilding, Perspectives on Global Issues - Archives, Transnational Security, Uncategorized

Comparing the National Response Regarding Youth Education Towards Internally Displaced Persons and Refugees Within Uganda

April 24, 2023 by lc4998 Leave a Comment

by Ava Strasser 

Within two decades, Uganda has been regarded as both “the worst humanitarian crisis in the world” and “the world’s best place for refugees”. Through the lens of youth education, this research explores the response of the Ugandan government during periods of conflict and crisis to analyze how these contrasting realities can both be possible. (Photo credit: sita2 on Unsplash)

 

Introduction 

Within two decades, Uganda has been regarded as both “the worst humanitarian crisis in the world” (Santner 94) and “the world’s best place for refugees” (Easton-Calabria). These statements sound remarkably contrasting. Understanding how they have come about within the same state over two decades may provide insight regarding the response of the Ugandan government during periods of conflict and crises. As will be further explored, these two statements lead to the question: how has the image of Uganda turned from one of the worst humanitarian crises in the world to one of the world’s best places for refugees?

Uganda has a history of responding to forced displacement towards both internally displaced persons (IDPs) and refugees. This history was “first documented during the formation of the modern state of Uganda in 1893” (Kamara et al. 445. The influx of displaced peoples has continued rising and falling across different periods in Uganda’s history. As such, Uganda has addressed IDPs and refugees at the local, national, and international levels. Understanding how the government of Uganda, in consultation with local and international actors, responds to ebbs and flows of forced displacement can provide insight to how policies have been developed and implemented over time and their effectiveness in addressing the lived experiences of those displaced. As the influx of refugees from abroad continues, comparing the national responses regarding youth education towards IDPs and refugees within Uganda offers important insights.

A History of Displacement

Since its colonial era, Uganda has seen periods of conflict internally and with its neighboring states. Further, while an entire timeline of this history is beyond the scope of this research, it is important to denote periods over the past two decades that have resulted in mass displacement and required responses to those seeking refuge within the country.

When former United Nations Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Jan Egeland went to Uganda in 2003, he was confronted with a situation in which internal displacement rose to a total of nearly 2 million people due to fighting between the Lord’s Resistance Army and the Uganda People’s Defense Forces, primarily occurring in northern Uganda (Profile of Internal). Conflict within the country’s borders saw the number of IDPs rise dramatically within the early years of the decade, with many IDPs experiencing life in camps across the country. A 2005 report from the Norwegian Refugee Council stated that “living conditions in the camps [were] appalling, with…widespread lack of infrastructure and basic services, including schools, health care, and water and sanitation facilities” (Profile of Internal 7). These IDPs experienced periods of displacement, resettlement, and integration. As a result, responses from communities, NGOs, and the GoU became increasingly necessary.

While the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre reports that the number of those Ugandans displaced internally due to conflict and violence has declined over time (Internally Displaced Persons), the number of displaced from outside Uganda’s borders continues to rise. At the end of 2021, Uganda was home to more than 1.5 million refugees, primarily from South Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Somalia, and Burundi (Uganda Comprehensive). This makes Uganda one of the largest refugee-hosting countries in both Africa and the world (Uganda National Action 1). The government has stated that:

“[T]he mass influx of refugees…has put enormous pressure on the country’s basic service provision, in particular health and education services. Refugees share all social services with the local host communities. The refugee hosting districts are among the least developed districts in the country, and thus the additional refugee population is putting a high strain on already limited resources” (Education Response Plan 9). 

This research explores the pressure that refugees and host communities experience, as well as the government response to the influx of refugees.

Looking Towards Youth Education

Since its colonial era, Uganda has seen periods of conflict internally and with its neighboring states. Further, while an entire timeline of this history is beyond the scope of this research, it is important to denote periods over the past two decades that have resulted in mass displacement and required responses to those seeking refuge within the country.

When former United Nations Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Jan Egeland went to Uganda in 2003, he was confronted with a situation in which internal displacement rose to a total of nearly 2 million people due to fighting between the Lord’s Resistance Army and the Uganda People’s Defense Forces, primarily occurring in northern Uganda (Profile of Internal). Conflict within the country’s borders saw the number of IDPs rise dramatically within the early years of the decade, with many IDPs experiencing life in camps across the country. A 2005 report from the Norwegian Refugee Council stated that “living conditions in the camps [were] appalling, with…widespread lack of infrastructure and basic services, including schools, health care, and water and sanitation facilities” (Profile of Internal 7). These IDPs experienced periods of displacement, resettlement, and integration. As a result, responses from communities, NGOs, and the GoU became increasingly necessary.

While the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre reports that the number of those Ugandans displaced internally due to conflict and violence has declined over time (Internally Displaced Persons), the number of displaced from outside Uganda’s borders continues to rise. At the end of 2021, Uganda was home to more than 1.5 million refugees, primarily from South Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Somalia, and Burundi (Uganda Comprehensive). This makes Uganda one of the largest refugee-hosting countries in both Africa and the world (Uganda National Action 1). The government has stated that:

“[T]he mass influx of refugees…has put enormous pressure on the country’s basic service provision, in particular health and education services. Refugees share all social services with the local host communities. The refugee hosting districts are among the least developed districts in the country, and thus the additional refugee population is putting a high strain on already limited resources” (Education Response Plan 9). 

This research explores the pressure that refugees and host communities experience, as well as the government response to the influx of refugees.

Looking Towards Youth Education

Youth education assists in understanding the changes of the government response towards forced displacement over time. During periods of emergency, including conflict and displacement, education has been regarded as providing “immediate physical and psychosocial protection, as well as life-saving knowledge and skills”that “can equip [children] to face on-going crises as well as crises to come” (Shohel 105).

The government has stated that “[e]ducation is an essential enabler to break the vulnerability created by conflict and displacement” (Education Response Plan 2). Due to the cited importance of education during periods of conflict and crises, understanding the development and implementation of education policy towards those forcibly displaced shows how communities and states respond to conflict and how resilience is built into institutions. This is important since “peacebuilding emphasizes transformative social change that is accomplished,” in part, “through the development of resilient institutions and social processes that allow conflict to be resolved through political, rather than violent, means” (Peacebuilding 2.0 12).

Looking at the response towards the education of displaced youth by the government will further our understanding of the capacity for positive peace, which addresses the structures that underlie conflict contexts and transform relationships (Galtung).

Response to IDPs

Many IDPs, particularly in northern Uganda, were forced to leave their homes due to ongoing internal conflict. Northern Uganda experienced waves of violent conflict from 1986 to 2006 (Corbin & Omona), with the number of those forcibly displaced in northern and eastern Uganda reaching estimates of 2 million (Profile of Internal 85). Educational systems in Uganda suffered as a result of the conflict (Corbin & Omona), with youth IDPs experiencing these consequences directly. A 2007 report conducted by the Women’s Refugee Commission found through interviews that young people saw education as “their primary concern, and the solution to many [of the] challenges they face” (Listening to Youth 8). Thus, community and national responses to the rising numbers of displaced were required, including through education opportunities, with most discussions of challenges and recommendations were produced from 2002 to 2010. Looking at the response of the GOU to mass displacement and its challenges offers valuable insights into how this response was adapted with the onset of refugee crises from outside the country’s borders in the latter half of the decade. 

Major challenges include government policies that ineffectively addressed structural inequalities, effects of the conflict on infrastructure pertinent to attending school and fostering livelihood, high levels of dropout and absenteeism, and concerns regarding sustainability. The government is a party to international agreements, including the Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement and the 2008 Kampala Convention, and has adopted policies towards IDPs, including the 2004 National Policy on IDPs and the 2007 Peace, Recovery, and Development Plan for Northern Uganda (PRDP) (Kamara et al. 466). 

Of particular interest to the IDP situation in northern Uganda is the PRDP. The plan called for bringing the Ministry of Education and Sports (MoES), local governments, and communities into education planning and recommended developing strategies for addressing high dropout rates, “classroom construction and expansion,” teacher support, and providing routes for alternative education (Peace, Recovery 66). However, scattered implementation of such government policies have resulted in varying degrees of success.

An additional component of the government response that has received significant attention is the Universal Primary Education (UPE) policy implemented by the government in 1997 and reaffirmed in 2003. The cited implementation challenges of UPE include the “prohibitive” lack of access to schooling due to fees for materials, uniforms, and more (Cheney 85). Further, UPE funds were often “diverted by the local government” (Education and Fragility 25). These problems were exacerbated during the transition from primary to secondary schooling, as many living within the camps dropped out before reaching secondary schooling (“Displaced Youth”). The problems with UPE have been documented and reflect the challenges posed to the connection between the local, district, and national levels of governance and people’s lived experiences. 

Recognizing the insecurity students faced in traveling to and from IDP camps for school (Listening to Youth), the government created “learning centers” in the camps (Education and Fragility 6). However, learning centers lacked “basic hygiene…[and having] collapsed school management systems…inadequate instructional materials…[and] widespread trauma among students, teachers and parents” (Education and Fragility 6). In response, recommendations for addressing the challenges and insecurities that IDP youth faced centered around calls for addressing the lack of infrastructure of schools and learning centers for the benefit of both students and teachers, with a focus on hygiene infrastructure so women and girls would be able to access educational opportunities (Education and Fragility). Thus, the difficulty of providing parallel educational opportunities to displaced youth living within camps to fulfill national policies has been widely documented, indicating the need to strengthen the system as a whole.

Absenteeism is another problem. “The total enrollments of pupils [fluctuated] in pace with variable degrees of insecurity at any given time” (Education and Fragility 6). This is particularly true for those who had to commute to reach school facilities, as well as those who were forced out of school due to conflict, displacement, and abduction into armed fighting. Their education was heavily disrupted and many found themselves unable to return to school (Listening to Youth). Young people interviewed by the Women’s Refugee Commission in 2007 recommended increased and sustained support to communities experiencing conflict and displacement; support in achieving “the highest level of formal education possible, which will require catch-up classes” for those unable to attend school for protracted periods; and opportunities for young people to “participate in decision-making” (Listening to Youth 4). This indicates that displaced youth were acutely aware of the problems they faced, with national policies and actions insufficiently addressing students’ lived experiences. Additional problems were “[t]eacher absenteeism, dropout, retention” due to insecurity and correlated with “the quality of infrastructure in schools” (Crespo Cuaresma and Raggl 408). The lack of female teachers also heavily affects the ability of displaced girls to attend schools (Education and Fragility). Greater attention to the needs of the whole community of students, teachers, and families, would be required to address such problems.

The models for learning implemented by the government, grassroots, and international organizations, all running simultaneously in the region, led to questions of sustainability. With these actors operating in parallel capacities without clear coordination, a “culture of dependency” arose due to those within the camps relying on humanitarian aid and a lack of donor investment in “longer-term projects that increase self-reliance” (Listening to Youth 12). Additionally, “past experience of ‘targeting’ returnees or other categories of people for services…contributed to stigmatization,” resulting in a clear need for “inclusive programming to reduce tension and discrimination in local communities” (Listening to Youth 2). These practices reflected a greater need for coordination and attentiveness to strengthening systems that would outlive the immediate response to conflict and displacement.

The challenges documented in the aftermath of major periods of internal displacement indicate that future conflicts and crises must adapt to address the lived experiences of those forcibly displaced and promote the sustainable practices of citizens, communities, and the state through educational attainment. Learning from these challenges is paramount since the “insufficient capacity of the government to provide basic services necessary to the functioning of education is a threat to the perceived legitimacy of the government and thus a cause of fragility and conflict, especially during the rebuilding phase” (Education and Fragility 25). In a country that has dealt with ongoing crises and conflict, addressing such challenges would be necessary for increasing capacities for resilience and peace for the state and individuals within communities.

Response to Refugees

Today, the government is faced with responding to the ongoing refugee movement as millions have resettled in Uganda from outside the country’s borders. Further, the government states that the current refugee crisis within the country should be “considered as a ‘children’s crisis’ where 61% of the total refugee population are estimated to be children under the age of 18 years old” (Education Response Plan 2). Many refugees are resettled into host communities, which have continuously felt the strain on their resources (Comprehensive 19). Thus, understanding the government response of adopting multiple policies relating to refugee youth education and host communities is increasingly important as the crisis continues.

