For the shared forecast, I want to choose the two weak signal of vegan cosmetics and infrared light hair dryer I wrote in class and the electrical vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The vegan cosmetics changes the composition of cosmetics and people’s perception of vegan. The driving forces include the goal of protecting the environment and generating revenue by selling this kind of products to attract customers. The infrared light hair dryer increases the efficiency of drying the hair and gets the hair smoother while saving up to 31 per cent less energy compared to conventional hairdryers. The driving force includes people’s higher needs of protecting their hair. For the new one I found, it actually means that the Supernal S-A2, described as an electrical vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, has been unveiled at CES 2024 in Las Vegas, which may lead to future new way of transportation by plane.
The new scenario built based on the three described above is under the background that all the natural resources of traditional energy has been used by people and new generation can not make use of traditional energies like oil, coal and other kind of things to generate what they need in their daily life. However, people still need to fly to different countries and then the new electrical aircraft which can get the energy from sunshine and many other dimensions, has been on trend and adopted by many airline companies while the traditional ones consume too much oil. Meanwhile, the traditional hair dryer is really energy inefficient under the new environment, which lead to the popularity of infrared light hair dryer which can saves energy generated much harder than before. When the conditions in the global environment is so severe, people tend to pursue a sustainable future in many industries to avoid more future problems and loss of resources. The vegan cosmetics become a hot topic during that time for its special ingredients like plant-based oil, minerals and plant waxes, which are more common and easier to access for people in that generation. While the vegan ones perform as good as traditional cosmetics, people are trying to substitute their old cosmetics with vegan ones.