This page is almost never updated. For a concise and up to date list of my publications, please my CV.  Please note that information about my previously published book, Regional Economic Voting, can be found here.

BOOKS

 

Persily, Nathaniel, and Joshua A. Tucker. 2020. Social Media and Democracy: The State of the Field and Prospects for Reform. Cambridge University Press.

For Purchase

Open Access Electronic Version

 

PEER REVIEWED JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS

Forthcoming. “After the Party: Legacies and Left-Right Ideology in Post-Communist Countries”, with Girgore Pop-Eleches, Comparative Political Studies.

Forthcoming. “Don’t Republicans Tweet Too? Using Twitter to Assess the Consequences of Political Endorsements by Celebrities”, with Zilinsky, Jan, Cristian Vaccari, and Jonathan Nagler, Perspectives on Politics.

Forthcoming. “Staring at the West through Kremlin-Tinted Glasses: Russian Mass and Elite Divergence in Attitudes towards the US, EU, and Ukraine Before and After Crimea”, with Noah Buckley. Post-Soviet Affairs.  (Online Appendix)

Forthcoming. “Elites Tweet to Get the Feet off the Streets: Measuring Regime Response to Protest Using Social Media”, with Kevin Munger, Richard Bonneau, and Jonathan Nagler, Political Science Research and Methods.

Forthcoming. “How Accurate Are Survey Responses on Social Media and Politics?” with Andrew Guess, Kevin Munger and Jonathan Nagler. Political Communication.

2019. “Who Leads? Who Follows? Measuring Issue Attention and Agenda Setting by Legislators and the Mass Public Using Social Media Data”, with Pablo Barberá, Andreu Casas, Jonathan Nagler, Patrick Egan, Richard Bonneau, and John T. Jost. American Political Science Review.

2019. “Social Networks and Protest Participation: Evidence from 130 Million Twitter Users”, with Jennifer Larson, Jonathan Nagler, and Jonathan Ronen, American Journal of Political Science. 63(3): 690-705.

2019. “How Many People Live in Political Bubbles on Social Media? Evidence From Linked Survey and Twitter Data”, with Gregory Eady, Jonathan Nagler, Andy Guess and Jan Zilinsky. Sage Open.

2019. “For Whom the Bot Tolls: A Neural Networks Approach to Measuring Political Orientation of Twitter Bots in Russia”, with Denis Stukal, Sergey Sanovich, and Richard Bonneau, Sage Open.

2019. “Less than you think: Prevalence and predictors of fake news dissemination on Facebook”, with Andrew Guess and Jonathan Nagler, Science Advances. 5(1):1-8.

2019. “We Never Change, Do We? Economic Anxiety and Far‐Right Identification in a Postcrisis Europe”, with Sean Kates. Social Science Quarterly. 100 (2): 494-523.

2018. “Unreflective Partisans? Policy Information and Evaluation in the Development of Partisanship”, with Ted Brader. Advances in Political Psychology. 39(S1): 137-157. 

2018. “Turning the Virtual Tables: Government Strategies for Addressing Online Opposition with an Application to Russia.” with Sergey Sanovich and Denis Stukal. Comparative Politics.

2018. “Political Corruption Traps”, with Marko Klašnja and Andrew Little, Political Science Research and Methods. 6(3) 413-428.2018.

2018. “How Social Media Facilitates Political Protest: Information, Motivation, and Social Networks”, with John T. Jost, Pablo Barberá, Richard Bonneau, Melanie Langer, Megan Metzger, Jonathan Nagler, and Joanna Sterling. Advances in Political Psychology. 39(S1): 85-118.

2018. “ The Islamic State’s Information Warfare: Measuring the Success of ISIS’ Online Strategy”, with Alexandra Siegel. Journal of Language and Politics. 17(2): 258-280

2018. “Liberal and Conservative Values: What We Can Learn from Congressional Tweets“, with Kevin Jones, Sharareh Noorbaloochi, John T. Jost, Richard Bonneau, and Jonathan Nagler, Political Psychology. 39(2): 423-443.

2017. “Detecting Bots on Russian Political Twitter”, with Denis Stukal, Sergey Sanovich, and Richard Bonneau. Big Data. (Special Issue on Computational Propaganda)

2017. “From Liberation to Turmoil: Social Media and Democracy,” with Pablo Barberá, Margaret Roberts, and Yannis Theocharis, The Journal of Democracy. 28(4): 46-59.

2017. “Moral Contagion: How Emotion Shapes Diffusion of Moral Content in Social Networks,” with William Brady, Julian Willis, John T. Jost, and Jay Van Bavel, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 114(28): 7313-7318.

2017. “Digital Media and EuroMaidan: A Review Essay,” with Megan Metzger, Slavic Review 76(1): 169-91.