The government passed the Refugee Act of 2006 as well as the 2010 Refugee Regulations, which allow “refugees access to key rights, including freedom of movement and the right to work” and maintain “open borders, non-camp policies, [and] integration of refugees” (Uganda National Action 38). As such, refugees “receive at least the same treatment accorded to aliens generally in similar circumstances relating to… education, other than elementary education for which refugees must receive the same treatment as nationals” (The Refugees Act 18). This situates local integration, with support to both refugee and host communities, and self-reliance as major aspects of the national policy towards refugees. In particular, self-reliance responds to one of the major challenges of the “culture of dependency,” a challenge arising from the reliance of IDPs on humanitarian assistance in education throughout the early 2000s ​​(Listening to Youth 12). This creates an important foundation for understanding additional key policies developed by the government.

Further policies, such as the Comprehensive Refugee Response Framework (CRRF) of 2019 and the Education Response Plan for Refugee and Host Communities in Uganda (ERP) of 2018, have been developed to strengthen the national response towards refugee and host communities. The CRRF calls for the development of “comprehensive sector plans in education, health, jobs and livelihoods, and water and environment” and calls on the international community to aid in “investment, financing, material and technical assistance” where needed (Uganda National Action 39). The policy calls for the involvement of the MoES in strengthening the national response towards refugee and host communities (Uganda National Action). The CRRF indicates that national policy has become more aligned with the key challenges of limited policy development and implementation within the response to IDPs in the early 2000s by strengthening local and district-level involvement. Further, the creation of the CRRF Steering Committee to oversee the achievement of the identified measures brings together “Government Ministries, Departments and Agencies, international bilateral and multilateral partners, international and local NGOs, the private sector… host communities” and refugee communities through the Refugee Engagement Forum (Uganda National Action 13; Uganda Global). This addresses, in part, the “insufficient consultation with affected communities, who are not only the beneficiaries of a self-reliance [program] but also its agents,” that challenged previous efforts (Uganda Global). The CRRF emphasizes that consultation with refugee and host communities is prioritized within the currently implemented educational response.

In calling for a comprehensive response led by the MoES, the CRRF oversaw the development of the ERP of 2018. This is the most comprehensive policy towards youth education for refugee and host communities developed by the government. This policy consists of outputs and targeted measures that respond to challenges identified throughout the IDP youth education response period. The MoES identified successes of the targeted measures of the ERP by 2019, which include increasing numbers of refugee enrollment in primary education, the “construction of 617 classrooms,” the training of 618 teachers, and local government and “refugee-inclusive planning and budgeting” (Education Response Plan Secretariat 2). Further, an Accelerated Education curriculum has been created (Education Response Plan Secretariat), which responds to calls for addressing absenteeism of students who missed schooling due to conflict and displacement and may also reflect the need to reduce stigmatization as services are provided to all within the host community. These policies reflect the recognition that addressing these challenges has required a whole-of-government response at the local, district, and national levels, in consultation and with support from affected communities and international actors. 

The success of the ERP reflects that the current policies have addressed the challenges of education for IDPs from the early 2000s. These policies attempt to address the most significant challenges faced by the national response to education provision for IDPs, as identified above: structural inequalities that lead to the inability of many students to attend school, lack of infrastructure, high levels of absenteeism, and the sustainability of response. Today, districts and government offices are involved in planning, instilling a sense of ownership at the national level. Communities and the government are less dependent on humanitarian and international organizations, creating conditions for the sustainable capacity of the government and those responsible for ensuring educational opportunities for youth within Uganda by thinking of longer-term solutions.

However, key challenges of the national response identified by actors within the state in the early 2000s remain. Limitations for access to education beyond the primary level remain (Inter-Agency) partly due to the inability to pay material and tuition fees, particularly in rural settings (An Assessment). In addition, the Ugandan National NGO Forum reports that corruption remains and has many effects on delivering public services, including education (“Dignity”). These challenges reflect the government’s limitations in providing educational opportunities. 

Further, new challenges have arisen. Due to the increasing number of refugees from francophone countries, “the study curriculum, instruction language, and materials present a challenge because refugees come from countries with quite different educational environments” (An Assessment 31). Additionally, many lack documents from their home country that are pertinent to furthering their education in Uganda (Uganda National Action). These challenges are unique to the situation of refugees resettling in Uganda. Future policy development and implementation should enhance efforts to respond to such issues as they arise. Moreover, covid-19 has posed new challenges as schools have closed and entry of refugees at the border has been restricted (Inter-Agency; “Dignity”). The government response post-covid will be indicative of the strength of previously established policies and institutions. 

Further, there are limited calls for the involvement of youth in decision-making that affects their lives, an important recommendation given in 2007 by IDP youth themselves. This hampers the ability of refugee and host community youth to participate in the decisions that affect them. These policies may benefit from their inclusion in discussion and implementation. While substantial progress has been made in refugee and host community education in Uganda, challenges remain that limit the ability of all youth to access opportunities for the betterment of their livelihoods. 

Conclusion

Uganda has experienced a history of conflict and displacement. The national response to these crises is important in understanding the capacity of the state to build resilience into its institutions, a key feature of enhancing peacefulness within societies. It is worth noting that, as a senior official with the U.N. said, “[t]his is a very critical moment for northern Uganda and there are discrepancies between the political, public discourse and the reality on the ground” (Listening to Youth 14). While looking at the government’s policies offers insight, it does not provide the entire picture, which challenges the formulation of an understanding of how resilience is built into educational institutions and the country’s capacity for peace.

Regardless, looking at the challenges of the early 2000s of the national response towards the education of IDP youth and seeing how current policies have adapted to address structural inequalities and limitations is crucial to addressing future challenges and policy in Uganda. The challenges of structural inequality, infrastructure, absenteeism, questions of sustainability, and longer-term solutions that arose out of the national response in the early 2000s have contributed to a certain extent to the current government response to the influx of refugees. While challenges remain to be addressed, national commitment to the policies in place and international support will be crucial to ensuring that the youth within Uganda have access to opportunities to better themselves and their societies.

*******

Ava Strasser is a second-year master’s student at NYU’s Center for Global Affairs pursuing a degree in Global Affairs with a concentration in Peacebuilding. Her research interests include the participation of displaced women and girls in peace processes and the Women, Peace, and Security Agenda. She previously interned with local non-profit organizations supporting the resettlement of refugees and asylum seekers in Michigan and the United Nations Security Sector Reform Unit and has experience working in Lira, Uganda, and Lesbos, Greece.

 


Bibliography

An Assessment of Uganda’s Progressive Approach to Refugee Management. The World Bank Group, 2016.

Cheney, K. Pillars of the Nation: Child Citizens and Ugandan National Development. University of Chicago Press, 2008.

Comprehensive Refugee Response Framework Uganda: The Way Forward. UNHCR Uganda, October 2017.

Corbin, J. N., & Omona, J. “Community-Based Intervention to Strengthen Family and Community Relationships in Post-Conflict Nwoya and Gulu Districts in Northern Uganda.” Social Development Issues (Social Development Issues), vol. 42, no. 2, 2020, 1–13.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., & Raggl, A. “The Dynamics of Returns to Education in Uganda: National and Subnational Trends.” Development Policy Review, vol. 34, no. 3, 2016, 385–422.

“Dignity, Solidarity, Shared Prosperity: 2022 Civil Society New Year’s Message.” Uganda National NGO Forum, 17 January 2022.

“Displaced Youth: The Challenges of Displacement, The Challenges of Return.” The New Humanitarian, 23 February 2007. 

Easton-Calabria, E. “Uganda has a Remarkable History of Hosting Refugees, but Its Efforts are Underfunded.” The Conversation, 26 August 2021. 

Galtung, J. “A mini theory of peace.” Galtung-Institut, 4 January 2007.

Inter-Agency Revised Uganda Country Refugee Response Plan (July 2020 – December 2021). United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, 8 February 2021.

Internally Displaced Persons, Total Displaced by Conflict and Violence (number of people) – Uganda. The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre & World Bank Group.

Kamara, J. K., Cyril, S., & Renzaho, A. M. N. “The Social and Political Dimensions of Internal Displacement in Uganda: Challenges and Opportunities – A Systematic Review.” African Studies, vol. 76, no. 3, 2017, 444–473.

Listening to Youth: The Experiences of Young People in Northern Uganda. Women’s Refugee Commission, July 2007.

Peacebuilding 2.0: Mapping the Boundaries of an Expanding Field. Alliance for Peacebuilding, 2012.

Profile of Internal Displacement: Uganda. Norwegian Refugee Council & Global IDP Project, 10 August 2005. 

Santner, F. “Uganda’s Policy for Internally Displaced Persons: A Comparison with the Colombian Regulations on Internal Displacement.” International Law, vol. 22, 2013, 87–120.

Shohel, M. M. C. “Education in Emergencies: Challenges of Providing Education for Rohingya Children Living in Refugee Camps in Bangladesh.” Education Inquiry, vol. 13, no. 1, 2022, 104–126. https://doi-org.proxy.library.nyu.edu/10.1080/20004508.2020.1823121

Uganda. Peace, Recovery and Development Plan for Northern Uganda (PRDP). September 2007, https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Uganda_PRDP-2007.pdf

Uganda. The Refugees Act. 2006, https://www.refworld.org/pdfid/4b7baba52.pdf

Uganda. Uganda National Action Plan to Implement the Global Compact on Refugees and its Comprehensive Refugee Response Framework (CRRF) 2018-2020: Uganda’s Revised CRRF Roadmap. 2019, https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwjWk-mhmaP2AhUGJt8KHVMNATgQFnoECAUQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fdata2.unhcr.org%2Fen%2Fdocuments%2Fdownload%2F74394&usg=AOvVaw2KRn5scqS4PEguBxVGxF3p

Uganda Comprehensive Refugee Response Portal. United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees.

Uganda, Ministry of Education and Sports. Education Response Plan for Refugees and Host Communities in Uganda. 2018 September, https://www.edu-links.org/sites/default/files/media/file/Education-Response-Plan-for-Refugees-and-Host-Communities-in-Uganda_Fina.._.pdf

Uganda, Ministry of Education and Sports. The Education Response Plan (ERP) Secretariat for Refugees and Host Communities in Uganda Ministry of Education and Sports September 2018 – 2021. 2019, https://www.education.go.ug/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/ERP-Overview-1.pdf

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. (2021, March 15). Uganda Global Compact on Refugees Digital Platform. https://globalcompactrefugees.org/article/uganda

United States, Agency for International Development. Education and Fragility in Northern Uganda. 2008 October, https://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/pnadz725.pdf

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Op-Ed: A dead Iran nuclear deal will prompt a nuclear Saudi Arabia

February 13, 2023 by lc4998 Leave a Comment

by Meera Alfalasi

In the wake of the failed Iran nuclear deal and ongoing conflict in the Middle East, tensions with Saudi Arabia are high. The Kingdom has said it would not acquire nuclear weapons unless Iran did so first. How would a nuclear Iran affect the balance of power in the region? (Photo credit: Kyle Glenn on Unsplash)

The threat that a nuclear Iran would pose to its neighbors has been extensively discussed in print. Many academics and professionals argue that it would be dangerous to let an aggressive, expansionist dictatorship obtain the most terrible weapon ever created. With the latest development of a “dead proposal,” Iran has made it clear that it is not willing to take the deal proposed in late August of 2022 (Wagenheim, 2023). With the recent escalations in the region, including an Israeli drone strike on an Iranian military factory (Hafezi et al., 2023), discussions about how to coexist with a nuclear Iran have been on the table by several politicians and commentators. 

Reviewing all the probable effects of such a tectonic event is essential before adopting a fatalistic stance. Since the proposed agreement of a nuclear weapon-free zone in the Middle East (MENWFZ), proliferation in the region has been at the forefront of nuclear talks. Robert Einhorn and Richard Nephew, in their paper titled “The Iran Nuclear Deal: Prelude to Proliferation in the Middle East?” discussed a “cascade of proliferation” if the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action fails, and it seems like we are heading in that direction. The Russia-Ukraine war and domestic turmoil in Iran following the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini have taken attention as Western governments accuse Iran of making excessive demands, causing the nuclear talks to stall (Reuters, 2022). It is clear that Saudi Arabia will take all necessary measures to ensure that it is not left behind if Iran passes the nuclear threshold.

Two factors, capability and intent, are frequently used in the intelligence community to evaluate a threat. Both are included in Saudi Arabia’s nuclear program. Saudi Arabia started construction on a 30-kilowatt research reactor in 2018 — odd, given that using nuclear reactors is tenfold more expensive than burning fossil fuels, which are abundant there. More striking is the Saudis’ refusal to allow inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which monitors nuclear safety and proliferation worldwide. If allegations that China assisted in building a plant to process the raw uranium are true, Saudi Arabia is estimated to possess around 90,000 tons of unmined uranium, which is likely enough fuel for that reactor as well as a weapons program (Graham-Harrison et al., 2020).

