Olivia Henriques’ Case Study on the 2025 Central Texas Flash Floods

Floods in Texas sweep up debris.

On July 4, 2025, exceptional rainfall caused the Guadalupe River in Texas Hill Country to rise dramatically. Waters rose 26 feet in just 45 minutes, cresting at a record 37 feet and resulting in one of the deadliest and fastest-moving flash floods in the history of the United States.

Henriques contextualizes the lack of preparation and long-term response to the events at Camp Mystic, where 27 people died to flood waters. The author also shows county-by-county differences in casualties, which they attribute to a variety of emergency preparation investments. Henriques notes the lack of substantiative data at the time of publication.