2016. “Crowded Space, Fertile Ground: A Model of Party Entry with Macro- and Micro-Level Evidence” with Dan Kselman and Eleanor Powell, Political Science Research and Methods. 

2016. “Tweeting Identity? Ukrainian, Russian and #EuroMaidan”, with Megan Metzger, Jonathan Nagler, and Richard Bonneau. Journal of Comparative Economics. 44(1): 16-40.

2016. “Pocketbook vs. Sociotropic Corruption Voting,” with Marko Klašnja and Kevin Deegan-Krause, British Journal of Political Science. 46(1): 67-94.

2015, “The Critical Periphery in the Growth of Social Protests”, with Pablo Barberá, Ning Wang, Richard Bonneau, John T. Jost, Jonathan Nagler and Sandra Gonzalez-Bailon, PLOS One.

2015. “Tweeting from Left to Right: Is Online Political Communication More Than an Echo Chamber?” with Pablo Barberá, John Jost, and Jonathan Nagler, and Richard Bonneau, Psychological Science. 26(10): 1531-1542.

2015. “Elections, Protest, and Alternation of Power,” with Andrew Little and Tom LaGatta, The Journal of Politics. 77(4): 1142-1156.

2015, “Political Expression and Action on Social Media: Exploring the Relationship between Lower- and Higher-Threshold Political Activities among Twitter Users in Italy,” with Cristian Vaccari, Augusto Valeriani, Pablo Barberá, Richard Bonneau, John T. Jost, and Jonathan Nagler, Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication. 20 (2): 221–239.

2015. “Comparative Opportunities: The Evolving Study of Political Behavior of in Eastern Europe,” East European Politics and Society. 29: 420–432. 

2014. “Revisiting Electoral Volatility in Post-Communist Countries: New Data, New Results, and New Approaches,” with Eleanor Powell, British Journal of Political Science. 44(1): 123-147. (Replication Data, Codebook, and Addendum)

2014. “Cross Pressure Scores: A New Measure for an Old Concept,” with Ted Brader and Andrew Therriault, Political Behavior. 36(1):23-51.

2014. “Communist Socialization and Post-Communist Economic and Political Attitudes,”with Grigore Pop-Eleches, Electoral Studies. 33: 77-89.

2013. “Which Parties Can Lead Opinion? Experimental Evidence on Partisan Cue Taking in Multiparty Democracies,” with Ted Brader and Dominik Duell. Comparative Political Studies. 46: 1485-1517.

2013. “People Power or a One Shot Deal: A Dynamic Model of Protest,” with Adam Meirowitz, American Journal of Political Science, 57(2): 478-490.

2013. “The Economy, Corruption, and the Vote: Evidence from Experiments in Sweden and Moldova”, with Marko Klašnja, Electoral Studies. 32(3): 536-43.

2013. “Social Media and Political Communication: A survey of Twitter users during the 2013 Italian general election,” with Cristian Vaccari, Augusto Valeriani, Pablo Barberá, Richard Bonneau, John T. Jost, and Jonathan Nagler. Italian Political Science Review. XLIII(3): 381-410.

2013. “Associated with the Past? Communist Legacies and Civic Participation in Post-Communist Countries,” with Grigore Pop-Eleches, East European Politics and Society. 27(1): 45-68

2012. “Looking to the Future: Prospective Economic Voting in the 2008 Presidential Elections,” with Kristin Michelitch, Marco Morales, and Andrew Owen, Electoral Studies. 31: 838-851.

2012. “Follow the Leader: Party Cues, Policy Opinion, and the Power of Partisanship in Three Multiparty Systems,” with Ted Brader, Comparative Politics. 44(4): 403-420.

2012. “Post-Communist Legacies and Political Behavior and Attitudes,” with Grigore Pop-Eleches. Demokratizatsiya: The Journal of Post-Soviet Democratization. 20(2): 157-66.

2011. “Communism’s Shadow: Postcommunist Legacies, Values, and Behavior,” with Grigore Pop-Eleches, Comparative Politics, 43 (4): 379-408.

2011. “Odmiany zinstytucjonalizowanego populizmu i eurosceptyzmu w Polsce: o sukcesie Samoobrony i Ligi Polskich Rodzin w pierwszej dekadzie XXI wieku,” with Radoslaw Markowski. Studia Polityczne, 28: 30-59.  [Note: Although there are some differences, this is essentially a Polish language version of Markowski and Tucker 2010.]

2010. “Euroskepticism and the Emergence of Political Parties in Poland,” with Radoslaw Markowski, Party Politics, 16(4): 532-548.

2010. “The Dynamics of Dissent: The Winners-Losers Gap in Attitudes Towards EU Membership in Post-Communist Countries,” with Alexander Herzog, European Political Science Review, 2(2): 235-267.