There is evidence that Saudi Arabia has an arrangement with Pakistan to deliver nuclear weapons in the case of a crisis, like Iran acquiring nuclear weapons, even if Saudi Arabia decides against acquiring the equipment required for a weapons program, such as centrifuges or plutonium reprocessing facilities. Additionally, it has long been thought that Saudi Arabia provided funding for Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal (Urban, 2013). A tiny portion of those weapons is reserved for such a scenario, according to many U.S. and NATO officials (Henderson, 2019).

If Iran obtains nuclear weapons, the Kingdom also intends to join the so-called “smallest club on earth,” which is made up of countries that have nuclear weapons. To see how well its leaders have conveyed their goals, one can look at their public pronouncements. Crown Prince and Prime Minister of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman, also known as MBS, stated in 2018 that “Saudi Arabia does not want to acquire any nuclear bomb, but without a doubt, if Iran developed a nuclear bomb, we will follow suit as soon as possible” (Reuters, 2018).

Such overt Saudi intentions about nuclear weapons are not new. Prince Turki Al-Faisal, former intelligence chief and Saudi Ambassador to Washington, stated in 2011, “We cannot live in a situation where Iran has nuclear weapons, and we don’t. It’s as simple as that… If Iran develops a nuclear weapon, that will be unacceptable to us, and we will have to follow suit…we must, as a duty to our country and people, look into all options we are given, including obtaining these weapons ourselves” (Burke, 2011). Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud stated in an on-stage interview at the World Policy Conference in Abu Dhabi in December 2022 that “if Iran gets an operational nuclear weapon, all bets are off…we are in a very dangerous space in the region…you can expect that regional states will certainly look towards how they can ensure their own security” (Reuters, 2022). What leads us to this conclusion of Saudi Arabia’s position is that it has refused to join nonproliferation agreements and has not consented to restrictions on uranium enrichment and spent fuel reprocessing, the two ways to produce nuclear weapons.

Part of the reason the Kingdom wants nuclear weapons is the Saudi-Iran tension since Iran’s revolution in 1979. The Sunni-Shia split gives rise to a sectarian element of the conflict, although the main reason for hostilities in the Middle East is to establish supremacy and power. Proxy wars between the Saudi-backed groups in Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria and the Iranian-backed groups, alongside the expansion of Iran’s “Shia crescent” agenda, have intensified the fight (Silinsky, 2019). 

The likelihood of proliferation has increased because of recent changes in the Kingdom’s geostrategic situation. Saudi Arabia formerly benefited from a cordial relationship with the U.S. America’s position as a strong ally assured that other regional powers could not develop into existential threats. But this changed after the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and the OPEC+ decision to cut production by almost 2 million barrels a day. In a public statement, President Joe Biden warned that Saudi Arabia will have to “pay the consequences” and that the Kingdom’s administration has “little social redeeming value” (Sanger, 2021). With the prospect of its adversary getting nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia has no option but to follow suit. The sad lesson of Ukraine and Libya, both of which handed over their nuclear weapons, is that the survival of states that do not have nuclear weapons is at the whim of states that do.

Iran’s acquisition of nuclear weapons would dramatically change the balance of power in the Middle East. Any consideration for how the world may cope with it should look at the likely effects of further proliferation in an unstable region home to several forms of governance that are susceptible to dramatic overnight change. While we must discuss how to handle Iran’s nuclear ambitions right away, we must keep such potential nightmares in mind.

*********

Meera Alfalasi is a second-year master’s student at NYU pursuing a Global Affairs degree with a concentration in Transnational Security. Meera is currently an intern at the United Arab Emirates mission to the UN in the Counter-Terrorism department, researching the usage of emerging new technologies by terrorist and non-state actors. From Dubai, U.A.E., she is interested in diplomacy, radicalization, terrorism, and counter-terrorism. She holds a B.A. in International Relations and US Foreign Policy.


Works Cited

BBC News, BBC News, 6 Nov. 2013, www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-24823846. 

Burke, Jason. “Riyadh Will Build Nuclear Weapons If Iran Gets Them, Saudi Prince Warns.” The Guardian, The Guardian, 29 June 2011, www.theguardian.com/world/2011/jun/29/saudi-build-nuclear-weapons-iran.

Graham-Harrison, Emma, et al. “Revealed: Saudi Arabia May Have Enough Uranium Ore to Produce Nuclear Fuel.” The Guardian, The Guardian, 17 Sept. 2020, www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/17/revealed-saudi-arabia-may-have-enough-uranium-ore-to-produce-nuclear-fuel. 

Henderson, Simon. “Money for Missiles? Reassessing the Saudi Visit to Pakistan.” The Washington Institute, 29 Jan. 2019, www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/money-missiles-reassessing-saudi-visit-pakistan. 

Parisa Hafezi,Phil Stewart. “Israel Appears to Have Been behind Drone Strike on Iran Factory, U.S. Official Says.” Reuters, Reuters, 29 Jan. 2023, www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/blast-heard-military-plant-irans-central-city-isfahan-state-media-2023-01-28/. 

Reuters. “Saudi Foreign Minister: ‘All Bets Off’ If Iran Gets Nuclear Weapon.” Reuters, Reuters, 11 Dec. 2022, www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-foreign-minister-all-bets-off-if-iran-gets-nuclear-weapon-2022-12-11/. 

‌Sanger, David E. “Candidate Biden Called Saudi Arabia a ‘Pariah.’ He Now Has to Deal with It. (Published 2021).” The New York Times, 24 Feb. 2021, www.nytimes.com/2021/02/24/us/politics/biden-jamal-khashoggi-saudi-arabia.html. 

Silinsky, Mark D. “Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.” Usmcu.edu, 16 Sept. 2019, www.usmcu.edu/Outreach/Marine-Corps-University-Press/Expeditions-with-MCUP-digital-journal/Irans-Islamic-Revolutionary-Guard-Corps/. 

Staff, Reuters. “Saudi Crown Prince Says Will Develop Nuclear Bomb If Iran Does: CBS TV.” U.S., 15 Mar. 2018, Urban, Mark. “Saudi Nuclear Weapons ‘on Order’ from Pakistan.” www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-iran-nuclear/saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-iran-does-cbs-tv-idUSKCN1GR1MN.‌ 

‌Wagenheim, Mike. “Iran ‘Killed Opportunity’ to Revive Nuclear Deal – Blinken.” I24news, i24news, 18 Jan. 2023, www.i24news.tv/en/news/international/americas/1674039279-iran-killed-opportunity-to-revive-nuclear-deal-blinken.

Filed Under: International Relations/Global Futures, Opinion, Peacebuilding, Transnational Security, Uncategorized

The Prospect of a Northern Ireland Truth Commission

January 29, 2023 by lc4998 Leave a Comment

by Joseph Levin

As the legacy of violent sectarian conflict continues to haunt public consciousness within Northern Ireland, an innovative approach is needed to preserve the truth and provide answers for the remaining unsolved crimes committed during the Troubles. This paper examines previous truth and reconciliation attempts and their pitfalls, and recommends an unofficial truth recovery project that will provide a pragmatic mechanism for uncovering authentic versions of Northern Ireland’s past.  (Photo credit: K. Mitch Hodge on Unsplash)

Within international political discourse there are certain individuals who popularized the notion that societies riddled with prior armed conflict are prisoners of the past in such an intractable way that they bind themselves in inescapable chains of violence (Hamber, 2002). Despite being a controversial claim, perhaps there is no better case study than Northern Ireland to examine how a disjointed collective memory of the past can become a hotly contested issue once weapons are laid down. Since the 12th-century Anglo-Norman invasion of Ireland, evidence indicates that the population has suffered from staunchly ingrained tensions between Protestants and Roman Catholics (Todd, 2010). Although there have been various violent clashes between these two groups through the centuries, the most recent armed conflict was known as “The Troubles” (Wallenfeldt, 2019). After nearly 30 years of fighting, the Troubles ended in 1998 with the signing of the Belfast Agreement, also known as the Good Friday Agreement (GFA). In total, approximately 3,600 people were killed and more than 30,000 were wounded during the conflict (Wallenfeldt, 2019). However, despite the GFA, many of the crimes committed during the Troubles went unsolved and the ethno-nationalist and religious divisions remain firmly entrenched within society today (Hayward & Rosher, 2021).  

In coordinated attempts to combat the longstanding effects of the Troubles, numerous scholars, legal experts, non-governmental groups, and international organizations have tried to provide potential solutions. However, for a multitude of reasons almost none of these have materialized. As time continues on, victims have become increasingly cynical that the truth of their experiences will never be told and the individuals most responsible for undue violence will escape punishment (Hancock, 2012). With these conditions in mind, this paper will seek to answer the following question: “What would be an appropriate format for a truth commission or recovery mechanism within Northern Ireland to address crimes committed during the Troubles?” I contend that in order to have a successful truth commission, it must be led by a coalition of non-governmental community and victims group leaders, scholars, and other distinguished individuals from within all six Northern Irish counties. This paper concludes with the recommendation that the people should conduct an unofficial truth recovery project called the Belfast Truth Recovery Project (BTRP). This project would follow precedents set by the Ardoyne Commemoration Project, South African Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC), and Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights. 

Brief History of the Troubles 

Similar to other conflicts in the 20th century, Northern Ireland’s Troubles had a long history of violence that intertwined religious, ethnic, and political disputes cultivated centuries ago when British Protestants first subjugated Ireland’s native Catholic population. It wasn’t until the early 1920s, after a successful push for Irish independence, that the island fractured in two. The result of this partition was that the Republic of Ireland made up the majority of the island, while six counties in the northeast remained part of the United Kingdom and became known as Northern Ireland (CFR, 2013). In the newly formed Northern Ireland, British Protestants made up the majority of the population and held most of the region’s political power. 

Years later, during the 1960s, Northern Ireland’s Catholic minority grew frustrated over their unequal access to housing, jobs, healthcare, and education. These grievances were the direct result of Conservatives and Unionists gerrymandering to maintain control of power by manipulating electoral boundaries, determining which individuals were granted the ability to vote, and minimizing the roles individuals from the minority could hold (TCSJNI, 1964). In addition to the rampant inequality and minimal power sharing, there was also strong disagreement between unionists, who mostly Protestants and wanted Northern Ireland to remain part of the United Kingdom, and nationalists, who mostly Catholics and wished to see the reunification of the whole island of Ireland (Cairns & Darby, 1998). The discontent and bitter social divides ultimately led to a civil rights movement led by the Catholic minority. By August 1969, there had been riots in Belfast, Derry, Dungiven, and Lurgan, as well as mass civil rights marches and sit-downs in Newry, Armagh, Dungannon, and Enniskillen (Munck, 1992). In order to violently suppress the civil unrest, the Protestant-leaning Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) police force and British military were deployed (CFR, 2013). Shortly thereafter, the violent confrontation escalated and the Troubles had begun.

The main participants in the Troubles included the following groups: republican paramilitaries such as the Provisional Irish Republican Army (IRA) and the Irish National Liberation Army (INLA); loyalist paramilitaries such as the Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) and Ulster Defence Association (UDA); British state security forces such as the British Military and RUC; and political activists. During the conflict, Republican paramilitary groups carried out guerrilla warfare campaigns against British forces, as well as a series of bombings against infrastructure, commercial, and political targets. Conversely, Loyalist paramilitary operatives executed attacks on republicans, nationalists, and the wider Catholic community in what they described as retaliation for the ongoing violence (Wallenfeldt, 2019).

As the 1970s proceeded, rioting became more common in the cities of Belfast and Derry, bombings of public places increased, and both sides to the conflict perpetrated deadly atrocities. However, on Jan. 30, 1972, the conflict reached a new level of intensity when approximately 15,000 people gathered in the Creggan area of Derry to take part in a civil rights march organized by Northern Ireland Civil Rights Association to protest unjust police detention and internment. The intended destination of the march was the city center; however, barricades put in place by the British Army blocked marchers. After prolonged skirmishes between groups of youths and the British Army, soldiers from the Parachute Regiment moved in to make arrests. As the soldiers neared the protesters, stones were thrown and soldiers responded with rubber bullets, tear gas and water cannons. As chaos ensued, British soldiers moved to arrest as many marchers as possible and began to open fire. According to British Army evidence, 21 soldiers fired their weapons, discharging 108 live rounds between them. In total, 13 people were killed and at least 15 others were injured in what is now widely regarded as one of the darkest days of the Northern Ireland Troubles — Bloody Sunday. The response was swift as angry mobs formed all over the country and the British Embassy in Dublin was burned to the ground. During 1972, more than 480 people were killed by the conflict in Northern Ireland, which proved to be the deadliest year in the Troubles (McCormack, 2022).

For the remainder of the Troubles, violence ebbed and flowed as cease-fires lingered and lapsed, and tit-for-tat bombings and assassinations continued. At times, violence even spilled over into Ireland, the U.K., and other European nations (Cowell, 2018). After many failed diplomatic efforts, the Good Friday Agreement (GFA) was signed in 1998. This monumental deal tentatively brought the vast majority of the armed conflict to an end. The GFA created a power-sharing Northern Ireland Assembly (at Stormont), established as an institutional arrangement for cross-border cooperation between the governments of Ireland and Northern Ireland on a range of issues, and laid the groundwork for continued consultation between the British and Irish governments. On May 22, 1998, the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland held a joint referendum on the agreement, which was approved by 94% of those who voted in the Republic and 71% of those voting in Northern Ireland. Although isolated attacks still occurred in the years after the referendum passed, the Troubles had come to an end. Out of a population of approximately 1.5 million, nearly 3,600 people were killed and more than 30,000 were injured over the 30-year period (Wallenfeldt, 2019). 

The Consequences of the Troubles on Modern Politics

Since the turn of the millennium, Northern Ireland has been marred by volatile political systems and societal divisions not felt since the Troubles were exacerbated within the U.K. constituent country following Brexit (Posner, 2021). The government in Northern Ireland implements power-sharing, which allows nationalist and unionist political parties to exercise power together in an executive at parliament buildings located on the Stormont Estate of Belfast. This new assembly was established in 1998, after the signing of the Good Friday Agreement (McCormack, 2020). Although it has not been terribly efficient, when members are in session, Stormont has jurisdiction over policies relevant to the Northern Irish economy, education, health, policing, and agriculture (Whysall, 2018). 

Unfortunately, one of the drawbacks of this system is that it is explicitly designed to accommodate nationalists and unionists, but has marginalized those that may not identify with either party and has reinforced the same divisions that led to conflict in the past. For example, Stormont requires members to designate as “nationalist,” “unionist,” or “other,” but gives “other” members a secondary role. Additionally, the two parties have an effective veto on certain legislative votes, which “others” do not. The top offices of first minister and deputy first minister within the Assembly are technically open to others, but have considerable stipulations, which further polarizes politics and creates an impasse within Stormont (Murtagh, 2022). In addition to the ostracization, the legislative log-jams also prevent meaningful progress on other causes of societal unrest as they pertain to the long-term consequences of the Troubles. These include, but are not limited to, the information recovery process, an oral history archive, a timeline of events to be drawn up by academics, and the Implementation and Reconciliation Group (O’Kane, 2017). 

An example of ongoing contention amongst the population in Northern Ireland surrounding crimes committed during the Troubles is the prosecution of Soldier F. In September 2022, prosecutors at the Northern Ireland Public Prosecution Service reopened the case against the former British soldier charged with two counts of murder and five counts of attempted murder on Bloody Sunday (BBC, 2022). Prosecutors had previously decided to drop the case against the former paratrooper, which led to public outcry from bereaved relatives; however, the High Court in Belfast overruled that decision in March 2022 (BBC, 2022). As public tensions continue to fester around the long held animosity of Bloody Sunday, a committal hearing resumed in late January 2023 to determine if there is sufficient evidence against Soldier F for a case to proceed to Crown Court trial (Derry Daily, 2022). 

Since British and Northern Irish institutions have been reluctant to grapple with the horrors of the Troubles, sharp partisan and religious divides persist (Connolly, 2006). The result has been governmental incompetence. Following accusations of negotiating in bad faith and perceived disrespect on both sides, Stormont collapsed in 2017 when the two biggest parties, Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) and Sinn Féin, split over the DUP’s handling of a green energy scandal. This disagreement led to a three-year stalemate, which ended due to the COVID-19 pandemic when legislators reconvened to pass emergency legislation (McCormack & Fox, 2022). 

Strife flared up again in 2022 after the DUP blocked the formation of a new executive to protest assembly elections after Sinn Féin won the majority vote earlier this year (Carroll, 2022). After missing the deadline to form the new executive in late October 2022, the Northern Irish government extended the deadline by another six weeks (Webber, 2022). Following a tenuous period of debate, the latest deadline to restore Northern Ireland’s devolved government at Stormont passed without an agreement on Jan. 20, 2023. Under the existing rules, the latest an assembly poll can be held is April 13, 2023, meaning the government would need to call the election no later than early March. However, Northern Ireland Secretary Chris Heaton-Harris could opt to delay a poll, as he has done previously via legislation at Westminster (BBC News, 2023). As the gridlock continues to plague Northern Ireland, citizens have progressively voiced their dismay at the political ineptitude of lawmakers who have caused Stormont to collapse six times since the Good Friday Agreement (McCormack & Fox, 2022).  

To make matters worse, the House of Lords in the United Kingdom has been discussing potential legislation called The Northern Ireland Troubles Bill, which would create the Independent Commission for Reconciliation and Information Recovery (ICRIR). This bill is intended to address the legacy of the Troubles and would be responsible for reviewing all outstanding legacy cases concerning Troubles-related deaths and other harmful criminal conduct. As it stands, there are than 1,000 unsolved killings that occurred during the 30-year conflict (McKee, 2022). The ICRIR would also be responsible for granting amnesty from prosecution to individuals who meet certain conditions. In addition, all ongoing Troubles-related criminal investigations, criminal prosecutions, inquiries, civil claims, and police complaints will be subject to prohibitions or restrictions that may threaten British national security (JCHR, 2022). Unsurprisingly, leadership in the U.K. has struggled to gain support for the bill within Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. 

The majority of the criticisms center on the proposed conditional amnesty for individuals accused of committing crimes during the Troubles and restricting investigator capabilities. Other concerns have come from victims’ groups and political parties in Northern Ireland that are opposed to the bill altogether, arguing it will remove access to justice for victims and their families (McKee, 2022). The consensus opinion is that the British government has purposefully structured commissions that will allow them to avoid responsibility for the significant number of incidents in which British state actors perpetrated violence. For example, the U.K. established provisions within the bill that would prevent any findings that may risk prejudicing its national security interests (Neafsey, 2022). With regards to the Irish support behind the U.K. ICRIR bill, Simon Coveney, Ireland’s Minister for Foreign Affairs and Minister for Defense, shared his disappointment that the U.K. government should not have unilaterally introduced the legislation. Under the current circumstances, it appears that Coveney and the Irish government have serious concerns about the legitimacy of the commission and would not support it in its current form (Coveney, 2022). 

It can be concluded that the British government has forgotten pivotal pieces of effective truth commission processes: collaboration, evenhandedness, and authentic accountability. These features provide institutional legitimacy and without legitimacy in the eyes of the Northern Irish people, a truth commission cannot effectively promulgate its views about the past. Legitimate institutions are credible, and credible institutions have the potential to persuade people. To the extent that people can be persuaded to adopt a modernized view of past struggles, reconciliation itself becomes plausible within previously divided societies (Gibson, 2009). Thus, in order to address the disputed history of the Troubles and provide justice to the victims, policymakers must consider how previous efforts have failed and what can be done to rectify them.

Meaningful Intentions, Limited Actions and Results 

The Bloomfield Report 

In October 1997, the British Secretary of State for Northern Ireland appointed Sir Kenneth Bloomfield as the Victims’ Commissioner of Northern Ireland, and instructed him to draft a report on ways to recognize the pain and suffering felt by victims of the violence during the Troubles. Bloomfield was also told to find pragmatic options that would work towards achieving greater recognition for victims of the conflict (Bloomfield, 1998). After a mere six months of studying the consequences of nearly 30 years of conflict, Bloomfield published his report in April 1998, shortly after the Good Friday Agreement was signed. In certain regards, the Bloomfield Report represented a noble exercise to acknowledge and pay tribute to the innocent victims of the Troubles. The commission’s staff interviewed hundreds of victims and victims’ families, and the report made a hasty attempt at quantifying the scale of injuries and wider effects of violence. The Bloomfield Report also offered a number of broad recommendations, including providing financial and medical assistance services to victims, building a physical memorial, and creating a new “Memorial and Reconciliation” holiday (Connolly, 2006).

Despite the inclusive rhetoric used within the introductory and mission statements, the Bloomfield Report drew almost immediate criticism for unabashed biases displayed towards protecting the interests of the United Kingdom. For example, the report acknowledged that a large constituency of victims argued passionately for the establishment of a Northern Ireland equivalent of the South African TRC. However, Bloomfield immediately called into question the legitimacy of such an endeavor and made no explicit recommendations for a truth commission. In Bloomfield’s opinions, a truth commission would only be a preferable outcome if the British government were able to set the terms. He also warned certain nefarious individuals may seek to use truth as a weapon as well as a shield. Therefore, if any such commission were to have a place in the life of Northern Ireland, it could only be in the context of a wide-ranging political accord (Bloomfield, 1998). Without explicitly saying it, Bloomfield demonstrated notable inclination towards protecting British-aligned perpetrators and insinuated that there would likely be condemnation and calls for justice voiced from their victims should a platform be provided.

The other portion of the commission’s report that corroborated these criticisms came when Bloomfield tried to define those who qualified as victims and how this should be acknowledged in any further mechanisms. Within the 70-page report, Bloomfield reinforced notions of a hierarchy of victims that favored law enforcement officials and devoted only two paragraphs towards victims killed by state actors (Bloomfield, 1998). This was met by strong responses from both major political groups since it promoted the same ostracization that fueled the conflict in the first place. On one hand, the Bloomfield Report was dismissed by republicans for promulgating the idea that the undeserving victims were inevitably nationalists and republicans killed by the British security forces and their agents. Conversely, the issue of inclusivity was a far greater problem for unionists than it was for nationalists because of the distinction between innocent and non-innocent victims, which they described as those killed by terrorists and those who were not (Graham & Whelan, 2007).

Additionally, the commission made no recommendations as to how the chasm in accountability for state-sponsored violence should be addressed. Conversely, in keeping with the Victims’ Commissioner’s mandate to recognize those who died in the service of the community, Bloomfield explicitly affirmed the innocence of policemen, soldiers, employees of the prison service, and other state agents who died in the conflict (Connolly, 2006). Overall, the Bloomfield Report elicited mixed reviews amongst diverse audiences, but in the end very few of the observations and recommendations gained any substantial political traction. 

All Truth is Bitter Report

The second major attempt at truth and reconciliation to address the disputed history of the Troubles came from a 1999 visit to Northern Ireland by Alex Boraine, then Deputy Chair of the South African TRC (Hancock, 2012). His visit was sponsored by Victim Support of Northern Ireland and the Northern Ireland Association for the Care and Resettlement of Offenders, resulting in a report titled All Truth is Bitter, which was published in 2000 to provide lessons to Northern Ireland from South Africa’s TRC experience (Hancock, 2012). This report was followed up by the creation of the Healing Through Remembering (HTR) project in 2001, which is still operational in Belfast today. 

The HTR project was designed to work in five key areas: storytelling, truth recovery and acknowledgement, living memorial museum, day of reflection, and commemoration. In addition, five subgroups were also established within HTR to undertake work on the individual recommendations made in All Truth is Bitter with regards to their feasibility, viability and usefulness to the process of remembering the conflict (HTR, 2022). Since its inception, the HTR has been successful at providing an avenue for Northern Irish citizens to explore the history of the Troubles and share their thoughts on proper ways forwards to unify public consciousness. However, as mentioned by their Board of Directors in their submission to the Consultative Group of the Past in 2008, the reconciliation process is much larger than a single organization alone can offer. The HTR then went on to call for a unified effort from local leadership, the Northern Ireland Assembly, and British and Irish Governments, which must publicly endorse a shared narrative of the past and provide a conducive environment for this to happen (HTR Board of Directors, 2008). Unfortunately, as evidenced by the current status of politics in Northern Ireland, this has not yet become a reality. 

Eames-Bradley Report 

Another effort to address the history of the Troubles came in June 2007, when Peter Hain, then Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, announced the formation of an independent Consultative Group of the Past. The group was asked to carry out the following tasks: consult across communities on how Northern Irish society can best approach the legacy of the events during the conflict and the decade that followed; provide recommendations on steps that should be taken to support Northern Ireland’s society in building a shared future that is not overshadowed by the events of the past; and present a report that would be published by the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland (Eames & Bradley, 2009). The group was led by Robin Eames, retired Archbishop of the Church of Ireland, and Dennis Bradley, a former Catholic priest and a prominent public servant and journalist in Northern Ireland. The two men led a team of researchers for over a year before they published the Eames-Bradley Report in January 2009. 