2010. “Past is Still Present: Micro-level Comparisons of Conventional vs. Transitional Economic Voting in Three Polish Elections,” with Andrew Owen, Electoral Studies, 29(1): 25-39.

2009. “Disenchanted or Discerning? Voter Turnout in Post-Communist Countries,” with Alexander Pacek and Grigore Pop-Eleches, The Journal of Politics, 71(2): 473-491.

2009. “What’s Left Behind When the Party’s Over: Survey Experiments on the Effects of Partisan Cues in Putin’s Russia,” with Ted Brader, Politics and Policy 37(4): 843-868.

2008. “Pathways to Partisanship: Evidence from Russia,” with Ted Brader, Post-Soviet Affairs, 24(3):263-300.

2007. “Enough! Electoral Fraud, Collective Action Problems, and Post-Communist Colored Revolutions,” Perspectives on Politics, 5(3): 537-553.

2007. “Run Boris Run: Strategic Voting and Information Transmission in Sequential Elections,” with Adam Meirowitz, The Journal of Politics, 69(1): 88-99.

2006. “‘Don’t Knows’ and Public Opinion Towards Economic Reform: Evidence from Russia,” with Adam Berinsky, Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 39(1): 73-99.

2005. “Pocketbooks, Politics, and Parties: A Macro and Micro Analysis of the June 2003 Polish Referendum on EU Membership,” with Radoslaw Markowski, Electoral Studies, 24(3): 409-433.

2005. “Feeding the Hand that Bit You: Voting for Ex-Authoritarian Rulers in Russia and Bolivia,” with Amber Seligson, Demokratizatsiya: The Journal of Post-Soviet Democratization, 13(1): 11-42.

2004. “Learning from Terrorist Markets,” with Adam Meirowitz, Perspectives on Politics, 2(2): 331-6.

2002. “Transitional Winners and Losers: Attitudes Toward EU Membership in Post-Communist Countries,” with Alexander Pacek and Adam Berinsky, American Journal of Political Science, 46(3): 557-71.

2002. “The First Decade of Post-Communist Elections and Voting: What Have We Studied, and How Have We Studied It?” Annual Review of Political Science, 5: 271-304.

2002. “An Easy and Accurate Regression Model for Multiparty Electoral Data,” with Michael Tomz and Jason Wittenberg, Political Analysis, 10(1): 66-83.

2001. “The Emergence of Mass Partisanship in Russia from 1993-6,” with Ted Brader, American Journal of Political Science, 45(1): 69-83.

2001. “Economic Conditions and the Vote for Incumbent Parties in Russia, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic from 1990-1996,” Post Soviet Affairs, 17(4): 309-331.

1995. “Walking the Tightrope: An Exploration of the Political Culture Concept and its Applications for Foreign Policy Analysis,” Paradigms: The Kent Journal of International Relations, 9(1): 37-61.

ARTICLES UNDER REVIEW

“Tweeting Beyond Tahrir: Ideological Diversity and Political Tolerance in Egyptian Twitter Networks”, with Alexandra Siegel, Richard Bonneau, and Jonathan Nagler, revise and resubmit at American Journal of Political Science.

“The (Null) Effects of Clickbait Headlines on Polarization, Trust and Learning”, with Kevin Munger, Mario Luca, and Jonathan Nagler, revise and resubmit at Public Opinion Quarterly.

“Trumping Hate on Twitter? Online Hate Speech and White Nationalist Rhetoric in the 2016 US Election Campaign and its Aftermath”, with Alexandra Siegel, Evgenii Nikitin, Pablo Barberá, Bethany Pullen, Joanna Sterling, Richard Bonneau and Jonathan Nagler, revise and resubmit at Quarterly Journal of Political Science.

“Where you lead, I will follow: Party Cuing on High Salience Issues”, with Ted Brader, Lorenzo De Sio, and Aldo Paparo.

WORKING PAPERS

“Political Knowledge and Misinformation  in the Era of Social Media: Evidence from the 2015 U.K. Election”, with Kevin Munger, Jonathan Nagler, and Patrick Egan

“Towards a General Understanding of Coordinated Action Across Online Social Platforms: A Case Study on Russian Manipulation”, with Cody Buntain, Fridolin Linder, Richard Bonneau, and Jonathan Nagler

“Rumors in Retweet: Social Media and Political Misinformation”, with Andrew Guess, Brione Swire-Thompson, Adam Berinsky, and John T. Jost

“When Do Voters Sanction Corrupt Politicians?”, with Marko Klašnja and Noam Lupu

“Socially Mediated Sectarianism: Violence, Elites, and Anti-Shia Hostility in Saudi Arabia”, with Alexandra Siegel, Richard Bonneau, and Jonathan Nagler

“Of Time and Partisan Stability Revisited”, with Ted Brader and Matias A. Bargsted

OTHER PEER-REVIEWED PUBLICATIONS

2016. “Big Data, Social Media, and Protest: Foundations for a Research Agenda”, with Jonathan Nalger, Megan Metzger, Duncan Penfold-Brown, and Richard Bonneau, in Alvarez, Michael, ed., Computational Social Science: Discovery and Prediction, Cambridge University Press, p.199-224.