Although their report compiled a plethora of information and made 31 recommendations regarding potential options for the British government and Northern Irish assembly to consider, this research paper will only focus on the most relevant conclusions. First and foremost, the report advocated for the establishment of an independent Legacy Commission to deal with the legacy of the past by combining processes of reconciliation, justice and information recovery. The commission would essentially promote peace and stability in Northern Ireland by addressing sectarianism and identifying a shared history that could be accepted by the majority of those affected. This would also be supplemented by a Reconciliation Forum, which would be established through the Legacy Commission and the Commission for Victims and Survivors for Northern Ireland (CVSNI). It would be responsible for liaising and tackling societal issues relating to the conflict. Finally, Eames and Bradley suggested that the suffering of families from Northern Ireland and Great Britain should be recognized through a monetary settlement. According to the report, they believed the nearest relative of someone who died as a result of the conflict in and about Northern Ireland, from January 1966, should receive a one-off, ex-gratia recognition payment of £12,000 (Eames & Bradley, 2009).

As with the Bloomfield Report in 1998, the Eames-Bradley Report received minimal support from the population of Northern Ireland and many of their recommendations had already been formally rejected by both the British and government of Northern Ireland in previous reconciliation efforts. The group’s most controversial proposal was for the £12,000 payment to the direct relatives of the approximate 3,600 people killed during the Troubles, which would have cost approximately £40 million in total, and it would be paid even if those killed had been involved in paramilitary shootings and bombings. The British and Northern Irish governments and victims’ groups were concerned about any form of payment being awarded to the relatives of paramilitaries killed during the Troubles. There were also concerns over the legitimacy of the Legacy Commission and Reconciliation Forum from nationalists and Sinn Féin (Moriarty, 2010). The overarching theme that became apparent during the 2000s and has returned amid talks of the ICRIR is that Northern Ireland’s nationalists do not believe there is any genuine way of establishing the truth for bereaved families if that effort is led by the British government. 

Ardoyne Commemoration Project

Despite the many failures and setbacks affiliated with establishing the truth from the Troubles in Northern Ireland, one distinct community-based mechanism found success. In July 1998, an ad hoc group of victims of the Troubles, their relatives, concerned individuals, and representatives from local community groups called a public meeting in Ardoyne. The district was particularly affected by the Troubles. During the conflict a total of 99 individuals from Ardoyne were killed and the district was subjected to harsh state counterinsurgency strategies such as political internment and blanket surveillance (Lundy & McGovern, 2006). From the outset, the ACP sought to discuss ways in which the community might contest what they perceived as the public exclusion of the community’s experiences from previously established narratives. Notably, Ardoyne was particularly concerned with the way in which a biased hierarchy of victims appeared to be emerging within British publications such as the Bloomfield Report and how the town would go about dealing with their past, as well as commemorating the victims (Lundy & McGovern, 2006). 

After several public meetings and passionate debate, it was ultimately decided that the proper method for the community to memorialize their experience would be through a book that enabled community members to tell their stories in their own words. During all stages of the project, the ACP made concerted efforts to seek the views, opinions, and active participation of the wider community. The ACP committee and its staff utilized their connections to the local media to connect with the community about the progress of the project, seek information, contact individuals, gather feedback, and encourage participation. In addition, the ACP also organized several community forums and public meetings, which were open to the general public, and all relatives of victims from Ardoyne received a personal letter of invitation. Over a four-year period the ACP collected and edited over 300 interviews, testimonies, and eyewitness accounts of the 99 conflict-related deaths in the Ardoyne community. Following years of hard work within the community, in August 2002, the 543-page book was published under the title of Ardoyne: The Untold Truth, which contained the testimonies and six historical chapters contextualizing the conflict (Lundy & McGovern, 2006). 

The significance of the commemoration project in Ardoyne is difficult to overstate. As mentioned previously, one aspect of the Troubles that has been a constant point of contention is who should be defined as a victim of the conflict. While crafting their book, the ACP tried their best to incorporate as many voices as possible and gave those who participated a platform to discuss the circumstances in which they were victimized by the conflict. This was particularly important since many of the testimonies in the book came from individuals who were ignored and silenced by their perpetrators. It also allowed relatives of victims to uncover lost details about their loved ones and provided the opportunity to correct previously misreported or intentionally distorted information about them contained in other publications (ACP, 2022). Perhaps one of the most significant legacies of the ACP came from the introductory statement, where the editors included an incredibly powerful statement that has been cited frequently over the years by those examining the need for truth within Northern Ireland:

“Many of these testimonies speak of the brutality of a system that treated ordinary people with utter contempt and colluded to ensure lack of disclosure, accountability and justice. Others recall, and have since learnt, personal details that were lost in the pandemonium and confusion that followed such traumatic events. These very vivid and personal accounts tell the ‘hidden’ story of powerlessness, marginalization and resistance. Over the years they have demonised and labelled Ardoyne a ‘terrorist community’, thus implying, in some distorted way, that the community got what it deserved. To add insult to injury, a growing number of books on ‘the Troubles’ have published details about victims’, often incorrectly and without consent, causing further distress to relatives.” 

Although the ACP proved to be efficient at the local level, there was still a body of experts within Northern Ireland that argued nationalist republican and loyalist narratives of the past are irreconcilable. They believe that these differences have been methodically shaped by diametrically opposed interpretations of past experiences and events, which have manifested as pivotal pieces of their current group identities (Graham & Whelan, 2007). Despite their cynicism, I argue that truth and justice for victims still remain vitally important pieces of sincere societal reconciliation. Through collective community organizing, the town of Ardoyne proved that the unspeakable losses and painful memories they experienced during the Troubles can still be illuminated even within a deeply divided political landscape. Their achievement provides hope that despite other historical failures, there are potential pragmatic options for prospective truth commissions or other truth recovery mechanisms within Northern Ireland. 

Oversights of the Past

Since the Troubles tentatively ended in 1998, there have been many attempts by different actors to help aid the population of Northern Ireland in addressing the longstanding divisions that have plagued since its inception. However, one commonly overlooked feature of many of these efforts is that the violence that occurred during the conflict did not affect every county the same. For example, within the six counties in Northern Ireland, Antrim saw the highest levels of conflict with hundreds of fatalities and numerous acts of violence. It should be noted that the vast majority of these casualties occurred in Belfast, the capital of Northern Ireland. Thus, most of Northern Ireland did not directly experience fatal violence, although the indirect effects in terms of political tension, fear, and knowledge of victims were more widespread. The spatial concentration of violence meant that some neighborhoods suffered the direct impacts of the conflict disproportionately (Gregory & Cunningham, 2013).

Although a considerable number of researchers have studied this phenomenon, many recommendations and truth recovery efforts do not sufficiently take into account the segregation of neighborhoods that persists within most of Northern Ireland’s society today. Most notably, approximately half of the country’s population continues to reside in segregated neighborhoods; the majority of people do not have a friendship network outside their religious community; and most children, nearly 95%, attend religiously segregated schools (White et al., 2018). Moreover, there are still over 100 peace walls remaining across Northern Ireland today (McGarry, 2022). The walls, which were constructed from brick and iron or steel that can stand up to 20 feet high and extend for miles through residential areas, were originally built as a temporary measure in the 1960s to separate republican and nationalist Catholic neighborhoods from loyalist and unionist Protestant areas. However, due to their effectiveness at quelling sectarian violence between groups, the walls never came down. A study conducted in 2021 found that they still extend for a total of 20 miles all across Northern Ireland, with most located in Belfast, and others in cities and towns including Derry, Portadown, and Lurgan. Moreover, there are now more peace walls across Northern Ireland than there were before the signing of the 1998 Good Friday Agreement (McQuillan, 2021). Although these peace walls may continue to serve a physical purpose, they also provide a recurring symbol of the ideological differences that motivated violence during the Troubles. Therefore, it is imperative for any prospective truth recovery mechanism to acknowledge the realities of the social and physical divisions that still exist within Northern Ireland today.

Contextualizing the aftermath of the Troubles has also been made more difficult because it was not simply a two-sided dispute between republicans and loyalists since British state actors were also active participants in the carnage (Gregory & Cunningham, 2013). As a result, the British government has gone to great lengths to protect itself from being held accountable. This has largely manifested in either the U.K. leading efforts to conduct truth commissions on its own terms or attempting to quash dissenting opinions from the narrative it has been pushed for the past two decades (Anderson, 2021). These actions, combined with the ongoing societal segregation, have led to many different narratives circulating about what conditions started the conflict, who is responsible for starting it, which individuals should be held accountable for the violence, and what accountability should look like. Division on these issues led to heightened feelings of bias by the various sides involved. 

Given their nation’s history of protracted violence dating back to the Anglo-Norman invasion in the 12th century, the population has become increasingly skeptical of outsiders (Tausch et al., 2010). Since a sizable portion of the country does not trust either the U.K. or the government of the Republic of Ireland, any recommendation that involves these governments conducting a joint truth commission lacks a fundamental understanding of the population of Northern Ireland (Fitzduff, 2017). 

Recommendation for Truth Commission in Northern Ireland: Belfast Truth Recovery Project (BTRP)

Purpose and Objectives

After an extensive review of the historical and current political landscape within Northern Ireland, it is clear that an official national truth and reconciliation commission is a non-starter. However, there have been multiple surveys conducted since the Troubles ended that showed bipartisan support for the notion that people generally want to know the truth about the conflict. Unfortunately, they do not wholly agree on how to get at it. Another aspect where respondents were generally more likely to agree were alternative approaches to dealing with the past that did not include the Northern Irish Assembly, British, or Irish governments (Lundy & McGovern, 2007). Although it would be more favorable to have an international organization or federal government backing, these options are not available, as the British government has signaled no interest in allowing the U.N. to conduct any investigations into the matter and the public doesn’t trust the three federal governments in question (Salvioli & Tidball-Binz, 2021). It is becoming increasingly apparent that in order to move towards reconciliation in Northern Ireland, the truth will have to come out or the issue will be a potential seed for further conflict (Gawn, 2007). 

Under these circumstances, this paper proposes that in order to provide victims and their families with access to the truth, a community led project similar to the Ardoyne Commemoration Project (ACP) will be the only hope for success. Although it is more than 30 years overdue, this endeavor could be called the Belfast Truth Recovery Project (BTRP). The reason for this name is that it shares a similar name to the agreement that brought the Troubles to an end and implies a drive for unity to be created throughout the nation as a result of this project. Some may criticize that unofficial truth projects may not have the powers to compel the provision of information, and they are unlikely to be as well resourced as state-funded activities. However, by mobilizing victims and survivors, documenting abuse, and issuing formal findings, these inquiries have the power to generate further public support and catalyze official action, leading to stronger official inquiries and other future measures (ICTJ, 2013). 

The purpose of this project is to provide a platform for past perpetrators to help answer questions about the nearly 1,200 remaining unresolved killings that the Northern Irish Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) has been investigating. A major reason that these killings have not been solved is that many of them have been attributed to paramilitaries and state security forces. The breakdown of these are as follows: 45.5% are attributed to republican paramilitaries; 23% are attributed to loyalist paramilitaries; 28.5% are attributed to the security forces; and for the remaining 3% of deaths, the background of those primarily responsible is unknown (Winters, 2018). Another challenge that other truth commission recommendations have not properly taken into account were the thousands of people who already served time for crimes committed during the Troubles. This has had major ramifications on public access to the truth, as some criminals were not charged for all their crimes, whereas others were charged with crimes they did not commit (Ferguson, 2013). 

The BTRP will draw on lessons learned from the TRC in South Africa, which was created by the Promotion of National Unity and Reconciliation Act to investigate, examine, and expose the violent human rights abuses under apartheid. The goal of the TRC was not criminal prosecution, but uncovering the truth from victims and perpetrators to prompt a healing conversation among all South Africans. The TRC had the following main objectives that the BTRP will follow as well: “to analyze the political, social, and cultural conditions and behaviors that contributed to the violent conflicts in both State and societal context; to contribute to the administration of justice, and clarify the crimes and violations to human rights committed by paramilitaries, terrorists, and the states involved; to determine the identification of the victims, as well corresponding responsibilities when possible; and to recommend necessary action for preventive measures to ensure no conflicts are repeated” (Georgetown Law, 2022). As with the TRC, the BTRP will focus primarily on providing a platform for victims and perpetrators alike to disclose the truth about their experiences during the Troubles without fear of retribution. The mandate for the BTRP will focus solely on crimes and abuses that occurred between 1968 and 1998.  

BTRP Leadership

The ingenuity behind this project is that it will be led by a coalition of non-governmental community and victims group leaders, scholars, and other distinguished individuals from within all six Northern Irish counties to provide each part of the nation with equal representation. Since the Good Friday Agreement was signed in 1998, there have been bipartisan calls for a truth recovery mechanism similar to this, so there should be no shortage of individuals interested in applying to be a part of the leadership team (Lundy & McGovern, 2007). However, the caveat is that each county will have two representatives and they must not come from the same political constituency. This group of 12 volunteers will serve as the project’s board of commissioners and will oversee the project through its duration and any replacements must go through a similar ad hoc election process.

In order to serve on the board of commissioners, there will be an application and interview process that will require a history of the individual serving their community and having excellent moral and professional character. The project will receive outside counsel from the former leaders of the Ardoyne Commemoration Project if they are willing to assist, as well as international human rights organizations that express interest in providing unbiased support in a limited fashion. The selection of the board of commissioners will be conducted by these groups as well. Further, throughout the duration of the project all aspects must be as transparent as possible and staff of the BTRP will be encouraged to avoid any behavior that may be seen as attempts to influence participants and the disclosure of their experiences. Through these efforts, this project will maintain a high level of independence, credibility, and effectiveness.

BTRP Format 

Similar to other unofficial truth commissions and the Ardoyne Commemoration Project, the BTRP will follow guidelines set forth by the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights. As mentioned previously, the focus of the BTRP is to provide a platform for all those who wish to provide statements about their experiences during the Troubles. For unofficial truth projects, this is often the most important characteristic for leaving behind a lasting legacy (Bickford, 2007). The following sections highlight the BTRP’s core activities.  

First, following the development and training of the board of commissioners, they will be tasked with fundraising and staffing. This will likely be carried out over the course of a six- to 12-month period, but will ultimately enable the project to reach a wide audience in the most professional manner possible. Fundraising efforts should target donations from international non-governmental organizations and benefactors seeking to provide an unbiased platform to all those affected by the Troubles. After sufficient funds have been raised and the staff has been trained, project members will go into communities throughout Northern Ireland and begin taking statements directly from victims, perpetrators, and witnesses. In order to gather as many stories as possible, the BTRP will employ a strategy similar to the ACP that utilizes local media to connect with the community about the progress of the project, seek information or contact individuals, gather feedback, and encourage participation. Statement-taking meetings will be done through one-on-one private sessions and individuals will have the option to either speak under the condition of complete anonymity or reveal their identity. These meetings may occur in temporary offices of the project or other private settings. Statement-taking will be designed to allow individuals to recount their experiences in a supportive environment (OHCHR, 2006).

Second, a significant portion of the project’s staff will be devoted to adding and maintaining statements within an electronic database, with statements separated by county. This is undoubtedly the largest task of the project, so the project will need to employ multiple systems managers and analysts. The project would also require teams of coders and data-entry technicians to process the statements, and would require a significant amount of the commission’s overall staff time to conduct the coding, entry, and analysis of this information (OHCHR, 2006). The outcome of this activity may allow the BTRP to help victims and their families uncover the truth about their experiences.

Finally, since the history of the Troubles is a contentious issue within Northern Ireland, the BTRP will avoid any large-scale public hearings or town halls, unless it is done to explain the project and its mandate. This project is intentionally trying to reach the community at an individual level and rebuild a more accurate understanding from a bottom-up approach. Furthermore, again drawing on past practice from the ACP, the BTRP will produce a series of final reports and recommendations through both electronic and hard copies. These documents will include all individual stories broken down by victim, perpetrator, and witness experiences, as well as by the county where they occurred. The BTRP will also create short summaries of the main takeaways within each county and the specific recommendations for rebuilding trust between the divided communities. This project will last for approximately for five to seven years and will provide quarterly updates to help garner communal interest and participation. Following the conclusion of the project, all publications will be made available through a series of books and electronic libraries to help enshrine the experiences of all those affected by the Troubles. Should there be enough funding, a public indoor museum could also be opened that memorializes these experiences and provides a space for internal reflection and reconciliation in dealing with personal grievances.

Conclusion

Since its inception, Northern Ireland has been a society permeated by societal tensions, political malpractice, and sustained outbreaks of violence motivated by ideological differences. Although this nation has had a variety of struggles dating back to the 12th century, the most recent conflict known as the Troubles demonstrates that these divisions, if left unaddressed, will trap the Northern Irish in an unending loop of violence. To make matters worse, there are still over 1,000 unsolved deaths and thousands of crimes committed during the Troubles that have not been investigated. This has led to widespread anger and confusion over the past. Since the Good Friday Agreement of 1998, concerted attempts to resolve the longstanding effects of the conflict have been made by numerous scholars, legal experts, non-governmental groups, and international organizations. However, nearly all these efforts have been met with limited success and public disinterest because they failed to understand the fundamental attitudes of the public and their skepticism to outsiders and government. Although there may be challenges associated with conducting an unofficial Northern Ireland truth recovery project, this appears to be the most pragmatic mechanism for uncovering authentic versions of the past. Therefore, the Northern Irish people should adopt the recommendations put forth in this paper and establish the Belfast Truth Recovery Project.

*********

Joseph Levin is a second-year master’s student at NYU pursuing a Global Affairs degree with a concentration in Transnational Security. His academic research focuses primarily on violent extremism and reconciliation efforts in post-conflict settings. Previously, Joseph worked as an Intelligence Analyst at MSA Security in New York City. In his current positions, Joseph works as a graduate assistant for both Dr. Mary Beth Altier and Edward Goldberg.


Works Cited

Ardoyne Commemoration Project (ACP), “Ardoyne: The Untold Truth,”  Aug. 1, 2022, at  https://cain.ulster.ac.uk/issues/victims/ardoyne/ardoyne02a.htm 

Janet Anderson, JusticeInfo.net, “The Bumpy Road of Truth-Seeking in Northern Ireland,” May 31, 2021,  at https://www.justiceinfo.net/en/77861-bumpy-road-truth-seeking-northern-ireland.html 

BBC News, “Bloody Sunday: Soldier F prosecution resumes in court,” Sep. 28, 2022, at  https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-63059506 

BBC News, “Stormont stalemate: Latest deadline for restoring devolution passes,” Jan. 20, 2023 at  https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-64339450 

Louis Bickford, Johns Hopkins University Press, “Unofficial Truth Projects,” Nov. 2007, at https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Louis-Bickford/publication/236705511_Unofficial_Truth_Projects/links/5d6d4a8e458515088608da85/Unofficial-Truth-Projects.pdf 

Sir Kenneth Bloomfield, Northern Ireland Victims Commission, “We Will Remember Them,” April 1998 at https://cain.ulster.ac.uk/issues/victims/docs/bloomfield98.pdf 

Rory Carroll, The Guardian, “Why is Northern Ireland facing another Stormont election?” Oct. 27, 2022, at https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/oct/27/dup-brexit-northern-ireland-facing-another-stormont-election 

Christopher Connolly, Cornell International Law Journal, “Living on the Past: The Role of Truth Commissions in Post-Conflict Societies and the Case Study of Northern Ireland,” 2006, Vol. 36(2) 402-433 at https://scholarship.law.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1673&context=cilj 

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), World 101, “Understanding Northern Ireland’s Troubles,” June 2013, at https://world101.cfr.org/how-world-works-and-sometimes-doesnt/conflict/understanding-northern-irelands-troubles 

Simon Coveney T.D., Republic of Ireland’s Department of Foreign Affairs, “Statement by the Minister for Foreign Affairs and Minister for Defence Simon Coveney T.D. on the publication of the UK Government’s Northern Ireland Troubles (Legacy and Reconciliation) Bill” May 18, 2022 at https://www.dfa.ie/news-and-media/press-releases/press-release-archive/2022/may/statement-by-the-minister-for-foreign-affairs-and-minister-for-defence-simon-coveney-td-.php 

Alan Cowell, New York Times, “50 Years Later, Troubles Still Cast ‘Huge Shadow’ Over Northern Ireland,” Oct. 4, 2018, at https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/04/world/europe/Northern-ireland-troubles.html 

Derry Daily, “Bloody Sunday: Mo Mowlam Wanted No Soldiers to Face Legal Action,” Dec. 29, 2022, at  https://www.derrydaily.net/2022/12/29/bloody-sunday-mo-mowlam-wanted-no-soldiers-to-face-legal-action/ 

Robin Eames & Dennis Bradley, Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, “Report of the Consultative Group on the Past,” Jan. 23, 2009, at https://cain.ulster.ac.uk/victims/docs/consultative_group/cgp_230109_report.pdf 

Neil Ferguson, Prisons, Terrorism and Extremism, “The impact of imprisonment on prisoners and the peace process in Northern Ireland,” 2013, at https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9780203584323-19/northern-irish-ex-prisoners-neil-ferguson 

Mari Fitzduff, The Role of Trust in Conflict Resolution, “Lessons Learned on Trust Building in Northern Ireland,” Feb. 24, 2017, at https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-43355-4_4 

Randy Gawn, Irish Political Studies, “Truth Cohabitation: A Truth Commission for Northern Ireland?” Sep. 2007, at https://doi.org/10.1080/07907180701527243 

Georgetown Law, South African Legal Research, “Truth and Reconciliation Commission,” Sep. 06, 2022, at https://guides.ll.georgetown.edu/c.php?g=365528&p=2469564 

James Gibson, Law and Contemporary Problems, “On Legitimacy Theory and the Effectiveness of Truth Commissions,” 2009, at https://scholarship.law.duke.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1522&context=lcp 

Brian Graham & Yvonne Whelan, Environment and Planning: Society and Space, “The legacies of the dead: commemorating the Troubles in Northern Ireland,” Mar. 27, 2007, at https://doi.org/10.1068/d70j 

Ian Gregory & Niall Cunningham, Economic & Social Research Council, “Troubled Geographies: A Spatial History of Religion and Society in Ireland,” 2013, at https://www.lancaster.ac.uk/troubledgeogs/chap10.htm 

Brandon Hamber, Fordham International Law Journal, “Rights and Reasons: Challenges for Truth Recovery in  South Africa and Northern Ireland,” 2002, at https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1893&context=ilj 

Landon Hancock, Ethnopolitics, “Transitional Justice and the Consultative Group: Facing the Past or Forcing the Future?” June 2012, at https://www-s3-live.kent.edu/s3fs-root/s3fs-public/file/Hancock2012-CGNI%20Published.pdf 

Katy Hayward & Ben Rosher, ARK UK, “Political Attitudes in Northern Ireland in a Period of Transition,” June 2021, at https://ark.ac.uk/ARK/sites/default/files/2021-06/update142.pdf 

Healing Through Remembering, “What We Do: Themes of Work,” 2022 at http://healingthroughremembering.org/what-we-do/ 

Healing Through Remembering Board of Directors, CGoP Archives, “Submission to Consultative Group on the Past,” Jan. 24  2008, at https://cain.ulster.ac.uk/victims/docs/group/htr/htr_eames_08.pdf 

ICTJ, Truth Seeking: Elements of Creating an Effective Truth Commission, “What are Truth Commissions?” Mar. 03, 2013, at https://www.ictj.org/sites/default/files/ICTJ-Book-Truth-Seeking-Chapter2-2013-English.pdf 

Joint Committee on Human Rights (JCHR), UK Parliament, “Northern Ireland Troubles (Legacy and Reconciliation) Bill – Report Summary,” Oct. 26, 2022 at https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/jt5803/jtselect/jtrights/311/summary.html 

Patricia Lundy & Mark McGovern, Action Research, “Community ‘Truth-Telling’ and Post-Conflict Transition in the North of Ireland,” Jan. 01, 2006, at https://pure.ulster.ac.uk/ws/files/11817840/Action_Research.pdf 

Patricia Lundy & Mark McGovern, Irish Political Studies, “Attitudes towards a Truth Commission for Northern Ireland in Relation to Party Political Affiliation,” Jan. 01, 2007, at https://pure.ulster.ac.uk/ws/files/11817865/Irish_Political_Studies.pdf 

Jayne McCormack, BBC News, “Stormont: What is it and why did power-sharing collapse in Northern Ireland?” Jan. 10, 2020, at https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-50822912 

Jayne McCormack, BBC News, “Bloody Sunday: What happened on Sunday 30 January 1972?” Jan. 27, 2022, at https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-foyle-west-47433319 

Jayne McCormack & Matt Fox, BBC News, “Good Friday Agreement: What is it?” Aug. 1, 2022, at https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-61968177 