2015. Drawing Inferences and Testing Theories with Big Data”, with Jonathan Nagler, PS: Political Science & Politics. 48(1): 84-88.

2015. “APSA as Amplifier: How to Encourage and Promote Public Voices within Political Science”, with Brendan Nyan and John Sides, PS: Political Science & Politics, 48(S1): 90-93. Also published as part of 2014 White Paper: APSA Presidential Task Force on Public Engagement.

2012. “Survey Experiments: Partisan Cues in Multiparty Systems”, with Ted Brader, in Kittel, Bernhard, Wolfgang Luhan, and Rebecca Morton, eds., Experimental Political Science: Principles and Practices, Palgrave-Macmillan, 112-139

2011. “A Model of Party Entry in Parliamentary Systems with Proportional Representation”, with Daniel Kselman, in Schofield, Norman and Gonzalo Caballero, eds. Political Economy of Democratic Institutions, Springer Press, p.373-388.

2011. Post-Communist Democratization. Oxford Bibliographies Online: Political Science. doi: 10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0018 2011. “Survey Experiments in Studies of Democratization”, contribution to “Symposium on Experimental Turns in the Study of Democratization” in Comparative Democratization Newsletter, 9(3): 9-15.

2011. “Orange in a Shade of Grey: Electoral Fraud, Corruption, and Protest in the Orange Revolution”, in Paul D’Anieri, ed., Contest for Social Mobilization in Ukraine: From Revolution to Civil Society?, Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 23-46.

OTHER PUBLICATIONS

2015. “Farewell to JEPS!”, with Rebecca Morton. Journal of Experimental Political Science, 2(2): 107-8.

2014. “Experiment, Journal, and Ethics”, with Rebecca Morton, Journal of Experimental Political Science, 1(2): 99-103.

2014. “Protest in the Age of Social Media: Technology and Ukraine’s #Euromaidan”, with Megan Metzger, Duncan Penfold-Brown, Richard Bonneau, John Jost, and Jonathan Nagler. Carnegie Reporter, 7(4): 8-20.

2014. “Experiments, preregistration, and journals”, Oxford University Press Blogs, September 28, 2014.

2014. “Welcome to JEPS!”, with Rebecca Morton. Journal of Experimental Political Science, 1(1): 1-5.

2014. “Do parties still orient voters in times of crisis? Experimental evidence of partisan cueing effects in 2013 Italy”, with Lorenzo De Sio, Aldo Paparo and Ted Brader, in Bardi, Luciano, Hanspeter Kresi, Alexander H. Trachsel, eds., Elections in Europe in Times of Crisis: Contributions from the EU dissemination Conference, Florence, Italy: European University Institute, ebook.

2011. “Formal Models and Political Protest” with Adam Meirowitz, The Political Economist, XIII (2):4-6.

2011. “Follow the Leader: Party Cues, Policy Opinion, and the Power of Partisanship in Three Multiparty Systems”, with Ted Brader, Juan March Foundation, Center for Advanced Study in the Social Science, Fundacion Juan March, Madrid, Spain, Working Paper Series, Estudio/Working Paper 2011/256.

2011. “How Does Protest Topple a Government? And Will Egyptian Protesters Come Back?” Journal of Politics and International Affairs. VIII: 13-16. 2010. “Polish Public Opinion Towards Russia in the Aftermath of Smolensk: An Opportunity for Improved Relations,” Ponars Eurasia Policy Memo, No.111.

2010. “After the Party: Legacies and Left-Right Distinctions in Post-Communist Countries”, with Grigore Pop-Eleches, Juan March Foundation, Center for Advanced Study in the Social Science, Fundacion Juan March, Madrid, Spain, Working Paper Series, Estudio/Working Paper 2010/250.

2008. “Conventional vs. Transitional Economic Voting: Evidence from Poland, 1997-2005” (with Andrew Owen) Center for Advanced Studies Working Paper Series: WP 12/2008/04, Center for Advanced Studies, The Higher School for Economics, Moscow, Russia.

2007. “Political Representation and Euroskepticism: Evidence from Poland”, with Radoslaw Markowski, in Michael Marsh, Slava Mikhaylov and Hermann Schmitt, eds., European Elections after Eastern Enlargement: Preliminary Results from the European Election Study 2004, Mannheim, Germany: The Connex Report Series No. 1.

Contact:

Email: joshua.tucker[at]nyu.edu
Twitter: @j_a_tucker
Lab: smapp.nyu.edu 
Blog: The Monkey Cage