Jayne McCormack & Matt Fox, BBC News, “Stormont stalemate: Heaton-Harris pushes back NI election Deadline,” Nov. 9, 2022, at https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-63562122 

Patsy McGarry, The Irish Times, “More than 100 peace wall barriers remain in Northern Ireland,” Jan. 5, 2022, athttps://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/more-than-100-peace-wall-barriers-remain-in-northern-ireland-1.4769360 

Ross McKee, BBC News, “NI Troubles: Amendments on controversial legacy bill revealed,” Nov. 25, 2022, at https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-63737325 

Charles McQuillan, The Week, “A history of the peace walls in Belfast,” Apr. 21, 2021, at  https://www.theweek.co.uk/northern-ireland/952591/a-history-of-the-peace-walls-in-belfast 

Gerry Moriarty, The Irish Times, “Negative reaction to Eames-Bradley Proposals,” Jul. 19, 2010, at  https://www.irishtimes.com/news/negative-reaction-to-eames-bradley-proposals-1.623593 

Ronnie Munck, Journal of Contemporary History, “The Making of the Troubles in Northern Ireland” April 1992, at https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Ronaldo-Munck/publication/339474175_The_Making_of_the_Troubles_in_Northern_Ireland/links/5e54fdbf299bf1bdb8396590/The-Making-of-the-Troubles-in-Northern-Ireland.pdf 

Cera Murtagh, Washington Post, “Northern Ireland is politically divided. Maybe that’s changing.” Jun. 14, 2022, at https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/06/14/northern-ireland-alliance-party-union-republican/ 

Ed Neafsey, The Irish Echo, “A Bill That Needs To Be Scrapped” Jul. 6, 2022 at https://www.irishecho.com/2022/7/a-bill-that-needs-to-be-scrapped

OHCHR, United Nations, “Rule-of-Law Tools For Post-Conflict States: Truth commissions,” 2006, at  https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/Documents/Publications/RuleoflawTruthCommissionsen.pdf 

Eamonn O’Kane, London School of Economics, “Justice or peace? (Not) Dealing with the past in Northern Ireland,” Jun. 3, 2017, at https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/justice-or-peace-not-dealing-with-the-past-in-northern-ireland/ 

Michael Posner, Forbes, “Why The U.K. Government Still Needs To Acknowledge Its Role In Northern Ireland’s ‘Troubles’,” Aug. 4, 2021, at https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelposner/2021/08/04/why-the-uk-government-still-needs-to-acknowledge-its-role-in-northern-irelands-troubles/?sh=2886a0c43956 

Fabián Salvioli & Morris Tidball-Binz, UN News, “UK plan thwarts access to truth over Northern Ireland ‘Troubles’,” Aug. 10, 2021, at https://news.un.org/en/story/2021/08/1097522 

Nicole Tausch et al., The British Psychological Society, “Individual-level and group-level mediators of contact effects in Northern Ireland: The moderating role of social identification” Dec. 24, 2010, at https://doi.org/10.1348/014466606X155150 

The Campaign for Social Justice in Northern Ireland, “Northern Ireland: The Plain Truth” Feb. 05, 1964, at https://cain.ulster.ac.uk/events/crights/pdfs/csj179.pdf 

Jennifer Todd, Taylor and Francis, “Symbolic complexity and political division: the changing role of religion in Northern Ireland,” March 2010, at https://researchrepository.ucd.ie/server/api/core/bitstreams/ee56bc7d-397a-4831-8859-ad15d9fdbb9e/content 

Jeff Wallenfeldt, Britannica, “Northern Ireland History: The Troubles,” May 14, 2019, at https://www.britannica.com/event/The-Troubles-Northern-Ireland-history 

Jude Webber, Financial Times, “The four routes to easing Northern Ireland’s political impasse,” Oct. 31, 2022, at https://www.ft.com/content/8abfe3f2-d07c-41d2-9077-dbc4c951f210 

Fiona White et al., European Journal of Social Psychology, “Improving intergroup relations between Catholics and Protestants in Northern Ireland via E-contact,” May 29, 2018, at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ejsp.2515 

Alan Whysall, The Constitutional Unit, “The Good Friday Agreement at 20: what went wrong?” April 10, 2018, at https://constitution-unit.com/2018/04/10/the-good-friday-agreement-at-20-what-went-wrong/ 

Rory Winters, The Detail, “New figures reveal scale of unsolved killings from the Troubles,” Apr. 09, 2018, at https://www.thedetail.tv/articles/new-figures-reveal-scale-of-unsolved-killings-from-the-troubles 

Filed Under: International Law and Human Rights, International Relations/Global Futures, Peacebuilding, Transnational Security, Uncategorized

The Effect of British Colonial Law and Rule on Gender Binaries and Sexual Freedoms

January 23, 2023 by lc4998 Leave a Comment

by Emily Peacock | @emilydpeacock

Many laws and policies worldwide discriminate against LGBTQ and gender non-conforming people and communities. This paper examines the history of those laws and policies, as well as the cultures they affect, both before and after their implementation, while linking them to a common denominator: British colonialism. (Photo credit: Ian Taylor on Unsplash)

On Sept. 6, 2018, homosexuality was legalized in India following the repeal of Section 377, a colonial-era law forbidding “consensual same-sex relations.” This landmark triumph for India’s LGBTQ+ community gave 1.3 billion Indians the freedom to love whom they please and express their sexualities without fearing prosecution. The newfound freedom catalyzed support for LGBTQ+ groups throughout the nation and legal reform internationally (Wong, 2021). 

Following this milestone repeal, in June 2019, the Supreme Court mandated that the Indian government end human rights violations and discrimination based on “perceived sexual orientation, gender identity, and expression.” The International Commission of Jurists (ICJ) then released a 152-page report on the conditions that the Indian LGBTQ+ community still endures to spread awareness of the barriers hindering the LGBTQ+ community and to incite broader action. The repressive policies that the ICJ report highlights include gendered rape laws, bathroom regulations for transgender individuals, and housing limitations, among others (Hawkes, n.d.). 

While these actions benefit the Indian LGBTQ+ community, inequalities and discrimination against LGBTQ+ individuals continue to persist in India and worldwide. Many of these barriers and discriminatory policies can be traced back to British colonial rule, which drove inequalities surrounding an enforced gender binary and heterosexual favoritism, not just in India but all throughout its empire.

Gender and Sexuality

Gender refers to the socially constructed characteristics, norms, and behaviors often attached to the sexes. Gender identity can differ from assigned sex at birth, and views of gender vary across cultures, changing over time while intersecting with sexuality, race, socioeconomic status, and other aspects of life (World Health Organization). Gender is significant in one’s perception of self, bodily comfort, and one’s self-expression. Sexuality, which is different from but related to gender, is also an integral aspect of one’s identity. Sexuality pertains to one’s sexual preferences, including heterosexual, homosexual, pansexual, and bisexual attractions, among others.

The gender binary, or the belief that there are only two genders, male and female, with social constructs depicting masculine and feminine identity (Dictionary.com, n.d.), can damage society, especially for women and those who are gender nonconforming. Social responsibilities and status, economic opportunity, domestic roles, acts of violence, and attire are all affected by gender norms. For example, globally, women are more likely to be in poverty, less likely to access basic education, more likely to be caretakers, and along with LGBTQ+ people, experience more gender-based violence (GBV) (“Understanding gender,” 2015). GBV is violence enacted based on the gender or identity of the victim and includes, but is not limited to, sexual, physical, and psychological abuse (Jensen, 2019). Transgender people, especially trans women of color, are also subjected to some of the highest levels of hate crimes globally (“Hate crimes – HRC,” n.d.). And suppose cis-men do not assume the responsibilities associated with masculinity or are perceived as emotional and feminine; they may become subject to ridicule and harassment by their peers as well.

Women are also traditionally left out of decision-making positions. As of September 2022, there were only 13 countries that had a woman head of state, 15 countries that had a woman head of government, only 21 percent of government ministers were women, and 26 percent of national parliamentarians were women (“Facts and figures: Women’s leadership and political participation,” n.d.). This disparity means that systems and institutions that affect everyone, regardless of gender or sexuality, are controlled mainly by men, leaving women and the LGBTQ+ community vulnerable to policies and regulations that do not have their well-being, safety, or opportunities in mind.

These gender disparities and sexual biases are highly connected to and exacerbated by British colonial law and its imposition of Christianity. This is because Christianity centers its moral ideals around the gender binary and a gendered power imbalance: men are the leaders and decision-makers, while women are subservient caregivers (A & Burke, n.d.).

British Colonial Rule and Law

Colonialism is the practice of powerful nations settling in another state while controlling that state’s less powerful government (HarperCollins Publishers Ltd, n.d.). For over 300 years, the British empire encompassed large regions in the Americas, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and Africa, and at its peak in 1922, ruled over 485 million people, making it the largest colonial empire ever to exist (“British Empire Facts!,” 2021). British colonists exploited their controlled states and enforced British cultural values upon various civilizations. The British government validated its reform in these areas by claiming they were saving “savage” and uncivilized nations (Blakemore, 2021). 

To the colonizers, “barbarian” nations were considered states that did not follow the British or Western European way of life, such as practicing Christianity and abiding by British legal standards (Blakemore, 2021), which were primarily aimed at maintaining social order and control. Previous indigenous laws, rights, and norms in colonized states were deemed “unhelpful to maintaining Christian ideals” and disbanded by the British regime (Shomade, 2022). British colonial rule, and colonization in general, often meant imposing taxes, forcing religious conversions, creating ethnic rivalries, denying human rights of indigenous populations, mass murders, slavery, degrading the environment by exploiting natural resources, and criminalizing cultural identities (Corissajoy, 2016). 

With British colonial rule heavily connected to Christianity, gender roles and norms were highly influenced by Christian ideals. Foundational Christian ideology asserts that men and women were created differently, with women expected to be the ‘helper’ to men. Women were, and in many places still are, confined to childbearing, caretaking, and other domestic duties, while men were the financial providers and decision-makers (A & Burke, n.d.). Sodomy and homosexual relations were also seen as evil and unnatural, and laws such as Section 377 in India were passed across most British colonies. These themes and practices are reflected in the aforementioned gendered responsibilities and persist in attitudes and laws despite shifts in religious values and governance regimes. Today, a Human Rights Watch report shows that “more than half of the world’s remaining ‘sodomy’ laws — criminalizing consensual homosexual conduct — are relics of British colonial rule” (“‘Sodomoy’ laws show survival of colonial injustice,” 2020). 

To properly evaluate the effects of British colonial rule on gender and sexual freedom, three former colonies, each with distinct cultural, religious, economic, geographic, and demographic characteristics are analyzed.

India

The British Raj, or the power of the British Crown that ruled present-day India and Pakistan, lasted from 1858 to 1947 (Boundless, n.d.). During this time, the British outlawed customs of gender and sexuality that had long been accepted throughout India. Section 377, which the British passed as part of the Indian Penal Code in 1860, criminalized sodomy. The British also outlawed “eunuchs,” India’s transgender people, also known as hijras, calling them a “criminal tribe” (“‘Sodomoy’ laws show survival of colonial injustice,” 2020). 

Hijras were once thought to bless fertility and would live with husbands and adopted children (Biswas, 2019), but under British rule, if a hijra was spotted in public, they could face up to two years in jail. Hijras were also often associated with sodomy, a fact that further aggravated their prosecution rates (“‘Sodomoy’ laws show survival of colonial injustice,” 2020). 

Moreover, British rulers considered hijras “ungovernable,” painting them in connection to “filth, disease, contagion, and contamination,” creating stigmas amongst Indian communities and subjecting hijras to violence and harassment. They were no longer allowed to present themselves as they pleased, usually in feminine clothing, nor could they grow their hair. If they did not submit to these rules, police forces would publicly strip them and cut their hair, subjecting them to humiliation and degradation. Men who dressed as women to perform in theaters or took on feminine gender roles were also policed by the British in an effort to stamp out any gender nonconforming people (Biswas, 2019).

Since the end of colonial rule in India, the nation has made landmark strides in undoing its biased laws and social norms. Along with the abandonment of Section 377 in 2014, the Indian Supreme Court also formally recognized a third gender, which includes eunuchs and hijras (Biswas, 2019). These exciting changes in India inspire nations worldwide to follow suit, including Singapore and Kenya. And though not all attempts at legal reform in these states have been successful, the drive for change still remains, and many are discovering newfound hope (Wong, 2021).

Nigeria

The British colonized the area of Nigeria in 1884, combining two separate states into what is today Nigeria, which gained its independence in 1960 (dai.441, n.d.). Before British colonization, there was a “completely different attitude towards sexual and gender identities. Many African countries did not see gender as a binary in the way that their European colonizers did, nor did they correlate anatomy to gender identity.” LGBTQ+ people were not prosecuted anywhere in Africa before colonization (Buckle, 2021). Instead, people were allowed to present as they felt comfortable, take on whatever roles and responsibilities they saw fit, and love and sleep with whomever they pleased.

While decades have passed since Nigeria became a free state, the influence of Christianity imposed by British rule is still felt today. In May 2013, the Nigerian House of Representatives passed a bill banning same-sex marriage and criminalizing same-sex relations. Entering into a same-sex marriage risks up to 14 years in prison, and same-sex intimate relations are punishable with up to a 10-year sentence. Chapter 42, Section 214 of the law states the sentence is “imprisonment for carnal knowledge against the order of nature.” The bill infringes on the human rights of all Nigerians (Kmills, 2013). 

Various organizations, such as Outright International, advocate for progressive action and change in Nigeria to liberate its LGBTQ+ population, including implementing programs that center on ending conversion therapy with The Initiative for Equal Rights (TIERS). However, there is still much to be done. The push of Western influence worsens conditions for those adversely affected by these laws, and even acts of affection of the same sex remain reasonable grounds for arrest throughout the state (Kmills, 2013). What was once a place with sexual and gender freedom has become one of the most hostile to the LGBTQ+ community.

The United States

The United States earned its independence from Britain in 1783 with the Treaty of Paris after more than 150 years of British rule (“Explore by timeline: Colonial America and the revolution,” 2017). Before colonization, Native American tribes were far less rigid with the gender binary and issues of sexuality. Some tribes, such as the ​​Lakota, Mohave, Crow, and Cheyenne (“Two-spirit: Health Resources,” n.d.), even celebrated those who encompassed both masculine and feminine energies, otherwise known as two-spirit. The two-spirit people were cherished as spiritual leaders, healers, matchmakers, and counselors. Many also identified as LGBTQ+ and enjoyed sexual freedom. Other native gender and sexual norms included tolerance of the Berdache, or men who married men, and the Passing Women, who were people born female but who took on masculine gender roles (Flores, n.d.). After colonization, though, the two-spirit community was quickly demonized and persecuted or forced to assimilate into British culture (“Two-spirit,” n.d.).

In Hawai’i, a third gender, Mahu, also thrived in Kanaka culture and was seen as the middle of man and woman. Holding a very similar place in society as the two-spirit people, they were healers and teachers of tradition. Bisexuality, known as aikane, was common in Kanaka culture. And like the two-spirit, the Mahu, aikane, and most other Kanaka were murdered or driven from their homes (Driver, 2022). Today, only 6% of Hawaiians are Kanaka (Driver, 2022).

The United States has a long history of anti-LGBTQ+ rhetoric and practices, with same-sex marriage not becoming legal until 2015, following the Supreme Court case of Obergefell v. Hodges (“The journey to marriage equality in the United States – HRC,” n.d.). Today, new laws threaten women and the LGBTQ+ community. “Don’t say gay” laws in Florida and Texas limit dialogue on queer topics in schools (Phillips, 2022), and Roe v. Wade was overturned, limiting women’s reproductive rights and abortion access (Totenberg et al, 2022). Additionally, only one state has overturned a legal doctrine that reduces sentences for the murder of wives by their husbands to manslaughter if she has committed adultery (Bangs et al, 2021). “Christian nationalist legislation” is being blamed throughout the U.S. for these discriminatory regulations (Guardian News and Media, 2021).

Conclusion: The Lasting Effects of Colonial Law and Christianity

Today, the undoing of British colonial rule is slowly coming to light amongst the former colonies, as seen with the repeal of Section 377 in India. However, the effects still have a firm grasp on post-colonial cultures and states worldwide. 

The administration of Christianity in colonized states, which enforces the gender binary and persecutes homosexuality, has both created and exacerbated environments of inequality, bias, and violence against women, gender nonconforming, and queer individuals around the world. People are still being imprisoned for their identities and relationships. And, for states that did not prosecute LGBTQ+ individuals before British colonial rule, independence has not completely reversed colonization’s effect on gender identities and sexual freedoms. 

Overall, there is still a plethora of work to be done to decolonize perceptions of gender and sexuality, as well as overturn discriminatory laws and implement policies that protect the LGBTQ+ community. The world should echo the sentiments of the former prime minister of India, Lal Bahadur Shastri, who said, “We would consider it our moral duty to lend all support to ending colonialism and imperialism so that people everywhere are free to mold their own destiny.”

*********

Emily Peacock is a second-year M.S. student at NYU studying global affairs and global gender studies. Previously, Emily was the news editor at New York Tech’s Manhattan Globe, where she graduated with her B.F.A. in global and electronic journalism with a minor in culture and literature. Currently, Emily works as a graduate assistant to Dr. Sylvia Maier; is a co-president of the CGA’s gender working group; is a Dean’s Scholar; and works as an executive assistant to the president of the Desai Foundation, an NGO dedicated to aiding women and children in India and the United States.


Works Cited

E., & Burk, D. (n.d.). The roles of men and women. The Gospel Coalition. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.thegospelcoalition.org/essay/the-roles-of-men-and-women/.

Bangs, — M., BangsContributor, M., Bangs, M., Contributor, Allouche, — B. S., Chávez, — B. K. R., Jiyad, — B. S., Greenhouse, — B. S., Mundy, — B. J., & — By Jacob Mundy and Naira Antoun. (2021, July 8). From Kuwait to America, gender-based killings considered less than murder. The Century Foundation. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://tcf.org/content/report/kuwait-america-gender-based-killings-considered-less-murder/.

Biswas, S. (2019, May 31). How Britain tried to ‘erase’ India’s third gender. BBC News. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-48442934.

Blakemore, E. (2021, May 3). Colonialism facts and information. Culture. Retrieved May 8, 2022, from https://www.nationalgeographic.com/culture/article/colonialism.

Boundless. (n.d.). Boundless World history. Lumen. Retrieved May 8, 2022, from https://courses.lumenlearning.com/boundless-worldhistory/chapter/british-india/.

British Empire Facts! National Geographic Kids. (2021, August 27). Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.natgeokids.com/uk/discover/history/general-history/british-empire-facts/#:~:text=The%20British%20Empire%20is%20a,Central%20and%20South%20America%2C%20too.

Buckle, B. L. (2021, November 1). African sexuality and the legacy of imported homophobia. Stonewall. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.stonewall.org.uk/about-us/news/african-sexuality-and-legacy-imported-homophobia.

Corissajoy. (2016, July 5). Effects of colonization. Beyond Intractability. Retrieved May 8, 2022, from https://www.beyondintractability.org/essay/post-colonial. 

dai.441. (n.d.). History of the British takeover of Nigeria. Comparative Studies 1100 Introduction to the Humanities Spring 2020. Retrieved May 8, 2022, from https://u.osu.edu/introhumanitiesonline/2020/02/04/history-of-the-british-takeover-of-nigeria/.  

​​Dictionary.com. (n.d.). Gender binary. Dictionary.com. Retrieved January 10, 2023, from https://www.dictionary.com/browse/gender-binary. 

Driver, I. (2022, January 17). Hawaiians have always had a ‘third gender.’ here’s what Mahu’s wished you knew. Very Good Light. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.verygoodlight.com/2020/07/15/what-is-a-mahu/. 

Explore by timeline: Colonial America and the revolution (1565-1783). GSA. (2017, August 13). Retrieved May 8, 2022, from https://www.gsa.gov/real-estate/historic-preservation/explore-historic-buildings/explore-by-timeline/explore-by-timeline-colonial-america-and-the-revolution-15651783. 

Facts and figures: Women’s leadership and political participation. UN Women – Headquarters. (n.d.). Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.unwomen.org/en/what-we-do/leadership-and-political-participation/facts-and-figures.  

Flores, A. (n.d.). Two spirit and LGBTQ idenitites: Today and centuries ago – HRC. Human RightsCampaign. Retrieved May 2, 2022, from https://www.hrc.org/news/two-spirit-and-lgbtq-idenitites-today-and-centuries-ago. 

Guardian News and Media. (2021, January 15). US set for flurry of ‘christian nationalist’ bills advanced by religious right. The Guardian. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/15/christian-nationalist-religious-right-legislation-bills. 

HarperCollins Publishers Ltd. (n.d.). Colonialism definition and meaning: Collins english dictionary. Colonialism definition and meaning | Collins English Dictionary. Retrieved May 8, 2022, from https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/colonialism. 

Hate crimes – HRC. Human Rights Campaign. (n.d.). Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.hrc.org/resources/hate-crimes?utm_source=GS&utm_medium=AD&utm_campaign=BPI-HRC-Grant&utm_content=454864016100&utm_term=violence+against+trans+people&gclid=EAIaIQobChMI1dO_pMbT9wIVFrjICh00HwayEAAYASAAEgJ2F_D_BwE.  

Hawkes, R. (n.d.). LGBT video service GagaOOLala launches in India. Rapid TV News Main News. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.rapidtvnews.com/2019061756373/lgbt-video-service-gagaoolala-launches-in-india.html#axzz7SoLNfeiH. 

Jensen, M. A. (2019, February 1). Gender-based violence in refugee camps: Understanding and addressing the role of gender in the experiences of refugees. Inquiries Journal. Retrieved May 1, 2022, from http://www.inquiriesjournal.com/articles/1757/gender-based-violence-in-refugee-camps-understanding-and-addressing-the-role-of-gender-in-the-experiences-of-refugees#:~:text=In%20a%20refugee%20setting%2C%20there,1.6.  

Kmills. (2013, September 4). The Flames of Homophobia Burn in Nigeria. OutRight Action International. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://outrightinternational.org/content/flames-homophobia-burn-nigeria.  

Phillips, A. (2022, June 2). Analysis | Florida’s law limiting LGBTQ discussion in schools, explained. The Washington Post. Retrieved January 11, 2023, from https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/04/01/what-is-florida-dont-say-gay-bill/. 

Shomade, S. A. (2022, March 17). Perspective | colonial legacies endure in Africa’s legal systems – undermining rule of law. The Washington Post. Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2022/03/18/colonial-legacies-endure-africas-legal-systems-undermining-rule-law. 

‘sodomy’ laws show survival of colonial injustice. Human Rights Watch. (2020, October 28). Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://www.hrw.org/news/2008/12/17/sodomy-laws-show-survival-colonial-injustice#. 

The journey to marriage equality in the United States – HRC. Human Rights Campaign. (n.d.). Retrieved January 11, 2023, from https://www.hrc.org/our-work/stories/the-journey-to-marriage-equality-in-the-united-states. 

Totenberg, N., & McCammon, S. (2022, June 24). Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending right to abortion upheld for decades. NPR. Retrieved January 11, 2023, from https://www.npr.org/2022/06/24/1102305878/supreme-court-abortion-roe-v-wade-decision-overturn.  

Two-spirit: Health Resources. Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Transgender Health. (n.d.). Retrieved May 10, 2022, from https://www.ihs.gov/lgbt/health/twospirit/#:~:text=Two%2Dspirit%20people%20typically%20formed,bestow%20this%20luck%20on%20others.

Two-spirit. Provincial Health Services Authority. (n.d.). Retrieved May 9, 2022, from http://www.phsa.ca/transcarebc/gender-basics-education/terms-concepts/two-spirit 

Understanding gender. GSDRC. (2015, September 7). Retrieved May 9, 2022, from https://gsdrc.org/topic-guides/gender/understanding-gender/. 

Wong, T. (2021, June 28). 377: The british colonial law that left an anti-LGBTQ legacy in Asia. BBC News. Retrieved January 11, 2023, from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-57606847.  

World Health Organization. (n.d.). Gender and health. World Health Organization. Retrieved May 8, 2022, from https://www.who.int/health-topics/gender#tab=tab_1.  

Filed Under: Uncategorized

  • Page 1
  • Page 2
  • Page 3
  • Go to Next Page »

Primary Sidebar

Follow Us

Topics

Tags

2017 2019 CGA China Clayton Cheney Climate Change Corruption COVID-19 Cyber security Cyberwarfare DeLaine Mayer Democracy Development Dillan Jacobson Education Energy Environment Eric Seng EU Europe European Union Featured Gender Gender Equality global affairs Global Economy Human Rights Immigration International Development International Law International Relations Politics Refugees Security Social Media South Africa Syria Terrorism Transnational Security Trump United Nations United States Women Women's Empowerment Youth

Follow Us

Meta

  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org

Footer

Copyright © 2025 · News Pro on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in